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Morgan State vs N. Carolina Central Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 78-89
32-35 46-54
Position#244
Record4-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#258
Record6-11
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Morgan State v N. Carolina Central
12 Jan 2026
MORG78
N. C89
07 Jan 2025
MORG102
N. C98
04 Mar 2024
MORG88
N. C79
07 Jan 2023
MORG78
N. C73
12 Feb 2022
MORG64
N. C74
10 Feb 2020
MORG57
N. C58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morgan State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
N. Carolina Central winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morgan StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#193
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H25/11
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
80-84
80
84
-4
H06/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
49-92
49
92
-43
A10/12
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H13/12
NCAA
California
#79
L
50-97
50
97
-47
A20/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
64-94
64
94
-30
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A23/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
92-55
92
55
+37
H30/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-34
38-37
38-42
42-42
15-46
34-46
35-33
46-40
23-50
27-47
28-42
36-52
21-40
35-43
49-32
43-23
30-38
19-28
32-34
40-33
144.1Avg total
65.9Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)69.480.0149.4-10.625%
Season at home (8)80.573.4153.9+7.150%
Season away (8)58.286.6144.9-28.40%
Last 10 (10)65.978.2144.1-12.330%
Last 5 (5)66.673.0139.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)68.881.8150.5-13.017%
vs Similar ◀ (10)72.283.8156.0-11.620%
vs Weaker (8)81.569.1150.6+12.488%
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#274
L
67-82
67
82
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
109-61
109
61
+48
H29/11
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
62-67
62
67
-5
A04/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
L
54-69
54
69
-15
H06/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
67-103
67
103
-36
A10/12
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#551
W
96-62
96
62
+34
H18/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H20/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
67-90
67
90
-23
A29/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
69-67
69
67
+2
H03/01
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
88-77
88
77
+11
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
24-39
43-43
46-28
63-33
24-35
38-32
35-26
19-43
31-52
36-51
45-30
51-32
36-36
36-38
33-36
34-54
38-31
31-36
31-45
57-32
150.3Avg total
75.1Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)73.077.8150.8-4.835%
Season at home (7)85.765.9151.6+19.971%
Season away (10)64.186.1150.2-22.010%
Last 10 (10)75.175.2150.3-0.140%
Last 5 (5)78.474.0152.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)67.783.7151.4-15.920%
vs Similar ◀ (6)72.881.0153.8-8.233%
vs Weaker (9)85.967.2153.1+18.778%
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.2-9.21st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +1.4+1.4
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: -9.2-9.21st half: -1.5-1.52nd half2nd half: -3.1-3.12nd half: +1.4+1.4
Morgan StateN. Carolina Central
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Drexel
#193
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H25/11
NCAA
Longwood
#202
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H06/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
15-46
15
46
-31
A10/12
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H13/12
NCAA
California
#79
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A20/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#191
L
28-42
28
42
-14
A21/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymount
#234
L
21-40
21
40
-19
A23/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H30/12
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A03/01
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H10/01
NCAA
69.0Avg total
29.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.038.271.2-5.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.235.272.5+2.054%-
Last 30 away (17)29.840.470.2-10.618%-
Last 10 (10)29.939.169.0-9.220%-
Last 5 (5)32.037.269.2-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.339.169.4-8.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)32.342.074.3-9.710%-
vs Weaker (8)38.032.070.0+6.075%-
This opponent (N. Carolina Central) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
N. Carolina CentralLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#274
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A26/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H29/11
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
24-35
24
35
-11
A04/12
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H06/12
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A10/12
NCAA
Mid-Atlantic
#551
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H18/12
NCAA
Longwood
#202
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H20/12
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A29/12
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H03/01
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A10/01
NCAA
70.1Avg total
34.3Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.437.270.6-3.840%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.833.373.2+6.569%-
Last 30 away (17)28.540.268.7-11.618%-
Last 10 (10)34.335.870.1-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)36.635.672.2+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)28.741.370.0-12.513%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.233.269.3+3.067%-
vs Weaker (9)39.433.172.6+6.367%-
This opponent (Morgan State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Morgan State wins
3
N. Carolina Central wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26HSouth Carolina St72-67
03/01/26AMd.-East. Shore49-66
30/12/25HPenn State Brandywine92-55
23/12/25ALoyola Marymount56-83
21/12/25ASan Francisco64-94
20/12/25ACalifornia50-97
13/12/25HNiagara81-73
10/12/25ADePaul49-92
06/12/25HLongwood80-84
25/11/25HDrexel66-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26ACoppin State88-77
03/01/26HNorfolk State69-67
29/12/25APenn State67-90
20/12/25HLongwood72-74
18/12/25HMid-Atlantic96-62
10/12/25AKentucky67-103
06/12/25HN. Carolina A&T54-69
04/12/25AJames Madison62-67
29/11/25HCarolina University109-61
26/11/25AUSC Upstate67-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morgan State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW25%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game69.480.558.2
Allowed / game80.073.486.6
Point differential-10.6+7.1-28.4
Avg total149.4153.9144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)25% (4)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
N. Carolina Central
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW35%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLLLLW10%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %35%71%10%
Points / game73.085.764.1
Allowed / game77.865.986.1
Point differential-4.8+19.9-22.0
Avg total150.8151.6150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Howard179853%72.570.4+2.1
2 Norfolk State1871139%74.072.7+1.3
3 N. Carolina Central1761135%73.077.8-4.8
4 Md.-East. Shore1961332%63.871.7-7.8
5 Delaware State1751229%60.669.9-9.3
6 Morgan State1641225%69.480.0-10.6
7 Coppin State1941521%65.185.0-19.9
8 South Carolina St1721512%64.885.0-20.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Morgan State324678
N. Carolina Central355489
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