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Montana State vs UC Riverside Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 69-68
28-29 41-39
Position#213
Record2-2
FormLWLWL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Position#231
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game74.4
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Riverside winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#283
W
91-78
91
78
+13
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#165
W
60-58 OT
60
58
+2
H08/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A18/03
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#591
W
103-63
103
63
+40
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A11/11
NCAA
California
#283
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A17/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
L
53-54 OT
53
54
-1
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-42
48-36
38-25
41-49
47-24
37-49
24-25
24-23
42-35
43-43
28-34
37-43
45-27
58-36
25-30
43-41
33-27
30-33
24-23
25-26
143.7Avg total
75.1Scored
68.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.862.0133.8+9.850%
Season at home (2)78.058.5136.5+19.550%
Season away (2)65.565.5131.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)75.168.6143.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)70.465.0135.4+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.071.0139.0-3.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.669.3136.9-1.743%
vs Weaker (22)77.163.6140.7+13.591%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#80
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A24/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H03/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
A05/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
68-52
68
52
+16
H10/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
87-92
87
92
-5
A11/03
NCAA
California Merced
#398
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H08/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
53-82
53
82
-29
A11/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A12/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A18/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
74-68
74
68
+6
H22/11
NCAA
1H
2H
14-25
40-27
30-36
35-39
28-29
34-33
28-24
40-28
42-39
45-53
41-32
35-37
13-48
40-34
30-38
35-38
26-37
26-40
38-33
36-35
138.2Avg total
66.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)64.074.4138.4-10.440%
Season at home (2)75.068.5143.5+6.5100%
Season away (3)56.778.3135.0-21.70%
Last 10 (10)66.771.5138.2-4.850%
Last 5 (5)64.074.4138.4-10.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)58.579.2137.8-20.80%
vs Similar ◀ (14)69.868.2138.0+1.664%
vs Weaker (12)76.270.6146.8+5.675%
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +5.7+5.71st half: -5.1-5.12nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +0.2+0.2
Montana StateUC Riverside
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Montana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland State
#283
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/02
NCAA
East. Washington
#63
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A28/02
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#288
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H06/03
NCAA
Weber State
#165
L
24-25
24
25
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#309
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H09/03
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A18/03
NCAA
Northwest Indian
#591
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Seattle
#144
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A11/11
NCAA
California
#283
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A17/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
24-23
24
23
+1
H21/11
NCAA
64.1Avg total
34.9Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.929.065.9+7.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.928.267.1+10.882%-
Last 30 away (13)34.230.164.3+4.262%-
Last 10 (10)34.929.264.1+5.770%-
Last 5 (5)31.028.259.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)25.030.055.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.730.963.6+1.957%-
vs Weaker (22)38.828.467.1+10.482%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hawaii
#80
L
14-25
14
25
-11
A24/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/03
NCAA
Cal Poly
#355
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A05/03
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H10/03
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A11/03
NCAA
California Merced
#398
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H08/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#145
L
13-48
13
48
-35
A11/11
NCAA
Portland
#305
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A12/11
NCAA
North Carolina
#19
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A18/11
NCAA
Wisc. Green Bay
#167
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H22/11
NCAA
63.1Avg total
29.0Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.933.164.0-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.331.663.9+0.760%-
Last 30 away (15)29.434.764.1-5.333%-
Last 10 (10)29.034.163.1-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)29.637.667.2-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.039.863.8-15.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)30.531.361.8-0.857%-
vs Weaker (12)33.633.166.7+0.550%-
This opponent (Montana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Montana State wins
0
UC Riverside wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23HWisc. Green Bay53-54 OT
17/11/23ACalifornia63-60
11/11/23ASeattle68-71
07/11/23HNorthwest Indian103-63
18/03/23AKansas State65-77
09/03/23HNorthern Arizona85-78
08/03/23HWeber State60-58 OT
06/03/23HNorthern Colorado84-73
28/02/23AEast. Washington79-74
25/02/23HPortland State91-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/23HWisc. Green Bay74-68
18/11/23ANorth Carolina52-77
12/11/23APortland65-76
11/11/23AUtah Utes53-82
08/11/23HCalifornia Merced76-69
11/03/23AUC Santa Barbara87-92
10/03/23HUC Davis68-52
05/03/23ACal Poly73-72 OT
03/03/23HUC Irvine65-75
24/02/23AHawaii54-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montana State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.878.065.5
Allowed / game62.058.565.5
Point differential+9.8+19.5+0.0
Avg total133.8136.5131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%50%0%
UC Riverside
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game64.075.056.7
Allowed / game74.468.578.3
Point differential-10.4+6.5-21.7
Avg total138.4143.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portland State65183%70.563.3+7.2
2 Weber State53260%69.660.6+9.0
3 Idaho State63350%69.257.3+11.8
4 Montana State42250%71.862.0+9.8
5 Montana42250%78.869.2+9.5
6 Northern Colorado63350%74.872.2+2.7
7 Idaho52340%74.269.2+5.0
8 Northern Arizona62433%62.576.7-14.2
9 Sacramento State61517%77.279.2-2.0
10 East. Washington4040%68.289.0-20.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC San Diego440100%88.265.5+22.8
2 Hawaii220100%81.067.0+14.0
3 UC Irvine54180%82.463.4+19.0
4 UC Davis32167%70.769.7+1.0
5 CS Northridge53260%79.474.4+5.0
6 CSU Bakersfield63350%64.569.0-4.5
7 Long Beach State73443%76.379.1-2.9
8 CS Fullerton52340%64.671.6-7.0
9 UC Riverside52340%64.074.4-10.4
10 UC Santa Barbara31233%82.781.0+1.7
11 Cal Poly62433%66.373.2-6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Montana State284169
UC Riverside293968
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