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Monaco W vs Graffenstaden W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 80-63
24-21 20-13 17-11 19-18
Position#4
Record12-8
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#12
Record8-12
FormWWLLL
Points / game68.7
Allowed / game74.4
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 21· Gymnase L
Women2025-26
Meetings · Monaco W v Graffenstaden W
28 Feb 2026
MONA80
GRAF63
28 Jan 2023
MONA60
GRAF59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monaco W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Graffenstaden W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Monaco WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Nice W
#11
W
95-69
95
69
+26
102avg 72
H13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#7
W
81-69
81
69
+12
76avg 72
A17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
100avg 72
H20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
73avg 72
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
78-72
78
72
+6
no box
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
65-90
65
90
-25
59avg 72
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
L
72-74
72
74
-2
82avg 72
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
74-73
74
73
+1
70avg 72
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
93-79
93
79
+14
95avg 72
H14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
84-75
84
75
+9
88avg 72
A21/02
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
27-14
22-19
22-24
18-22
22-24
19-6
22-17
26-19
21-16
29-16
15-20
20-20
15-11
19-16
16-18
21-17
17-16
24-22
16-17
22-17
18-26
12-24
13-23
24-11
15-18
25-19
8-26
18-13
24-16
16-27
16-17
26-16
21-15
18-26
28-22
19-20
22-17
24-19
19-19
154.0Avg total
80.3Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.671.1146.7+4.560%
Season at home (10)80.771.7152.4+9.070%
Season away (10)70.570.5141.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)80.373.7154.0+6.680%
Last 5 (5)77.678.2155.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)61.874.5136.3-12.70%
vs Similar (12)69.670.4140.0-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)79.772.0151.7+7.760%
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graffenstaden WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Montbrison W
#3
L
49-73
49
73
-24
38avg 59
A13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
L
60-72
60
72
-12
46avg 59
H17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
74-94
74
94
-20
59avg 59
A20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
47-88
47
88
-41
35avg 59
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
W
80-76
80
76
+4
78avg 59
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
67-65
67
65
+2
66avg 59
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
45-73
45
73
-28
32avg 59
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#11
L
71-77
71
77
-6
67avg 59
A14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#7
L
68-69
68
69
-1
64avg 59
H21/02
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
4-14
23-24
12-18
10-17
16-20
15-22
12-20
17-10
20-22
16-32
20-23
18-17
12-29
14-11
17-25
4-23
19-19
26-6
20-16
25-20
21-21
13-22
25-19
21-14
22-16
15-16
16-16
14-17
10-20
7-29
17-11
11-13
20-22
17-21
17-11
17-23
19-19
19-17
19-17
11-16
139.9Avg total
65.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)68.774.4143.1-5.740%
Season at home (10)72.273.3145.5-1.150%
Season away (10)65.275.5140.7-10.330%
Last 10 (10)65.174.8139.9-9.730%
Last 5 (5)66.272.0138.2-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)60.776.1136.8-15.412%
vs Similar (10)68.370.3138.6-2.050%
vs Weaker (3)71.761.3133.0+10.367%
This opponent (Monaco W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: -2.2-2.2
Monaco WGraffenstaden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Monaco WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nice W
#11
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#7
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Montbrison W
#3
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A21/02
Ligue 2 Women
76.0Avg total
42.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.373.2+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.335.074.3+4.365%-
Last 30 away (13)33.638.171.7-4.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.034.076.0+8.080%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.875.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.040.873.8-7.817%-
vs Similar (12)36.334.871.2+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.635.676.2+5.070%-
This opponent (Graffenstaden W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Graffenstaden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montbrison W
#3
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Aulnoye AS W
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
17-49
17
49
-32
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H21/02
Ligue 2 Women
73.0Avg total
32.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.238.072.2-3.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.136.972.9-0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)32.638.971.5-6.419%-
Last 10 (10)32.840.273.0-7.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.640.673.2-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)32.339.371.6-7.025%-
vs Similar (10)35.637.573.1-1.950%-
vs Weaker (3)38.732.771.3+6.067%-
This opponent (Monaco W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Monaco Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monaco W: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
45.0%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.97.8
32.6%
29.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.716.8
70.9%
72.1%16.8
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Graffenstaden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Graffenstaden W: 64.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.118.2
43.2%
45.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.54.6
27.9%
29.7%13.8
🏀 Free throws19.214.1
73.4%
72.1%14.1
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Monaco W
WWWLLWWWWW
Graffenstaden W
LLLWWWLLLL
#4
League position
#12
+8.2
Net rating
-13.3
89.8
Offensive rating
77.6
81.6
Defensive rating
90.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
42.8%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
25.6%
Turnover %
21.3%
36.1%
Off. rebound %
25.0%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.6%
3-point %
27.9%
87.9%
Assist %
71.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 77.6Defence81.6 · 90.8Shooting50.2% · 42.8%3-point %32.6% · 27.9%Ball care25.6% · 21.3%Off. rebounds36.1% · 25.0%Free throws0.39 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Monaco W   ■ Graffenstaden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Monaco W wins
3
Graffenstaden W wins
Monaco Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26ARouen W84-75
14/02/26HCentre Federal BB W93-79
07/02/26HMondeville W74-73
31/01/26HPays Voironnais W72-74
24/01/26AFeytiat W65-90
17/01/26HMontbrison W78-72
10/01/26AChampagne W70-65
20/12/25HLe Havre W91-71
17/12/25AUnion Hainaut W81-69
13/12/25HNice W95-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HUnion Hainaut W68-69
14/02/26ANice W71-77
07/02/26HTronche Meylan W45-73
31/01/26HRouen W67-65
24/01/26AAulnoye AS W80-76
17/01/26HCentre Federal BB W90-61
10/01/26AFeytiat W47-88
20/12/25AMondeville W74-94
17/12/25HPays Voironnais W60-72
13/12/25AMontbrison W49-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monaco W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game75.680.770.5
Allowed / game71.171.770.5
Point differential+4.5+9.0+0.0
Avg total146.7152.4141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)33% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Graffenstaden W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeLWWLL50%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game68.772.265.2
Allowed / game74.473.375.5
Point differential-5.7-1.1-10.3
Avg total143.1145.5140.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)60% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tronche Meylan W2015575%73.563.1+10.4
2 Montbrison W2014670%69.559.7+9.8
3 Pays Voironnais W2014670%71.264.0+7.2
4 Champagne W2012860%67.262.7+4.5
5 Monaco W2012860%75.671.1+4.5
6 Feytiat W2012860%72.568.8+3.7
7 Aulnoye AS W2012860%75.675.3+0.3
8 Mondeville W2011955%71.267.0+4.2
9 Union Hainaut W2011955%66.865.2+1.7
10 Rouen W2081240%69.572.0-2.5
11 Graffenstaden W2081240%68.774.4-5.7
12 Nice W2071335%69.074.2-5.2
13 Centre Federal BB W2131814%61.376.4-15.1
14 Le Havre W2121910%63.079.3-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Monaco W2420171980
Graffenstaden W2113111863
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