PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Montenegro W vs Israel W Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 17 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 73-68
Projected total 141.5
Scheduled
Position#15
Record5-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game62.0
Montenegro W
Vs
66%
34%
■ MONT 66%■ ISRA 34%
Pythia win probability
Israel W
Position#10
Record6-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game71.2
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 3· Topolica Sport Hall
Women2025
Meetings · Montenegro W v Israel W
17 Nov 2026
MONT v ISRA
upcoming
12 Nov 2020
MONT73
ISRA66
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Montenegro W will host Israel W on 17 November 2026 in the European Championship Women, with the model favouring the Montenegrin side at 66% to 34% and projecting a 73-68 win for the home team. Montenegro has gone 5-3 in all eight games this season, averaging 74.6 points scored and 62.0 points allowed, while Israel is 6-2 with 82.4 points for and 71.2 against; Montenegro's home record is 3-1 with 72.5 points for and 57.0 against, and Israel's road record is perfect at 3-0 with 88.0 points for and 65.7 against. In the last five games Montenegro won four and lost one, including a 61-56 home victory over Poland W on 14 November 2026, whereas Israel won three of its last five, notably a 90-54 away win over Ireland W on 17 March 2026. The two teams have met twice before, with Montenegro winning both encounters, the most recent being a 78-52 triumph on 6 February 2021. The projected total is 141.5 points, and the model gives a 5% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Montenegro W win
66.2%fair 1.51
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Israel W win
33.8%fair 2.96
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 15 Nov 07:37 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Montenegro WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
L
53-87
53
87
-34
H20/06
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
49-63
49
63
-14
H22/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
L
65-71
65
71
-6
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
104-62
104
62
+42
A15/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
L
62-66
62
66
-4
A18/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
W
79-61
79
61
+18
A11/03
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
94-35
94
35
+59
H14/03
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
W
70-66
70
66
+4
H17/03
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A11/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#7
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H14/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-31
24-17
13-15
8-24
11-14
13-16
12-18
13-15
16-18
18-15
13-21
18-17
36-18
25-16
28-9
15-19
21-18
15-14
14-20
12-14
28-21
10-17
18-15
23-8
22-7
20-8
27-12
25-8
27-18
16-14
15-17
12-17
14-18
17-19
11-20
20-22
15-14
19-16
13-13
14-13
134.5Avg total
69.9Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.662.0136.6+12.662%
Season at home (4)72.557.0129.5+15.575%
Season away (4)76.867.0143.8+9.850%
Last 10 (10)69.964.6134.5+5.350%
Last 5 (5)73.259.4132.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)63.268.4131.5-5.246%
vs Similar ◀ (3)51.777.0128.7-25.30%
vs Weaker (14)74.955.5130.4+19.479%
This opponent (Israel W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Israel WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia W
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H06/02
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
39-100
39
100
-61
H09/02
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#31
W
98-91
98
91
+7
A12/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#25
W
77-65
77
65
+12
H15/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#28
W
93-86 OT
93
86
+7
H18/11
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#31
W
94-71
94
71
+23
H11/03
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#25
W
76-52
76
52
+24
A14/03
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#28
W
90-54
90
54
+36
A17/03
European Championship Women
Poland W
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
H11/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#4
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H14/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-15
25-34
9-20
29-14
16-29
9-21
3-26
11-24
19-26
25-27
27-21
27-17
19-21
24-14
16-20
18-10
21-23
16-15
21-18
19-21
25-17
17-20
25-21
27-13
18-14
24-15
21-13
13-10
29-8
19-13
27-15
15-18
18-17
16-17
21-15
9-26
10-22
19-25
20-13
18-16
153.1Avg total
77.8Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.471.2153.6+11.175%
Season at home (5)79.074.6153.6+4.460%
Season away (3)88.065.7153.7+22.3100%
Last 10 (10)77.875.3153.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)78.265.6143.8+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)59.682.4142.1-22.80%
vs Similar ◀ (3)71.067.0138.0+4.067%
vs Weaker (8)88.167.1155.2+21.0100%
This opponent (Montenegro W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 139.5
Over 139.5
54.3%
Under 139.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 144.5
Over 144.5
42.2%
Under 144.5
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149.5
Over 149.5
31.0%
Under 149.5
69.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Montenegro W total 70
Over 70
62.6%
Under 70
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montenegro W total 74
Over 74
46.4%
Under 74
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montenegro W total 78
Over 78
30.8%
Under 78
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Israel W total 67
Over 67
55.2%
Under 67
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Israel W total 71
Over 71
39.3%
Under 71
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Israel W total 75
Over 75
25.2%
Under 75
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Montenegro W -3
MONT -3
57.8%
ISRA +3
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
MONT
No market prices yet.
ISRA
No market prices yet.
Spread Montenegro W 0
MONT 0
66.2%
ISRA 0
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
MONT
No market prices yet.
ISRA
No market prices yet.
Spread Montenegro W +3
MONT +3
74.4%
ISRA -3
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
MONT
No market prices yet.
ISRA
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.7+1.7
Montenegro WIsrael W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Montenegro WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belgium W
#1
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H20/06
European Championship Women
Portugal W
#12
L
24-30
24
30
-6
H22/06
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
61-34
61
34
+27
A15/11
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A18/11
European Championship Women
Ukraine W
#20
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A11/03
European Championship Women
Azerbaijan W
#38
W
42-15
42
15
+27
H14/03
European Championship Women
Bulgaria W
#8
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H17/03
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#4
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A11/11
European Championship Women
Poland W
#7
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H14/11
European Championship Women
70.4Avg total
37.5Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.331.866.1+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.828.363.1+6.582%-
Last 30 away (13)33.736.370.0-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)37.532.970.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.630.468.0+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)33.235.268.3-2.054%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)26.037.363.3-11.30%-
vs Weaker (14)37.227.464.6+9.886%-
This opponent (Israel W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Israel WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia W
#13
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H06/02
European Championship Women
France W
#3
L
25-50
25
50
-25
H09/02
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#31
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A12/11
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#25
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H15/11
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H18/11
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#31
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H11/03
European Championship Women
Luxembourg W
#25
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A14/03
European Championship Women
Ireland W
#28
W
48-21
48
21
+27
A17/03
European Championship Women
Poland W
#7
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H11/11
European Championship Women
Turkey W
#4
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H14/11
European Championship Women
77.9Avg total
38.6Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (25)35.038.873.9-3.836%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.839.072.8-5.231%-
Last 30 away (12)36.338.775.0-2.342%-
Last 10 (10)38.639.377.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.033.672.6+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.141.973.0-10.721%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)29.036.365.3-7.30%-
vs Weaker (8)44.134.578.6+9.675%-
This opponent (Montenegro W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Montenegro Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Montenegro W: 64.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.117.6
44.9%
-35.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.36.9
26.2%
-20.7
🏀 Free throws14.48.8
60.8%
-8.8
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Israel Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel W: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.718.8
44.1%
-37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.5
31.9%
-25.5
🏀 Free throws15.311.0
71.7%
-11.0
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/6 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Montenegro W
WLWWWLWLLL
Israel W
LLWWWWWWLL
#15
League position
#10
-1.8
Net rating
-9.3
85.5
Offensive rating
86.3
87.3
Defensive rating
95.6
42.6%
Effective FG%
45.6%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
21.3%
25.9%
Off. rebound %
22.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
26.2%
3-point %
31.9%
63.6%
Assist %
67.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Montenegro W   ■ Israel W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Montenegro W wins
0
Israel W wins
DateGameScore
06/02/21Israel W v Montenegro W52-78
12/11/20Montenegro W v Israel W73-66
Montenegro Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPoland W61-56
11/11/26ATurkey W62-79
17/03/26HBulgaria W70-66
14/03/26HAzerbaijan W94-35
11/03/26AUkraine W79-61
18/11/25ABulgaria W62-66
15/11/25AAzerbaijan W104-62
12/11/25HUkraine W65-71
22/06/25HPortugal W49-63
20/06/25HBelgium W53-87
Israel Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HTurkey W67-76
11/11/26HPoland W64-75
17/03/26AIreland W90-54
14/03/26ALuxembourg W76-52
11/03/26HBosnia & Herzegovina W94-71
18/11/25HIreland W93-86 OT
15/11/25HLuxembourg W77-65
12/11/25ABosnia & Herzegovina W98-91
09/02/25HFrance W39-100
06/02/25HLatvia W80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Montenegro W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game74.672.576.8
Allowed / game62.057.067.0
Point differential+12.6+15.5+9.8
Avg total136.6129.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Israel W
European Championship Women 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %75%60%100%
Points / game82.479.088.0
Allowed / game71.274.665.7
Point differential+11.1+4.4+22.3
Avg total153.6153.6153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 France W220100%102.053.0+49.0
2 Serbia W660100%82.865.0+17.8
3 Italy W220100%69.055.5+13.5
4 Turkey W220100%77.564.5+13.0
5 Spain W220100%79.067.5+11.5
6 Hungary W220100%67.560.0+7.5
7 Poland W87188%75.453.2+22.1
8 Bulgaria W86275%88.663.1+25.5
9 Latvia W86275%77.964.2+13.6
10 Israel W86275%82.471.2+11.1
11 Great Britain W86275%78.471.0+7.4
12 Belgium W32167%86.074.3+11.7
13 Lithuania W32167%78.070.0+8.0
14 Finland W32167%78.082.3-4.3
15 Montenegro W85362%74.662.0+12.6
16 Greece W85362%89.577.4+12.1
17 Croatia W85362%80.273.0+7.2
18 Slovenia W85362%75.870.1+5.6
19 Austria W85362%73.970.2+3.6
20 Ukraine W84450%72.066.4+5.6
21 Germany W21150%76.070.5+5.5
22 Slovakia W84450%70.164.6+5.5
23 Netherlands W84450%79.178.0+1.1
24 Denmark W83538%83.279.6+3.6
25 Luxembourg W83538%65.070.4-5.4
26 Portugal W62433%67.367.8-0.5
27 Switzerland W62433%69.773.2-3.5
28 Ireland W62433%73.580.3-6.8
29 Romania W62433%58.775.0-16.3
30 Iceland W41325%64.284.0-19.8
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina W61517%71.285.8-14.7
32 North Macedonia W61517%62.596.5-34.0
33 Czech Republic W2020%70.077.5-7.5
34 Sweden W3030%73.388.7-15.3
35 Estonia W6060%62.086.8-24.8
36 Norway W6060%51.075.8-24.8
37 Cyprus W6060%54.280.2-26.0
38 Azerbaijan W6060%45.7105.0-59.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 38 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.