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Sassari vs Montecatini Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-81
16-28 15-19 20-15 21-19
Position#11
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game68.0
Sassari
Italy
vs
Montecatini 🏆
Italy
Position#20
Record0-1
FormL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game84.0
ItalySerie A2Round 2· Palasport Roberta Serradimigni
Other2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Montecatini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SassariItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
99-96 OT
99
96
+3
89avg 78
A07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
99-102
99
102
-3
95avg 78
H15/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
87-99
87
99
-12
85avg 78
A22/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
L
103-108
103
108
-5
104avg 78
H29/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
79avg 78
A04/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
90-91
90
91
-1
87avg 78
A12/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
79-98
79
98
-19
62avg 78
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
73-80
73
80
-7
67avg 78
H03/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 78
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#19
W
70-68
70
68
+2
59avg 78
A27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-20
21-19
14-28
24-23
31-23
26-28
23-24
19-27
27-22
16-33
19-24
25-20
22-26
37-26
20-24
24-32
28-20
14-25
24-16
12-19
20-24
22-27
25-12
23-28
18-33
16-19
26-27
19-19
13-14
24-16
15-30
21-20
16-27
15-30
24-15
16-20
18-19
20-12
19-15
13-22
176.3Avg total
84.9Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.991.4176.3-6.520%
Last 5 (5)76.685.8162.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)83.489.7173.1-6.328%
vs Similar (11)84.386.3170.5-2.027%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)70.068.0138.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Montecatini) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontecatiniItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMontecatini
Date
Competition
Rimini
#5
L
59-84
59
84
-25
46avg 46
H27/09
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
18-14
13-28
7-22
143.0Avg total
59.0Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)59.084.0143.0-25.00%
Season at home (1)59.084.0143.0-25.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (1)59.084.0143.0-25.00%
Last 5 (1)59.084.0143.0-25.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)59.084.0143.0-25.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -15.0-15.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -15.0-15.0
-19-9+0+9+19Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -15.0-15.0Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: -15.0-15.0
SassariMontecatini
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A07/03
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H15/03
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
A22/03
Lega A
Treviso
#14
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H29/03
Lega A
Cantu
#15
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A04/04
Lega A
Varese
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A12/04
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H19/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H03/05
Lega A
Brescia
#4
L
31-57
31
57
-26
A10/05
Lega A
Urania Milano
#19
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A27/09
Serie A2
89.8Avg total
43.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.143.083.1-3.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.742.585.2+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)37.843.581.2-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)43.546.389.8-2.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.444.280.6-7.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)39.444.083.4-4.633%-
vs Similar (11)41.442.583.9-1.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)38.031.069.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Montecatini) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MontecatiniLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#5
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H27/09
Serie A2
73.0Avg total
39.0Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (1)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
Last 30 at home (1)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
Last 30 awayno games
Last 10 (1)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
Last 5 (1)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sassari) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.9
52.9%
51.4%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.57.9
33.6%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.819.1
77.0%
70.8%19.1
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Montecatinitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montecatini: 59.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀44%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers9.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws26.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.012.0
38.7%
51.4%24.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.03.0
16.7%
34.6%9.0
🏀 Free throws38.026.0
68.4%
70.8%26.0
They take 49.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sassari
WLLLLLLLLW
Montecatini
L
#11
League position
#20
-7.7
Net rating
-28.9
98.3
Offensive rating
74.2
105.9
Defensive rating
103.1
52.0%
Effective FG%
33.7%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.7%
14.9%
Turnover %
16.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.78
33.6%
3-point %
16.7%
56.9%
Assist %
26.7%
20%
Form (last 10/1)
1%

Profile

Offence98.3 · 74.2Defence105.9 · 103.1Shooting52.0% · 33.7%3-point %33.6% · 16.7%Ball care14.9% · 16.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.78Form (last 10/1)20% · 0%
■ Sassari   ■ Montecatini
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sassari wins
0
Montecatini wins
No previous meetings.
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26AUrania Milano70-68
10/05/26ABrescia71-92
03/05/26HVirtus Bologna73-80
19/04/26HVenezia79-98
12/04/26AVarese90-91
04/04/26ACantu78-80
29/03/26HTreviso103-108
22/03/26AOlimpia Milano87-99
15/03/26HReggiana99-102
07/03/26ATrento99-96 OT
Montecatinilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/26HRimini59-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sassari
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game70.0-70.0
Allowed / game68.0-68.0
Point differential+2.0-+2.0
Avg total138.0-138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Montecatini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Losses (last 1)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game59.059.0-
Allowed / game84.084.0-
Point differential-25.0-25.0-
Avg total143.0143.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini110100%84.059.0+25.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna110100%92.070.0+22.0
3 Libertas Livorno220100%75.555.5+20.0
4 Avellino Basket110100%87.069.0+18.0
5 Pesaro110100%96.081.0+15.0
6 Forli220100%82.570.5+12.0
7 Sebastiani Rieti220100%80.068.5+11.5
8 Brindisi110100%66.059.0+7.0
9 Sassari110100%70.068.0+2.0
10 Mestre21150%64.072.5-8.5
11 Pistoia1010%62.063.0-1.0
12 Urania Milano1010%68.070.0-2.0
13 JuVi Cremona1010%59.066.0-7.0
14 Caserta1010%73.081.0-8.0
15 Cento2020%77.088.0-11.0
16 Vigevano2020%66.583.0-16.5
17 Cividale1010%68.085.0-17.0
18 Basket Torino1010%57.079.0-22.0
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1010%70.092.0-22.0
20 Montecatini1010%59.084.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sassari1615202172
Montecatini2819151981
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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