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Cal Poly vs UC Riverside Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 03:00
Final 72-73 (OT)
29-28 33-34 10-11
Position#355
Record6-23
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.3
Allowed / game65.9
vs
Position#88
Record20-11
FormWWWWL
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game68.9
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cal Poly v UC Riverside
06 Dec 2025
CAL 84
UC R88
22 Feb 2025
CAL 112
UC R100
24 Feb 2024
CAL 78
UC R84
04 Mar 2023
CAL 72
UC R73
13 Jan 2022
CAL 46
UC R57
16 Jan 2021
CAL 53
UC R70
15 Jan 2021
CAL 51
UC R86
22 Feb 2020
CAL 49
UC R61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cal Poly winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UC Riverside winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cal PolyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#197
L
52-70
52
70
-18
H27/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
36-65
36
65
-29
H29/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
62-68
62
68
-6
A03/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H05/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A10/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A11/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
62-70
62
70
-8
H16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A19/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
56-59
56
59
-3
H21/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H25/02
NCAA
1H
2H
29-39
23-31
16-37
20-28
27-35
35-33
25-36
31-33
28-28
26-27
28-20
25-44
27-26
35-44
21-36
41-47
31-27
25-32
26-24
26-34
120.6Avg total
54.5Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)59.365.9125.2-6.621%
Season at home (15)61.864.0125.8-2.233%
Season away (14)56.667.9124.5-11.27%
Last 10 (10)54.566.1120.6-11.60%
Last 5 (5)57.066.8123.8-9.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)56.966.4123.3-9.514%
vs Similar (7)61.064.9125.9-3.929%
vs Weaker (1)94.059.0153.0+35.0100%
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#312
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H28/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
L
76-82 OT
76
82
-6
A03/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A05/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H10/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A12/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H16/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H19/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
96-76
96
76
+20
A21/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A24/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
65-75
65
75
-10
H03/03
NCAA
1H
2H
39-37
33-28
35-33
35-37
26-31
32-33
33-27
39-38
27-38
37-45
38-30
50-46
27-24
47-39
49-34
47-42
14-25
40-27
30-36
35-39
142.0Avg total
71.9Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.168.9141.0+3.265%
Season at home (14)75.465.9141.3+9.671%
Season away (17)69.471.4140.8-2.159%
Last 10 (10)71.970.1142.0+1.860%
Last 5 (5)75.468.4143.8+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.079.3139.3-19.30%
vs Similar (17)69.668.0137.6+1.671%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)80.666.0146.6+14.680%
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: +2.1+2.1
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: +0.3+0.32nd half2nd half: -6.6-6.62nd half: +2.1+2.1
Cal PolyUC Riverside
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Cal PolyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Long Beach State
#197
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H27/01
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
16-37
16
37
-21
H29/01
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A03/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H05/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A10/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
28-20
28
20
+8
A11/02
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H16/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A19/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H21/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
26-24
26
24
+2
H25/02
NCAA
56.6Avg total
25.8Scored
30.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)27.030.257.2-3.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)29.430.359.7-0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)24.530.154.6-5.527%-
Last 10 (10)25.830.856.6-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)26.626.653.2+0.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)26.331.357.5-5.036%-
vs Similar (7)25.728.153.9-2.443%-
vs Weaker (1)51.021.072.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (UC Riverside) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UC RiversideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC San Diego
#312
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H28/01
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A03/02
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#119
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A05/02
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H10/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A12/02
NCAA
Long Beach State
#197
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H16/02
NCAA
UC Santa Barbara
#27
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H19/02
NCAA
CS Northridge
#354
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A21/02
NCAA
Hawaii
#80
L
14-25
14
25
-11
A24/02
NCAA
UC Irvine
#65
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H03/03
NCAA
63.3Avg total
31.8Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.032.765.7+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.331.165.4+3.257%-
Last 30 away (16)31.934.166.1-2.250%-
Last 10 (10)31.831.563.3+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.861.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.338.366.7-10.00%-
vs Similar (17)32.432.364.6+0.159%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)35.631.767.3+3.960%-
This opponent (Cal Poly) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cal Poly wins
7
UC Riverside wins
Cal Polylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/23HUC Davis52-58
21/02/23HUC Irvine56-59
19/02/23ACS Fullerton62-83
16/02/23HCSU Bakersfield62-70
11/02/23ACS Northridge53-64
10/02/23AUC Irvine54-55
05/02/23HHawaii56-69
03/02/23AUC Santa Barbara62-68
29/01/23HCS Fullerton36-65
27/01/23HLong Beach State52-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/23HUC Irvine65-75
24/02/23AHawaii54-52
21/02/23ACS Northridge96-76
19/02/23HUC Santa Barbara74-63
16/02/23HLong Beach State88-76
12/02/23AUC Irvine64-83
10/02/23HUC Davis72-65
05/02/23ACS Fullerton58-64
03/02/23ACSU Bakersfield76-82 OT
28/01/23HUC San Diego72-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cal Poly
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeLLLLL33%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %21%33%7%
Points / game59.361.856.6
Allowed / game65.964.067.9
Point differential-6.6-2.2-11.2
Avg total125.2125.8124.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%7%
UC Riverside
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL65%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %65%71%59%
Points / game72.175.469.4
Allowed / game68.965.971.4
Point differential+3.2+9.6-2.1
Avg total141.0141.3140.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)50% (2)88% (8)
Overtime %10%14%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UC Santa Barbara3124777%71.865.4+6.4
2 UC Irvine32221069%75.166.7+8.4
3 Hawaii31211068%66.762.0+4.7
4 UC Riverside31201165%72.168.9+3.2
5 CS Fullerton30181260%69.264.5+4.7
6 UC Davis31181358%75.571.2+4.3
7 Long Beach State32171553%76.874.0+2.8
8 UC San Diego30102033%68.673.0-4.4
9 CSU Bakersfield31102132%61.164.9-3.8
10 CS Northridge3172423%63.969.1-5.2
11 Cal Poly2962321%59.365.9-6.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Cal Poly29331072
UC Riverside28341173
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