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East Tennessee St vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 22 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 77-62
38-31 39-31
Position#61
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.8
Allowed / game63.8
vs
Position#112
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game83.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · East Tennessee St v Morehead State
29 Nov 2026
EAST v MORE
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
EAST77
MORE62
11 Dec 2021
EAST82
MORE75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

East Tennessee St winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

East Tennessee StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
71-78
71
78
-7
A16/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
W
65-49
65
49
+16
H20/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
81-66
81
66
+15
A01/03
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
60-72
60
72
-12
H08/03
NCAA
Converse Valkyries
#642
W
102-50
102
50
+52
H05/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H13/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
W
78-74
78
74
+4
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-36
41-42
32-32
33-17
26-26
47-42
28-31
31-27
38-23
43-43
27-27
33-45
56-23
46-27
26-25
38-43
33-32
42-31
31-46
47-28
137.4Avg total
72.8Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)79.863.8143.5+16.075%
Season at home (2)88.556.5145.0+32.0100%
Season away (2)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)72.864.6137.4+8.270%
Last 5 (5)75.865.4141.2+10.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)68.967.7136.6+1.347%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)72.465.1137.5+7.271%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
62-80
62
80
-18
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H22/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
L
65-73
65
73
-8
A06/03
NCAA
Midway
#519
W
89-84
89
84
+5
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
81-120
81
120
-39
A09/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A12/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
121-51
121
51
+70
H16/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-35
32-45
25-22
37-45
22-29
33-35
24-20
35-27
30-21
35-52
32-44
57-40
31-44
34-37
42-64
39-56
20-39
36-44
60-26
61-25
146.5Avg total
71.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.483.8166.2-1.440%
Season at home (2)105.067.5172.5+37.5100%
Season away (3)67.394.7162.0-27.30%
Last 10 (10)71.575.0146.5-3.530%
Last 5 (5)82.483.8166.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)64.573.5138.0-9.036%
vs Similar (12)65.068.6133.6-3.642%
vs Weaker (4)97.565.2162.8+32.2100%
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -0.7-0.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: -0.7-0.7
East Tennessee StMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
East Tennessee StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A16/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H20/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H26/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
38-23
38
23
+15
A01/03
NCAA
Wofford
#169
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Converse Valkyries
#642
W
56-23
56
23
+33
H05/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A08/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#130
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H13/11
NCAA
North Alabama
#341
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A15/11
NCAA
62.8Avg total
32.7Scored
30.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.031.965.9+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.129.966.1+6.257%-
Last 30 away (16)32.133.665.7-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)32.730.162.8+2.640%-
Last 5 (5)34.630.665.2+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)31.931.363.3+0.633%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)34.633.167.7+1.657%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#295
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H22/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#188
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A28/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#263
W
24-20
24
20
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#217
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A06/03
NCAA
Midway
#519
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H04/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia
#68
L
42-64
42
64
-22
A09/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
20-39
20
39
-19
A12/11
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
60-26
60
26
+34
H16/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
31.6Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.832.663.4-1.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.431.663.9+0.850%-
Last 30 away (16)29.433.462.9-4.050%-
Last 10 (10)31.634.466.0-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)29.434.664.0-5.336%-
vs Similar (12)29.730.860.4-1.158%-
vs Weaker (4)39.230.870.0+8.575%-
This opponent (East Tennessee St) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
East Tennessee St wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/25ANorth Alabama78-74
13/11/25HNorthern Kentucky75-63
08/11/25APresbyterian64-68
05/11/25HConverse Valkyries102-50
08/03/25HWofford60-72
01/03/25ACitadel81-66
26/02/25HMercer59-58
22/02/25AWofford73-68
20/02/25HNC Greensboro65-49
16/02/25AChattanooga Mocs71-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/25HKentucky Christian121-51
12/11/25AClemson56-83
09/11/25AGeorgia81-120
08/11/25AWake Forest65-81
04/11/25HMidway89-84
06/03/25ALindenwood65-73
01/03/25AUT Martin59-47
28/02/25ATennessee State55-64
22/02/25HEastern Illinois62-67
21/02/25HSiu Edwardsville62-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

East Tennessee St
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game79.888.571.0
Allowed / game63.856.571.0
Point differential+16.0+32.0+0.0
Avg total143.5145.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Morehead State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game82.4105.067.3
Allowed / game83.867.594.7
Point differential-1.4+37.5-27.3
Avg total166.2172.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St43175%79.863.8+16.0
2 Western Carolina53260%73.674.2-0.6
3 Wofford53260%74.880.6-5.8
4 VMI63350%82.574.7+7.8
5 Mercer42250%80.880.0+0.8
6 Samford63350%78.080.0-2.0
7 Furman52340%70.866.8+4.0
8 Citadel52340%80.078.0+2.0
9 Chattanooga Mocs52340%75.676.8-1.2
10 NC Greensboro5050%75.093.0-18.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UT Martin43175%83.569.2+14.2
2 Tennessee Tech63350%81.069.8+11.2
3 Siu Edwardsville63350%74.067.3+6.7
4 Tennessee State52340%87.279.4+7.8
5 Morehead State52340%82.483.8-1.4
6 UALR52340%69.879.0-9.2
7 Eastern Illinois52340%60.270.0-9.8
8 Lindenwood62433%73.880.3-6.5
9 Southeast Missouri State51420%76.081.0-5.0
10 Southern Indiana51420%75.683.2-7.6
11 Western Illinois51420%64.872.6-7.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
East Tennessee St383977
Morehead State313162
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