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Vermont vs Fairfield Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 66-67
35-37 31-30
Position#97
Record3-3
FormLLLWW
Points / game62.2
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#307
Record2-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game66.2
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vermont winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fairfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VermontUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany Great Danes
#306
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H09/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H12/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
W
66-61
66
61
+5
H16/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A22/03
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
43-94
43
94
-51
A07/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A10/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H20/11
NCAA
Delaware
#246
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-37
44-35
31-24
35-35
29-32
37-29
29-34
18-30
38-24
29-38
21-46
22-48
22-28
29-37
31-23
28-39
38-35
40-32
37-34
38-37
130.4Avg total
62.7Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)62.270.2132.3-8.050%
Season at home (2)76.569.0145.5+7.5100%
Season away (4)55.070.8125.8-15.825%
Last 10 (10)62.767.7130.4-5.060%
Last 5 (5)61.271.8133.0-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.094.0137.0-51.00%
vs Similar (8)63.964.0127.9-0.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)71.662.8134.4+8.886%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#152
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H16/03
NCAA
UALR
#14
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H24/03
CBI
Chicago State
#5
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A25/03
CBI
Seattle
#1
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H27/03
CBI
Rhode Island
#137
L
58-96
58
96
-38
A05/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A09/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A13/11
NCAA
John Jay
#609
W
93-44
93
44
+49
H16/11
NCAA
Drexel
#161
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H23/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
32-25
0-0
31-43
0-0
36-41
0-0
46-34
0-0
39-35
0-0
38-39
0-0
24-28
0-0
34-47
0-0
27-45
0-0
31-51
0-0
33-36
0-0
24-33
0-0
38-30
0-0
24-26
0-0
51-29
0-0
42-15
0-0
21-33
0-0
40-34
0-0
26-46
0-0
40-45
139.2Avg total
67.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)66.270.5136.7-4.333%
Season at home (3)73.367.3140.7+6.033%
Season away (3)59.073.7132.7-14.733%
Last 10 (10)67.771.5139.2-3.840%
Last 5 (5)67.865.4133.2+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)60.079.6139.6-19.60%
vs Similar (6)71.366.8138.2+4.567%
vs Weaker (17)78.071.1149.1+6.976%
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -1.7-1.7
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -1.0-1.01st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -4.0-4.02nd half: -1.7-1.7
VermontFairfield
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VermontLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany Great Danes
#306
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H09/03
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#230
W
31-24
31
24
+7
H12/03
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#55
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H16/03
NCAA
Duke
#32
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A22/03
NCAA
UAB
#91
W
38-24
38
24
+14
A05/11
NCAA
Auburn
#12
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A07/11
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A10/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
31-23
31
23
+8
A16/11
NCAA
Buffalo
#333
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H20/11
NCAA
Delaware
#246
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H23/11
NCAA
62.4Avg total
30.7Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.229.460.6+1.960%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.827.560.3+5.269%-
Last 30 away (17)30.130.860.8-0.753%-
Last 10 (10)30.731.762.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)29.833.263.0-3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)21.046.067.0-25.00%-
vs Similar (8)31.227.859.0+3.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)31.729.260.9+2.567%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Peters
#152
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H16/03
NCAA
UALR
#14
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/03
CBI
Chicago State
#5
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A25/03
CBI
Seattle
#1
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H27/03
CBI
Rhode Island
#137
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A05/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#176
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A09/11
NCAA
New Hampshire Wildcats
#342
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A13/11
NCAA
John Jay
#609
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/11
NCAA
Drexel
#161
L
21-33
21
33
-12
H20/11
NCAA
Yale
#42
L
26-46
26
46
-20
H23/11
NCAA
67.5Avg total
32.7Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.934.269.1+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.431.765.1+1.653%-
Last 30 away (13)36.837.574.3-0.646%-
Last 10 (10)32.734.867.5-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.868.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)26.237.663.8-11.40%-
vs Similar (6)35.530.866.3+4.767%-
vs Weaker (17)36.234.370.5+1.959%-
This opponent (Vermont) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Vermont wins
0
Fairfield wins
No previous meetings.
Vermontlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HDelaware75-71
20/11/24HBuffalo78-67
16/11/24AIona59-62
10/11/24AMerrimack Warriors51-65
07/11/24AAuburn43-94
05/11/24AUAB67-62
22/03/24ADuke47-64
16/03/24HUMass Lowell66-61
12/03/24HNew Hampshire Wildcats66-59
09/03/24HAlbany Great Danes75-72
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/24HYale66-91
20/11/24HDrexel61-67
16/11/24HJohn Jay93-44
13/11/24ANew Hampshire Wildcats62-56
09/11/24AGeorgetown57-69
05/11/24ARhode Island58-96
27/03/24HSeattle58-75
25/03/24AChicago State77-74
24/03/24HUALR82-75
16/03/24HSt. Peters63-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vermont
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game62.276.555.0
Allowed / game70.269.070.8
Point differential-8.0+7.5-15.8
Avg total132.3145.5125.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fairfield
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL33%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game66.273.359.0
Allowed / game70.567.373.7
Point differential-4.3+6.0-14.7
Avg total136.7140.7132.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell64267%86.776.0+10.7
2 Bryant University53260%86.273.6+12.6
3 Maine Black Bears63350%71.765.5+6.2
4 Vermont63350%62.270.2-8.0
5 UMBC Retrievers73443%80.174.1+6.0
6 Binghamton62433%68.775.2-6.5
7 NJIT6060%59.777.2-17.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist54180%73.070.0+3.0
2 Rider64267%64.570.0-5.5
3 Manhattan53260%75.478.0-2.6
4 Siena53260%70.275.0-4.8
5 Mount St. Mary's74357%69.177.3-8.1
6 Quinnipiac63350%68.071.5-3.5
7 St. Peters52340%75.465.0+10.4
8 Fairfield62433%66.270.5-4.3
9 Sacred Heart72529%70.677.4-6.9
10 Niagara51420%75.879.4-3.6
11 Iona51420%63.876.0-12.2
12 Merrimack Warriors51420%53.266.8-13.6
13 Canisius7070%62.085.9-23.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Vermont353166
Fairfield373067
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