Morgan State vs Niagara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 81-73

35-33 46-40

Position#244

Record1-8

FormLLLLL

Points / game71.8

Allowed / game82.8

Morgan State 🏆

Niagara

Position#351

Record2-7

FormLLLLL

Points / game60.1

Allowed / game75.2

NCAA

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morgan State winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Niagara winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Morgan State USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norfolk State

#64

55-58

-3

A14/03

NCAA

Georgetown

#225

70-87

-17

A03/11

NCAA

Central Penn

#576

101-77

101

+24

H06/11

NCAA

UMBC Retrievers

#43

79-81

-2

H11/11

NCAA

Mercyhurst Lakers

#206

72-86

-14

A15/11

NCAA

N. Carolina A&T

#299

73-79

-6

H19/11

NCAA

Old Dominion

#300

56-88

-32

A22/11

NCAA

Drexel

#193

66-71

-5

H25/11

NCAA

Longwood

#202

80-84

-4

H06/12

NCAA

DePaul

#213

49-92

-43

A10/12

NCAA

28-25

27-33

34-42

36-45

52-40

49-37

34-45

45-36

24-42

48-44

38-45

35-34

26-43

30-45

28-34

38-37

38-42

42-42

15-46

34-46

150.4Avg total

70.1Scored

80.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	71.8	82.8	154.6	-11.0	11%
Season at home (5)	79.8	78.4	158.2	+1.4	20%
Season away (4)	61.8	88.2	150.0	-26.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.1	80.3	150.4	-10.2	10%
Last 5 (5)	64.8	82.8	147.6	-18.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	71.4	84.2	155.7	-12.8	17%
vs Similar (13)	77.7	87.5	165.2	-9.8	31%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	81.4	71.6	153.0	+9.8	80%

This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Niagara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rider

#276

76-77

-1

A08/03

NCAA

Duquesne

#166

63-83

-20

A04/11

NCAA

Binghamton

#352

67-59

A08/11

NCAA

Delaware State

#353

68-57

+11

H10/11

NCAA

Le Moyne

#240

68-74

-6

A18/11

NCAA

Duke

42-100

100

-58

A22/11

NCAA

Howard

#55

70-80

-10

A22/11

NCAA

Detroit

#184

66-70

-4

H29/11

NCAA

Siena

#78

54-83

-29

A06/12

NCAA

St. Peters

#134

43-71

-28

A07/12

NCAA

37-35

39-42

20-41

43-42

22-25

45-34

34-26

34-31

32-32

36-42

19-47

23-53

37-29

33-51

29-38

37-32

21-46

33-37

19-32

24-39

137.1Avg total

61.7Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	60.1	75.2	135.3	-15.1	22%
Season at home (2)	67.0	63.5	130.5	+3.5	50%
Season away (7)	58.1	78.6	136.7	-20.4	14%
Last 10 (10)	61.7	75.4	137.1	-13.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	55.0	80.8	135.8	-25.8	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	61.0	75.6	136.6	-14.6	7%
vs Similar (14)	70.9	70.8	141.6	+0.1	43%
vs Weaker (2)	67.5	61.5	129.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Morgan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

Morgan StateNiagara

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

Morgan StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Norfolk State

#64

28-25

A14/03

NCAA

Georgetown

#225

34-42

-8

A03/11

NCAA

Central Penn

#576

52-40

+12

H06/11

NCAA

UMBC Retrievers

#43

34-45

-11

H11/11

NCAA

Mercyhurst Lakers

#206

24-42

-18

A15/11

NCAA

N. Carolina A&T

#299

38-45

-7

H19/11

NCAA

Old Dominion

#300

26-43

-17

A22/11

NCAA

Drexel

#193

28-34

-6

H25/11

NCAA

Longwood

#202

38-42

-4

H06/12

NCAA

DePaul

#213

15-46

-31

A10/12

NCAA

72.1Avg total

31.7Scored

40.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.8	40.3	74.1	-6.5	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	36.7	36.8	73.5	-0.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	31.6	42.9	74.5	-11.3	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.7	40.4	72.1	-8.7	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	29.0	42.0	71.0	-13.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	32.2	40.4	72.7	-8.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	33.8	43.5	77.3	-9.8	8%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	37.6	31.4	69.0	+6.2	80%	-

This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rider

#276

37-35

A08/03

NCAA

Duquesne

#166

20-41

-21

A04/11

NCAA

Binghamton

#352

22-25

-3

A08/11

NCAA

Delaware State

#353

34-26

H10/11

NCAA

Le Moyne

#240

32-32

A18/11

NCAA

Duke

19-47

-28

A22/11

NCAA

Howard

#55

37-29

A22/11

NCAA

Detroit

#184

29-38

-9

H29/11

NCAA

Siena

#78

21-46

-25

A06/12

NCAA

St. Peters

#134

19-32

-13

A07/12

NCAA

62.1Avg total

27.0Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	29.6	34.7	64.3	-5.1	30%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	33.1	34.0	67.1	-0.9	42%	-
Last 30 away (18)	27.2	35.2	62.4	-7.9	22%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.0	35.1	62.1	-8.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.0	38.4	63.4	-13.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	27.5	35.4	62.9	-7.9	21%	-
vs Similar (14)	31.4	34.4	65.9	-3.0	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	31.0	32.0	63.0	-1.0	50%	-

This opponent (Morgan State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.0	42.2	83.3	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.2	40.2	83.4	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	39.4	43.8	83.2	-4.4	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	39.9	78.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	40.8	76.6	-5.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	39.2	43.8	83.0	-4.7	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	42.2	42.5	84.7	-0.4	46%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	42.6	37.6	80.2	+5.0	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.6	37.1	72.7	-1.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	37.5	34.9	72.4	+2.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (18)	34.3	38.6	72.8	-4.3	39%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.7	40.3	75.0	-5.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	30.0	42.4	72.4	-12.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	32.9	39.6	72.5	-6.6	29%	-
vs Similar (14)	38.1	35.7	73.8	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.5	29.5	66.0	+7.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Morgan State wins

Niagara wins

No previous meetings.

Morgan Statelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
10/12/25	A	DePaul	49-92
06/12/25	H	Longwood	80-84
25/11/25	H	Drexel	66-71
22/11/25	A	Old Dominion	56-88
19/11/25	H	N. Carolina A&T	73-79
15/11/25	A	Mercyhurst Lakers	72-86
11/11/25	H	UMBC Retrievers	79-81
06/11/25	H	Central Penn	101-77
03/11/25	A	Georgetown	70-87
14/03/25	A	Norfolk State	55-58

Niagaralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/25	A	St. Peters	43-71
06/12/25	A	Siena	54-83
29/11/25	H	Detroit	66-70
22/11/25	A	Howard	70-80
22/11/25	A	Duke	42-100
18/11/25	A	Le Moyne	68-74
10/11/25	H	Delaware State	68-57
08/11/25	A	Binghamton	67-59
04/11/25	A	Duquesne	63-83
08/03/25	A	Rider	76-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morgan State

NCAA 2025-26

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	11%
Home	WLLLL	20%
Away	LLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	11%	20%	0%
Points / game	71.8	79.8	61.8
Allowed / game	82.8	78.4	88.2
Point differential	-11.0	+1.4	-26.5
Avg total	154.6	158.2	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (3)	0% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Niagara

NCAA 2025-26

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	22%
Home	WL	50%
Away	LLLLL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	2	7
Win %	22%	50%	14%
Points / game	60.1	67.0	58.1
Allowed / game	75.2	63.5	78.6
Point differential	-15.1	+3.5	-20.4
Avg total	135.3	130.5	136.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	0% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Howard	12	7	5	58%	76.4	71.5	+4.9
2	Norfolk State	11	4	7	36%	77.5	72.7	+4.8
3	Delaware State	12	4	8	33%	61.8	73.1	-11.2
4	Md.-East. Shore	14	4	10	29%	63.6	71.6	-8.0
5	N. Carolina Central	12	3	9	25%	70.8	79.3	-8.6
6	Coppin State	13	3	10	23%	65.2	83.9	-18.7
7	Morgan State	9	1	8	11%	71.8	82.8	-11.0
8	South Carolina St	11	0	11	0%	64.8	89.5	-24.6

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	11	9	2	82%	70.5	61.4	+9.1
2	Marist	8	6	2	75%	72.8	60.4	+12.4
3	Quinnipiac	11	8	3	73%	79.4	73.3	+6.1
4	Iona	12	8	4	67%	80.2	78.5	+1.8
5	Fairfield	10	5	5	50%	73.4	76.5	-3.1
6	Merrimack Warriors	12	6	6	50%	65.2	72.5	-7.2
7	Canisius	11	5	6	45%	61.5	68.0	-6.5
8	St. Peters	9	4	5	44%	67.9	72.0	-4.1
9	Sacred Heart	10	4	6	40%	77.2	78.7	-1.5
10	Manhattan	11	4	7	36%	78.3	84.4	-6.1
11	Niagara	9	2	7	22%	60.1	75.2	-15.1
12	Mount St. Mary's	10	2	8	20%	67.0	79.8	-12.8
13	Rider	9	1	8	11%	58.8	74.6	-15.8