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Montbrison W vs Aulnoye AS W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 66-50
15-17 17-10 17-13 17-10
Position#3
Record14-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game59.7
vs
Position#10
Record12-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game75.3
FranceLigue 2 WomenRound 21· Gymnase Jean-Pierre Cherblanc
Women2025-26
Meetings · Montbrison W v Aulnoye AS W
28 Feb 2026
MONT66
AULN50
01 Feb 2025
MONT85
AULN58
28 Sep 2024
MONT82
AULN71
21 Oct 2023
MONT60
AULN77
25 Feb 2023
MONT63
AULN67
05 Mar 2022
MONT71
AULN62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montbrison W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Aulnoye AS W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montbrison WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Graffenstaden W
#12
W
73-49
73
49
+24
70avg 65
H13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
61-75
61
75
-14
52avg 65
A17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#11
W
70-66
70
66
+4
71avg 65
H20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#7
W
81-64
81
64
+17
77avg 65
H10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#4
L
72-78
72
78
-6
no box
A17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
L
52-61
52
61
-9
42avg 65
H24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
93-63
93
63
+30
92avg 65
A31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
81-57
81
57
+24
83avg 65
A07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
W
89-61
89
61
+28
96avg 65
H14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
51-56
51
56
-5
49avg 65
A21/02
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-4
24-23
18-12
17-10
17-24
16-13
9-17
19-21
18-14
10-10
24-20
18-22
22-28
18-13
17-12
24-11
17-21
16-17
22-24
17-16
17-11
8-20
10-16
17-14
22-12
29-18
23-17
19-16
20-12
14-22
32-17
15-6
14-21
23-12
25-14
27-14
12-11
17-16
2-17
20-12
135.3Avg total
72.3Scored
63.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)69.559.7129.2+9.870%
Season at home (10)71.556.9128.4+14.690%
Season away (10)67.562.5130.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)72.363.0135.3+9.360%
Last 5 (5)73.259.6132.8+13.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.567.0130.5-3.50%
vs Similar (9)68.165.2133.3+2.956%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)69.657.6127.2+11.983%
This opponent (Aulnoye AS W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aulnoye AS WFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Pays Voironnais W
#2
L
72-84
72
84
-12
64avg 71
A13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
89-87
89
87
+2
84avg 71
H17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
no box
A20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
86-66
86
66
+20
88avg 71
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
no box
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Graffenstaden W
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
70avg 71
H24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
72-76
72
76
-4
66avg 71
A31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#11
W
74-65
74
65
+9
72avg 71
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
L
60-92
60
92
-32
50avg 71
A14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
72-59
72
59
+13
67avg 71
H21/02
Ligue 2 Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
19-24
17-18
19-24
15-21
20-22
22-27
32-17
26-19
18-18
24-26
18-21
25-24
22-16
18-14
21-12
21-29
16-19
18-8
17-16
21-21
22-13
19-25
14-21
23-15
16-20
15-23
18-18
26-11
17-17
13-18
18-19
20-25
15-20
12-26
13-21
23-8
18-14
11-16
20-21
155.0Avg total
77.3Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.675.3150.9+0.360%
Season at home (10)72.671.4144.0+1.270%
Season away (10)78.679.2157.8-0.650%
Last 10 (10)77.377.7155.0-0.460%
Last 5 (5)70.874.4145.2-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.280.1155.4-4.947%
vs Similar (7)77.074.1151.1+2.957%
vs Weaker (5)80.066.2146.2+13.880%
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
Montbrison WAulnoye AS W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Montbrison WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Graffenstaden W
#12
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#11
W
28-24
28
24
+4
H20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Union Hainaut W
#7
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Monaco W
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
L
25-31
25
31
-6
H24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Pays Voironnais W
#2
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A21/02
Ligue 2 Women
67.0Avg total
34.8Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.132.067.2+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.831.667.4+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)34.432.566.9+1.943%-
Last 10 (10)34.832.267.0+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.066.2+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.539.071.5-6.50%-
vs Similar (9)34.135.269.3-1.144%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)35.229.664.8+5.661%-
This opponent (Aulnoye AS W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Aulnoye AS WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pays Voironnais W
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/12
Ligue 2 Women
Mondeville W
#5
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H17/12
Ligue 2 Women
Rouen W
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A20/12
Ligue 2 Women
Centre Federal BB W
#13
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A10/01
Ligue 2 Women
Feytiat W
#6
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H17/01
Ligue 2 Women
Graffenstaden W
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H24/01
Ligue 2 Women
Tronche Meylan W
#1
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A31/01
Ligue 2 Women
Nice W
#11
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H07/02
Ligue 2 Women
Champagne W
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A14/02
Ligue 2 Women
Le Havre W
#14
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H21/02
Ligue 2 Women
77.4Avg total
40.0Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.237.075.1+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.637.074.6+0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)38.636.975.6+1.762%-
Last 10 (10)40.037.477.4+2.660%-
Last 5 (5)40.232.873.0+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.739.976.6-3.241%-
vs Similar (7)40.734.475.1+6.371%-
vs Weaker (5)39.232.872.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Montbrison W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montbrison Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montbrison W: 71.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.617.3
46.0%
45.0%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.4
34.7%
29.7%22.2
🏀 Free throws19.115.1
79.1%
72.1%15.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Aulnoye AS Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Aulnoye AS W: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 68.5 points a game
56%
26%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.721.1
48.3%
45.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.6
30.1%
29.7%19.8
🏀 Free throws14.812.3
83.1%
72.1%12.3
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montbrison W
LWWWLLWWLW
Aulnoye AS W
WLWLLWWWWL
#3
League position
#10
+13.0
Net rating
-4.4
89.3
Offensive rating
88.9
76.2
Defensive rating
93.3
48.2%
Effective FG%
47.3%
42.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
25.1%
Turnover %
19.9%
42.7%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.7%
3-point %
30.1%
70.4%
Assist %
62.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence89.3 · 88.9Defence76.2 · 93.3Shooting48.2% · 47.3%3-point %34.7% · 30.1%Ball care25.1% · 19.9%Off. rebounds42.7% · 30.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Montbrison W   ■ Aulnoye AS W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Montbrison W wins
6
Aulnoye AS W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AMondeville W51-56
14/02/26HPays Voironnais W89-61
07/02/26ARouen W81-57
31/01/26ALe Havre W93-63
24/01/26HChampagne W52-61
17/01/26AMonaco W72-78
10/01/26HUnion Hainaut W81-64
20/12/25HNice W70-66
17/12/25ATronche Meylan W61-75
13/12/25HGraffenstaden W73-49
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HLe Havre W72-59
14/02/26AChampagne W60-92
07/02/26HNice W74-65
31/01/26ATronche Meylan W72-76
24/01/26HGraffenstaden W76-80
17/01/26HFeytiat W86-84 OT
10/01/26ACentre Federal BB W86-66
20/12/25ARouen W86-84
17/12/25HMondeville W89-87
13/12/25APays Voironnais W72-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montbrison W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWWLW90%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %70%90%50%
Points / game69.571.567.5
Allowed / game59.756.962.5
Point differential+9.8+14.6+5.0
Avg total129.2128.4130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%70%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Aulnoye AS W
Ligue 2 Women 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%70%50%
Points / game75.672.678.6
Allowed / game75.371.479.2
Point differential+0.3+1.2-0.6
Avg total150.9144.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tronche Meylan W2015575%73.563.1+10.4
2 Montbrison W2014670%69.559.7+9.8
3 Pays Voironnais W2014670%71.264.0+7.2
4 Champagne W2012860%67.262.7+4.5
5 Monaco W2012860%75.671.1+4.5
6 Feytiat W2012860%72.568.8+3.7
7 Aulnoye AS W2012860%75.675.3+0.3
8 Mondeville W2011955%71.267.0+4.2
9 Union Hainaut W2011955%66.865.2+1.7
10 Rouen W2081240%69.572.0-2.5
11 Graffenstaden W2081240%68.774.4-5.7
12 Nice W2071335%69.074.2-5.2
13 Centre Federal BB W2131814%61.376.4-15.1
14 Le Havre W2121910%63.079.3-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montbrison W1517171766
Aulnoye AS W1710131050
← all games of the day
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