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Morehead State vs UT Martin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 68-76
43-32 25-44
Position#112
Record7-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game77.5
vs
Position#72
Record11-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.9
Allowed / game65.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Morehead State v UT Martin
08 Jan 2026
MORE68
UT M76
19 Dec 2024
MORE70
UT M69
18 Jan 2024
MORE84
UT M66
25 Feb 2023
MORE72
UT M58
12 Jan 2022
MORE76
UT M62
23 Jan 2021
MORE76
UT M44
01 Feb 2020
MORE85
UT M77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UT Martin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A23/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A29/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
52-84
52
84
-32
A03/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A06/12
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
78-64
78
64
+14
H17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
W
64-60 OT
64
60
+4
A20/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#622
W
115-65
115
65
+50
H28/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A01/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-38
31-39
38-44
45-36
30-33
50-52
28-33
24-51
42-39
30-41
46-29
32-35
26-33
29-22
61-30
54-35
38-44
26-33
33-35
40-37
148.7Avg total
74.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.077.5154.5-0.547%
Season at home (4)100.866.0166.8+34.8100%
Season away (11)68.481.7150.1-13.427%
Last 10 (10)74.374.4148.7-0.150%
Last 5 (5)78.867.6146.4+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)61.776.5138.2-14.718%
vs Similar (12)64.970.4135.3-5.533%
vs Weaker (6)85.870.7156.5+15.283%
This opponent (UT Martin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT MartinUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A23/11
NCAA
Brescia
#478
W
75-50
75
50
+25
H26/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H02/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H07/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A11/12
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#678
W
96-52
96
52
+44
H14/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A19/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
86-62
86
62
+24
A20/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
W
67-60
67
60
+7
H01/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-41
38-29
43-18
32-32
36-31
37-25
30-35
44-29
27-34
27-49
48-34
48-18
37-32
34-46
32-31
54-31
29-31
38-29
34-41
31-20
135.7Avg total
72.1Scored
63.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.965.4140.3+9.573%
Season at home (7)78.155.0133.1+23.1100%
Season away (8)72.174.5146.6-2.450%
Last 10 (10)72.163.6135.7+8.570%
Last 5 (5)77.062.6139.6+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)79.090.0169.0-11.00%
vs Similar (11)70.673.9144.5-3.336%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)74.965.8140.7+9.172%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: -2.0-2.02nd half: +7.5+7.5
Morehead StateUT Martin
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A22/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A23/11
NCAA
IU Indy
#360
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Murray State
#102
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A03/12
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A06/12
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H17/12
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#357
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A20/12
NCAA
Alice Loyd
#622
W
61-30
61
30
+31
H28/12
NCAA
Lindenwood
#162
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A01/01
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#118
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/01
NCAA
73.1Avg total
37.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.934.166.9-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.032.268.2+3.850%-
Last 30 away (18)30.835.366.1-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)37.335.873.1+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.275.0+6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)29.937.467.3-7.518%-
vs Similar (12)30.331.061.3-0.758%-
vs Weaker (6)38.734.873.5+3.833%-
This opponent (UT Martin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UT MartinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Miss
#174
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A23/11
NCAA
Brescia
#478
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H26/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H02/12
NCAA
Alabama State
#330
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H07/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A11/12
NCAA
Champion Christian Tigers
#678
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A19/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#270
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A20/12
NCAA
Western Illinois
#366
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H01/01
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H03/01
NCAA
66.6Avg total
33.8Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.868.4-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.631.966.4+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)32.837.370.1-4.525%-
Last 10 (10)33.832.866.6+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)36.033.869.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.046.079.0-13.00%-
vs Similar (11)32.736.569.2-3.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)34.233.167.3+1.144%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Morehead State wins
2
UT Martin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ASiu Edwardsville73-72
01/01/26ALindenwood64-77
28/12/25HAlice Loyd115-65
20/12/25ASouthern Indiana64-60 OT
17/12/25HUALR78-64
06/12/25APresbyterian72-80
03/12/25AMurray State52-84
29/11/25AIU Indy80-85
23/11/25ALouisiana Monroe83-80
22/11/25AEast Tennessee St62-77
UT Martinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26HEastern Illinois65-61
01/01/26HWestern Illinois67-60
20/12/25ATennessee Tech86-62
19/12/25ATennessee State71-78
14/12/25HChampion Christian Tigers96-52
11/12/25ASouthern Illinois54-83
07/12/25HAlabama State74-64
02/12/25HCharleston Southern73-56
26/11/25HBrescia75-50
23/11/25ASouthern Miss60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW47%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWLW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15411
Win %47%100%27%
Points / game77.0100.868.4
Allowed / game77.566.081.7
Point differential-0.5+34.8-13.4
Avg total154.5166.8150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %7%0%9%
UT Martin
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %73%100%50%
Points / game74.978.172.1
Allowed / game65.455.074.5
Point differential+9.5+23.1-2.4
Avg total140.3133.1146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%71%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin1511473%74.965.4+9.5
2 Tennessee State149564%80.576.3+4.2
3 Lindenwood1610662%81.471.2+10.2
4 Siu Edwardsville1610662%74.865.9+8.9
5 Southeast Missouri State158753%77.973.9+4.1
6 Morehead State157847%77.077.5-0.5
7 Tennessee Tech156940%78.078.8-0.8
8 UALR1551033%69.977.7-7.8
9 Eastern Illinois1441029%65.473.5-8.1
10 Western Illinois1541127%66.574.5-8.0
11 Southern Indiana1431121%71.075.7-4.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morehead State432568
UT Martin324476
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