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Monmouth vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 88-74
43-33 45-41
Position#299
Record1-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game64.4
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#307
Record5-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game73.0
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Monmouth v Fairfield
21 Dec 2024
MONM88
FAIR74
04 Feb 2022
MONM59
FAIR56
10 Mar 2021
MONM60
FAIR79
20 Feb 2021
MONM v FAIR
upcoming
19 Feb 2021
MONM v FAIR
upcoming
04 Mar 2020
MONM69
FAIR45
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Monmouth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MonmouthUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A13/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
L
66-70
66
70
-4
A19/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
L
62-72
62
72
-10
A21/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
46-73
46
73
-27
A22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A22/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A23/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A30/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
L
63-90
63
90
-27
A05/12
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-42
32-37
30-47
51-51
31-30
35-40
38-29
24-43
14-30
32-43
32-28
35-44
32-45
29-26
29-27
34-24
27-39
36-51
29-30
38-41
138.9Avg total
64.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)64.477.6142.0-13.28%
Season at homeno games
Season away (12)64.477.6142.0-13.28%
Last 10 (10)64.274.7138.9-10.510%
Last 5 (5)64.271.0135.2-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)68.280.2148.5-12.012%
vs Similar ◀ (13)71.470.3141.7+1.154%
vs Weaker (1)83.067.0150.0+16.0100%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#176
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A09/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A13/11
NCAA
John Jay
#609
W
93-44
93
44
+49
H16/11
NCAA
Drexel
#161
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A24/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H01/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H05/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
94-101
94
101
-7
A08/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
33-36
24-33
38-30
24-26
51-29
42-15
21-33
40-34
26-46
40-45
37-35
30-31
30-32
48-42
39-34
39-41
39-49
55-52
30-30
33-34
142.6Avg total
71.9Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)70.673.0143.6-2.445%
Season at home (6)73.269.2142.3+4.050%
Season away (5)67.677.6145.2-10.040%
Last 10 (10)71.970.7142.6+1.250%
Last 5 (5)76.076.0152.0+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.575.2138.8-11.825%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.073.7147.7+0.357%
vs Weaker (13)76.770.2146.9+6.577%
This opponent (Monmouth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: +2.2+2.2
-7-3+0+3+71st half1st half: -5.1-5.11st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -5.4-5.42nd half: +2.2+2.2
MonmouthFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MonmouthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Illinois
#352
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A13/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#224
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A15/11
NCAA
Wichita State
#147
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A19/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#117
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A21/11
NCAA
Western Illinois
#296
L
14-30
14
30
-16
A22/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A22/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#253
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A23/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#349
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Lehigh
#311
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A05/12
NCAA
Princeton
#99
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A11/12
NCAA
64.3Avg total
29.6Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.636.168.7-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (8)39.133.572.6+5.675%-
Last 30 away (22)30.237.067.3-6.823%-
Last 10 (10)29.634.764.3-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.863.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)32.439.471.8-6.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)32.232.564.7-0.446%-
vs Weaker (1)41.030.071.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Georgetown
#176
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A09/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/11
NCAA
John Jay
#609
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/11
NCAA
Drexel
#161
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H20/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H23/11
NCAA
Vermont
#97
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H01/12
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H05/12
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A08/12
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H19/12
NCAA
69.8Avg total
34.4Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.034.868.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (18)32.732.365.0+0.344%-
Last 30 away (12)35.938.674.5-2.742%-
Last 10 (10)34.435.469.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.071.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.535.664.1-7.112%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.434.770.1+0.757%-
vs Weaker (13)35.134.469.5+0.754%-
This opponent (Monmouth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Monmouth wins
2
Fairfield wins
DateGameScore
05/02/22Monmouth v Fairfield59-56
21/01/22Fairfield v Monmouth58-61
11/03/21Monmouth v Fairfield60-79
05/03/20Monmouth v Fairfield69-45
05/02/20Fairfield v Monmouth55-53
Monmouthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24APrinceton67-71
05/12/24ALehigh63-90
30/11/24ASeton Hall63-51
23/11/24APresbyterian61-71
22/11/24AStephen F. Austin67-72
22/11/24AWestern Illinois46-73
21/11/24AYoungstown State62-72
19/11/24AWichita State66-70
15/11/24ARutgers81-98
13/11/24ANorthern Illinois66-79
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/24HCentral Connecticut State63-64
08/12/24AMount St. Mary's94-101
05/12/24HRider78-75
01/12/24HFairleigh Dickinson78-74
24/11/24AVermont67-66
23/11/24HYale66-91
20/11/24HDrexel61-67
16/11/24HJohn Jay93-44
13/11/24ANew Hampshire Wildcats62-56
09/11/24AGeorgetown57-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Monmouth
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL8%
Home--
AwayLLWLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games12-12
Win %8%-8%
Points / game64.4-64.4
Allowed / game77.6-77.6
Point differential-13.2--13.2
Avg total142.0-142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%-8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%-0%
Fairfield
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeLLWWL50%
AwayLLWWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game70.673.267.6
Allowed / game73.069.277.6
Point differential-2.4+4.0-10.0
Avg total143.6142.3145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston108280%79.976.4+3.5
2 NC Wilmington118373%81.973.9+8.0
3 Hofstra128467%69.964.9+5.0
4 Northeastern128467%72.067.4+4.6
5 Elon117464%78.367.1+11.2
6 Drexel138562%72.566.5+6.1
7 Hampton116555%75.768.4+7.4
8 William & Mary115645%84.376.3+8.0
9 Campbell125742%70.366.7+3.7
10 Towson124833%64.666.1-1.5
11 Stony Brook113827%66.475.2-8.8
12 N. Carolina A&T123925%75.379.2-3.9
13 Monmouth121118%64.477.6-13.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist97278%70.868.3+2.4
2 Mount St. Mary's127558%71.976.0-4.1
3 St. Peters105550%71.966.6+5.3
4 Manhattan105550%74.476.0-1.6
5 Fairfield115645%70.673.0-2.4
6 Niagara115645%68.371.3-3.0
7 Quinnipiac115645%70.373.5-3.2
8 Siena125742%66.370.2-3.9
9 Merrimack Warriors135838%63.567.8-4.2
10 Sacred Heart114736%71.774.8-3.1
11 Rider124833%63.772.1-8.4
12 Iona113827%66.074.0-8.0
13 Canisius120120%61.879.6-17.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Monmouth434588
Fairfield334174
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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