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Monaco vs La Rochelle Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-62
20-11 22-14 15-23 25-14
Position#2
Record1-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game73.7
Monaco 🏆
France
vs
Position#16
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game75.3
FranceLNBRound 4· Salle Gaston Medecin
Domestic2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
La Rochelle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonacoFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonaco
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#4
W
76-71
76
71
+5
86avg 85
A30/05
LNB
Paris
#2
W
90-80
90
80
+10
102avg 85
H04/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
70-77
70
77
-7
71avg 85
H06/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
88-59
88
59
+29
103avg 85
A09/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
115-76
115
76
+39
132avg 85
A12/06
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
L
66-68
66
68
-2
78avg 85
A20/09
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
W
77-65
77
65
+12
82avg 85
H29/09
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
93-80
93
80
+13
85avg 85
H03/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
71-88
71
88
-17
80avg 85
A06/10
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
W
85-79
85
79
+6
73avg 85
H09/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
18-16
19-17
21-17
23-18
23-12
27-23
17-27
11-25
25-13
15-17
19-22
28-14
18-21
18-10
24-14
37-18
26-19
30-18
22-21
14-17
15-21
15-20
22-10
19-24
16-16
20-12
22-13
22-10
25-16
19-23
27-31
16-21
20-25
17-20
18-22
21-23
20-23
24-14
20-19
157.4Avg total
83.1Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.373.7145.0-2.333%
Season at home (1)77.065.0142.0+12.0100%
Season away (2)68.578.0146.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)83.174.3157.4+8.870%
Last 5 (5)78.476.0154.4+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)81.977.8159.7+4.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.375.7161.0+9.773%
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRochelle
Date
Competition
ASA
#9
W
68-54
68
54
+14
79avg 86
H16/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
87avg 86
A19/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
75-54
75
54
+21
86avg 86
H22/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
73-70
73
70
+3
79avg 86
H25/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
70-61
70
61
+9
83avg 86
A28/05
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
67-49
67
49
+18
86avg 86
H03/06
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
72-67 OT
72
67
+5
82avg 86
A06/06
Pro B
Nancy
#9
L
56-64
56
64
-8
70avg 86
A21/09
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
72avg 86
H27/09
LNB
Paris
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
82avg 86
A06/10
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
22-19
13-10
14-13
27-20
16-22
18-19
12-19
26-20
16-8
16-12
17-14
25-16
14-20
19-14
15-20
24-6
13-18
16-16
17-21
18-10
9-15
25-12
15-12
16-13
17-10
12-21
15-16
18-16
10-17
18-14
10-17
9-17
18-20
20-24
17-17
21-23
20-23
14-17
20-21
135.4Avg total
69.3Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)65.075.3140.3-10.30%
Season at home (1)64.078.0142.0-14.00%
Season away (2)65.574.0139.5-8.50%
Last 10 (10)69.366.1135.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)66.868.4135.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)65.075.3140.3-10.30%
vs Similar (1)87.074.0161.0+13.0100%
vs Weaker (26)72.567.1139.7+5.473%
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -1.8-1.8
MonacoLa Rochelle
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MonacoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JL Bourg
#4
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A30/05
LNB
Paris
#2
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H04/06
LNB
Paris
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H06/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A09/06
LNB
Paris
#2
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A12/06
LNB
Saint Quentin
#10
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A20/09
LNB
Strasbourg
#12
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H29/09
LNB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H03/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A06/10
LNB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#16
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H09/10
Euroleague
78.8Avg total
41.5Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.237.180.3+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.135.880.9+9.282%-
Last 30 away (13)40.838.779.5+2.246%-
Last 10 (10)41.537.378.8+4.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.276.8-1.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)42.137.879.9+4.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.436.380.7+8.173%-
This opponent (La Rochelle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
La RochelleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
ASA
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H16/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A19/05
Pro B
ASA
#9
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H22/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H25/05
Pro B
Rouen
#5
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A28/05
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
27-25
27
25
+2
H03/06
Pro B
Boulazac
#3
W
33-23
33
23
+10
A06/06
Pro B
Nancy
#9
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A21/09
LNB
Cholet
#4
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H27/09
LNB
Paris
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/10
LNB
68.3Avg total
35.8Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.033.871.7+4.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.532.973.5+7.687%-
Last 30 away (15)35.434.670.0+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)35.832.568.3+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)31.232.864.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.038.770.7-6.70%-
vs Similar (1)48.039.087.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker (26)38.333.071.3+5.377%-
This opponent (Monaco) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monacotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.4
55.3%
54.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.5%
35.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws23.715.4
65.0%
74.9%15.4
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
La Rochelletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Rochelle: 68.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
47%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.216.2
50.3%
54.3%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.3
25.8%
35.3%18.9
🏀 Free throws22.017.2
78.2%
74.9%17.2
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco
WLWWLWWLWW
La Rochelle
LLLWWWWWLW
#2
League position
#16
+12.0
Net rating
+4.3
116.3
Offensive rating
92.6
104.3
Defensive rating
88.3
53.2%
Effective FG%
45.3%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.7%
16.6%
Turnover %
19.2%
38.9%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
33.5%
3-point %
25.8%
51.2%
Assist %
75.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 92.6Defence104.3 · 88.3Shooting53.2% · 45.3%3-point %33.5% · 25.8%Ball care16.6% · 19.2%Off. rebounds38.9% · 19.1%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Monaco   ■ La Rochelle
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Monaco wins
0
La Rochelle wins
No previous meetings.
Monacolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/24HMaccabi Tel Aviv85-79
06/10/24ALyon-Villeurbanne71-88
03/10/24HOlimpia Milano93-80
29/09/24HStrasbourg77-65
20/09/24ASaint Quentin66-68
12/06/24AParis115-76
09/06/24AParis88-59
06/06/24HParis70-77
04/06/24HParis90-80
30/05/24AJL Bourg76-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/24AParis75-84
27/09/24HCholet64-78
21/09/24ANancy56-64
06/06/24ABoulazac72-67 OT
03/06/24HBoulazac67-49
28/05/24ARouen70-61
25/05/24HRouen73-70
22/05/24HASA75-54
19/05/24AASA73-80
16/05/24HASA68-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game71.377.068.5
Allowed / game73.765.078.0
Point differential-2.3+12.0-9.5
Avg total145.0142.0146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
La Rochelle
LNB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.064.065.5
Allowed / game75.378.074.0
Point differential-10.3-14.0-8.5
Avg total140.3142.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cholet330100%88.765.7+23.0
2 Lyon-Villeurbanne330100%89.075.7+13.3
3 Saint Quentin43175%78.578.2+0.2
4 JL Bourg32167%88.373.3+15.0
5 Paris32167%90.383.7+6.7
6 Limoges32167%77.776.7+1.0
7 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%77.782.3-4.7
8 Dijon21150%83.085.5-2.5
9 Monaco31233%71.373.7-2.3
10 Nancy31233%81.384.3-3.0
11 Strasbourg31233%78.784.0-5.3
12 Nanterre31233%74.080.3-6.3
13 Le Mans31233%78.385.3-7.0
14 Le Portel31233%72.383.0-10.7
15 Chalon/Saone3030%82.790.7-8.0
16 La Rochelle3030%65.075.3-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco2022152582
La Rochelle1114231462
← all games of the day
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