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Mogilev vs Brest Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 88-77
25-20 17-14 22-22 24-21
Position#12
Record1-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game63.9
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#10
Record10-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game70.3
BelarusPremier League
Other2022-23
Meetings · Mogilev v Brest
05 Mar 2023
MOGI88
BRES77
04 Dec 2022
MOGI63
BRES69
25 Sep 2022
MOGI59
BRES78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mogilev winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brest winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MogilevBelarusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brest
#10
L
63-69
63
69
-6
H04/12
Premier League
Tsmoki Minsk 3
#4
L
56-92
56
92
-36
A11/12
Premier League
Grodno GrSU
#9
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H18/12
Premier League
Rubon II
#5
L
59-79
59
79
-20
H15/01
Premier League
SDUSHOR Minsk
#7
L
63-76
63
76
-13
H22/01
Premier League
Brest
#10
L
64-95
64
95
-31
A29/01
Premier League
Tsmoki Minsk 3
#4
L
67-97
67
97
-30
H05/02
Premier League
Grodno GrSU
#9
L
66-94
66
94
-28
H12/02
Premier League
Rubon II
#5
L
53-85
53
85
-32
A19/02
Premier League
SDUSHOR Minsk
#7
L
57-87
57
87
-30
A26/02
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
21-19
13-15
18-19
12-25
10-26
23-19
11-22
13-19
25-19
12-24
16-8
22-22
8-20
11-17
18-20
16-19
16-13
21-19
10-25
12-19
19-26
17-29
16-21
20-27
17-26
21-27
9-17
19-24
9-34
16-16
22-20
15-21
10-22
13-22
15-20
11-21
16-18
13-25
17-23
145.8Avg total
61.4Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)63.984.3148.2-20.45%
Season at home (10)64.682.7147.3-18.10%
Season away (10)63.286.0149.2-22.810%
Last 10 (10)61.484.4145.8-23.00%
Last 5 (5)61.491.6153.0-30.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.984.3148.2-20.45%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrestBelarusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogilev
#12
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A04/12
Premier League
Grodno GrSU
#9
L
74-79
74
79
-5
H11/12
Premier League
Rubon II
#5
W
82-64
82
64
+18
H18/12
Premier League
SDUSHOR Minsk
#7
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H15/01
Premier League
Tsmoki Minsk 3
#4
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H22/01
Premier League
Mogilev
#12
W
95-64
95
64
+31
H29/01
Premier League
Grodno GrSU
#9
L
62-69
62
69
-7
A05/02
Premier League
Rubon II
#5
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A12/02
Premier League
SDUSHOR Minsk
#7
L
65-86
65
86
-21
A19/02
Premier League
Tsmoki Minsk 3
#4
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
H28/02
Premier League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
19-21
15-13
19-18
20-18
20-21
16-24
18-16
30-14
14-27
17-15
21-8
11-22
14-14
22-19
24-7
13-22
20-10
19-20
18-12
19-12
26-19
29-17
21-16
7-21
19-18
12-12
24-18
16-22
21-9
12-22
12-11
16-18
16-26
13-25
20-17
25-15
14-14
22-27
18-23
143.9Avg total
73.6Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)72.170.3142.4+1.850%
Season at home (11)76.973.5150.5+3.445%
Season away (9)66.266.3132.6-0.156%
Last 10 (10)73.670.3143.9+3.350%
Last 5 (5)74.074.2148.2-0.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.890.2159.0-21.420%
vs Similar (16)69.971.2141.1-1.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)79.464.7144.1+14.8100%
This opponent (Mogilev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +4.9+4.9
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -6.2-6.2Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -7.2-7.2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: +4.9+4.9
MogilevBrest
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MogilevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brest
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H04/12
Premier League
Tsmoki Minsk 3
#4
L
22-51
22
51
-29
A11/12
Premier League
Grodno GrSU
#9
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H18/12
Premier League
Rubon II
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H15/01
Premier League
SDUSHOR Minsk
#7
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/01
Premier League
Brest
#10
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A29/01
Premier League
Tsmoki Minsk 3
#4
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H05/02
Premier League
Grodno GrSU
#9
L
28-58
28
58
-30
H12/02
Premier League
Rubon II
#5
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A19/02
Premier League
SDUSHOR Minsk
#7
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A26/02
Premier League
73.8Avg total
30.2Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)30.643.273.9-12.65%-
Last 30 at home (10)32.844.076.8-11.20%-
Last 30 away (10)28.542.571.0-14.010%-
Last 10 (10)30.243.673.8-13.40%-
Last 5 (5)29.647.677.2-18.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)30.643.273.9-12.65%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brest) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrestLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mogilev
#12
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/12
Premier League
Grodno GrSU
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H11/12
Premier League
Rubon II
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/12
Premier League
SDUSHOR Minsk
#7
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H15/01
Premier League
Tsmoki Minsk 3
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H22/01
Premier League
Mogilev
#12
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H29/01
Premier League
Grodno GrSU
#9
L
26-39
26
39
-13
A05/02
Premier League
Rubon II
#5
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A12/02
Premier League
SDUSHOR Minsk
#7
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A19/02
Premier League
Tsmoki Minsk 3
#4
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H28/02
Premier League
71.0Avg total
35.6Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.137.774.8-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.338.777.0-0.456%-
Last 30 away (14)35.636.672.2-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)35.635.471.0+0.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.834.870.6+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.853.287.0-19.40%-
vs Similar (16)36.134.870.9+1.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.734.274.9+6.489%-
This opponent (Mogilev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mogilev wins
4
Brest wins
DateGameScore
29/01/23Brest v Mogilev95-64
04/12/22Mogilev v Brest63-69
30/10/22Brest v Mogilev82-80
25/09/22Mogilev v Brest59-78
Mogilevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23ASDUSHOR Minsk57-87
19/02/23ARubon II53-85
12/02/23HGrodno GrSU66-94
05/02/23HTsmoki Minsk 367-97
29/01/23ABrest64-95
22/01/23HSDUSHOR Minsk63-76
15/01/23HRubon II59-79
18/12/22HGrodno GrSU66-70
11/12/22ATsmoki Minsk 356-92
04/12/22HBrest63-69
Brestlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/23HTsmoki Minsk 387-88 OT
19/02/23ASDUSHOR Minsk65-86
12/02/23ARubon II61-64
05/02/23AGrodno GrSU62-69
29/01/23HMogilev95-64
22/01/23HTsmoki Minsk 370-64
15/01/23HSDUSHOR Minsk71-62
18/12/22HRubon II82-64
11/12/22HGrodno GrSU74-79
04/12/22AMogilev69-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mogilev
Premier League 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLLLL10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %5%0%10%
Points / game63.964.663.2
Allowed / game84.382.786.0
Point differential-20.4-18.1-22.8
Avg total148.2147.3149.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brest
Premier League 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL50%
HomeWWWWL45%
AwayLWLLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %50%45%56%
Points / game72.176.966.2
Allowed / game70.373.566.3
Point differential+1.8+3.4-0.1
Avg total142.4150.5132.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Borisfen2521484%85.267.3+17.9
2 Tsmoki Minsk 32016480%75.963.0+12.8
3 Grodno2519676%89.173.8+15.3
4 Rubon II2013765%69.867.2+2.6
5 Rubon25151060%83.475.3+8.1
6 SDUSHOR Minsk21111052%74.675.7-1.1
7 Brest20101050%72.170.3+1.8
8 Grodno GrSU21101148%72.668.5+4.1
9 Tsmoki Minsk 224101442%71.675.5-4.0
10 Impuls2581732%72.178.0-5.9
11 Mogilev201195%63.984.3-20.4
12 Gomel241234%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mogilev2517222488
Brest2014222177
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