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Montecatini vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-96
19-18 16-31 18-28 25-19
Position#20
Record1-1
FormLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game78.0
Montecatini
Italy
vs
Brindisi 🏆
Italy
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game70.0
ItalySerie A2Round 3· PalaTerme
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montecatini winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MontecatiniItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontecatini
Date
Competition
Rimini
#5
L
59-84
59
84
-25
46avg 36
H27/09
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
81-72
81
72
+9
26avg 36
A04/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
18-14
13-28
7-22
28-16
19-15
15-20
19-21
148.0Avg total
70.0Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.078.0148.0-8.050%
Season at home (1)59.084.0143.0-25.00%
Season away (1)81.072.0153.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (2)70.078.0148.0-8.050%
Last 5 (2)70.078.0148.0-8.050%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)70.078.0148.0-8.050%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
77-85
77
85
-8
73avg 68
A08/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
71-81
71
81
-10
65avg 68
H12/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 68
A19/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 68
H26/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
78-80
78
80
-2
76avg 68
A07/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
71-86
71
86
-15
62avg 68
A09/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
77-70
77
70
+7
72avg 68
H12/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
69-77
69
77
-8
62avg 68
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
66-59
66
59
+7
61avg 68
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
84-81
84
81
+3
35avg 68
H04/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
27-24
24-20
15-15
15-22
23-27
20-16
13-16
22-14
18-25
16-17
15-23
23-20
12-15
14-23
25-18
21-14
18-20
19-23
20-23
16-26
20-23
17-12
18-25
18-12
24-16
14-13
21-29
22-15
14-24
23-21
10-17
15-18
17-14
16-13
18-14
29-21
19-18
21-21
15-21
151.2Avg total
73.8Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
Season at home (1)84.081.0165.0+3.0100%
Season away (1)66.059.0125.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.877.4151.2-3.630%
Last 5 (5)73.474.6148.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)77.277.9155.2-0.741%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)75.872.8148.6+2.969%
This opponent (Montecatini) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -10.0-10.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -8.5-8.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -10.0-10.0Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -8.5-8.5Q4: -3.1-3.1
MontecatiniBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MontecatiniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/09
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A04/10
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
43.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (2)43.032.575.5+10.5100%-
Last 30 at home (1)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)47.031.078.0+16.0100%-
Last 10 (2)43.032.575.5+10.5100%-
Last 5 (2)43.032.575.5+10.5100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.032.575.5+10.5100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A08/04
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
H12/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A19/04
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H26/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A09/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H12/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H14/05
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A27/09
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H04/10
Serie A2
77.8Avg total
38.4Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.575.9+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.434.775.1+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)36.440.376.7-3.920%-
Last 10 (10)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.837.476.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)39.638.478.1+1.241%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.836.373.1+0.546%-
This opponent (Montecatini) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montecatinitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montecatini: 43.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀34%
🏀🏀 2-pointers18.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers10.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers20.59.0
43.9%
51.4%18.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.53.5
25.9%
34.6%10.5
🏀 Free throws21.015.0
71.4%
70.8%15.0
They take 34.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 13.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 67.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.514.8
51.9%
51.4%29.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.5
30.4%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws19.815.2
76.8%
70.8%15.2
They take 53.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montecatini
WL
Brindisi
WWLWLLLLLL
#20
League position
#6
-10.7
Net rating
-8.1
84.3
Offensive rating
87.8
95.0
Defensive rating
95.9
41.9%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
0.62
Free-throw rate
0.37
25.9%
3-point %
30.4%
36.0%
Assist %
54.3%
50%
Form (last 2/10)
30%

Profile

Offence84.3 · 87.8Defence95.0 · 95.9Shooting41.9% · 49.0%3-point %25.9% · 30.4%Ball care13.9% · 15.4%Free throws0.62 · 0.37Form (last 2/10)50% · 30%
■ Montecatini   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Montecatini wins
0
Brindisi wins
No previous meetings.
Montecatinilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26ASassari81-72
27/09/26HRimini59-84
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/26HUrania Milano84-81
27/09/26AJuVi Cremona66-59
14/05/26HVerona69-77
12/05/26HVerona77-70
09/05/26AVerona71-86
07/05/26AVerona78-80
26/04/26HRuvo Di Puglia74-76
19/04/26APistoia71-79
12/04/26HFortitudo Bologna71-81
08/04/26AScafati77-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montecatini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Losses (last 2)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game70.059.081.0
Allowed / game78.084.072.0
Point differential-8.0-25.0+9.0
Avg total148.0143.0153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brindisi
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.084.066.0
Allowed / game70.081.059.0
Point differential+5.0+3.0+7.0
Avg total145.0165.0125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
2 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
3 Fortitudo Bologna220100%87.575.5+12.0
4 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
5 Avellino Basket220100%80.070.5+9.5
6 Pesaro220100%91.582.5+9.0
7 Brindisi220100%75.070.0+5.0
8 Sassari32167%76.374.3+2.0
9 Rimini21150%78.066.0+12.0
10 Cividale21150%77.084.0-7.0
11 Basket Torino21150%70.578.0-7.5
12 Montecatini21150%70.078.0-8.0
13 Ruvo Di Puglia31233%83.088.7-5.7
14 Mestre31233%67.377.3-10.0
15 Pistoia2020%69.573.5-4.0
16 Urania Milano3030%79.083.3-4.3
17 Caserta2020%77.082.0-5.0
18 JuVi Cremona2020%71.576.5-5.0
19 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
20 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Montecatini1916182578
Brindisi1831281996
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