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Mornar Bar vs Kotor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-79
28-17 21-19 17-16 24-27
Position#4
Record16-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#8
Record11-12
FormLLLLW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game81.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 24· Topolica Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kotor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
106-105
106
105
+1
97avg 71
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
52avg 71
H27/01
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 71
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
95avg 71
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
85avg 71
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-96
82
96
-14
64avg 71
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
71-113
71
113
-42
56avg 71
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
101-89
101
89
+12
92avg 71
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
91-83
91
83
+8
97avg 71
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
66-90
66
90
-24
53avg 71
A16/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
17-24
27-25
32-31
23-26
17-20
12-19
18-19
32-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
25-17
26-22
27-31
24-17
25-24
23-19
32-21
14-20
25-23
14-31
18-25
25-17
11-29
16-29
17-22
27-33
33-14
17-28
30-23
21-24
21-19
19-23
26-21
25-20
20-18
8-23
19-23
19-26
178.9Avg total
87.3Scored
91.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.781.8167.6+3.970%
Season at home (11)88.079.4167.4+8.682%
Season away (12)83.784.1167.8-0.458%
Last 10 (10)87.391.6178.9-4.360%
Last 5 (5)82.294.2176.4-12.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.389.4164.8-14.122%
vs Similar (8)88.080.5168.5+7.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.181.5165.5+2.669%
This opponent (Kotor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KotorMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKotor
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#2
L
75-105
75
105
-30
58avg 72
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
67-76
67
76
-9
no box
H18/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
85-72
85
72
+13
74avg 72
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
85-65
85
65
+20
77avg 72
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
69-75
69
75
-6
59avg 72
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
89-101
89
101
-12
84avg 72
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
57-92
57
92
-35
44avg 72
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
72-91
72
91
-19
54avg 72
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
84-104
84
104
-20
71avg 72
A10/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
90-71
90
71
+19
83avg 72
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-33
15-21
23-25
17-26
17-20
8-13
22-25
20-18
22-24
12-21
30-15
21-12
17-13
20-19
15-18
33-15
20-16
18-20
18-15
13-24
23-34
17-22
34-20
15-25
9-30
22-20
16-16
10-26
12-29
19-29
16-16
25-17
20-30
12-23
26-27
26-24
20-26
26-19
20-13
24-13
162.5Avg total
77.3Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.981.0159.9-2.148%
Season at home (12)82.777.8160.5+4.867%
Season away (11)74.884.5159.3-9.627%
Last 10 (10)77.385.2162.5-7.930%
Last 5 (5)78.491.8170.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.982.5157.5-7.627%
vs Similar (14)79.881.4161.1-1.650%
vs Weaker (5)81.676.6158.2+5.060%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -7.5-7.5Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.4+0.4
Mornar BarKotor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H27/01
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A16/03
Prva A Liga
88.1Avg total
42.6Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.183.1+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.441.085.4+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.181.2-1.138%-
Last 10 (10)42.645.588.1-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)36.847.484.2-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.042.380.3-4.333%-
vs Similar (8)45.541.286.8+4.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.840.182.8+2.754%-
This opponent (Kotor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KotorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sutjeska
#2
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A10/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H18/01
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
40-56
40
56
-16
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A15/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
31-58
31
58
-27
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
32-53
32
53
-21
A10/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/03
Prva A Liga
81.1Avg total
34.9Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.942.179.1-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.140.982.0+0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)32.743.476.1-10.713%-
Last 10 (10)34.946.281.1-11.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.052.488.4-16.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.142.977.0-8.827%-
vs Similar (14)38.142.380.4-4.243%-
vs Weaker (5)40.040.080.0+0.040%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 81.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.5
56.5%
58.8%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.77.4
27.7%
31.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.914.5
63.3%
69.7%14.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kotortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kotor: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.7
55.8%
58.8%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.36.9
28.2%
31.5%20.6
🏀 Free throws25.417.7
69.7%
69.7%17.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LWWLLWWWLW
Kotor
WLLLLLWWLL
#4
League position
#8
-6.0
Net rating
-1.3
103.8
Offensive rating
111.3
109.8
Defensive rating
112.6
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.8%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
4.8%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.39
27.7%
3-point %
28.2%
51.5%
Assist %
42.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.8 · 111.3Defence109.8 · 112.6Shooting50.5% · 50.8%3-point %27.7% · 28.2%Ball care4.8% · 0.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Kotor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
1
Kotor wins
DateGameScore
24/12/25Kotor v Mornar Bar76-66
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/26ALovcen Cetinje66-90
11/03/26ADanilovgrad91-83
08/03/26HJedinstvo101-89
05/03/26AZlatibor71-113
14/02/26ADecic82-96
11/02/26HPrimorje94-84
07/02/26AStudentski Centar102-87
02/02/26HTivat90-85
27/01/26HVojvodina Novi Sad70-84
24/01/26AVukovi Zeta106-105
Kotorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/26HJedinstvo90-71
10/03/26ADecic84-104
08/03/26HPrimorje72-91
15/02/26AStudentski Centar57-92
11/02/26HTivat89-101
07/02/26AVukovi Zeta69-75
31/01/26HIbar Rozaje85-65
24/01/26AUlcinj85-72
18/01/26HPodgorica67-76
10/01/26ASutjeska75-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL70%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWWLWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %70%82%58%
Points / game85.788.083.7
Allowed / game81.879.484.1
Point differential+3.9+8.6-0.4
Avg total167.6167.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%45%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kotor
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW48%
HomeLWLLW67%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %48%67%27%
Points / game78.982.774.8
Allowed / game81.077.884.5
Point differential-2.1+4.8-9.6
Avg total159.9160.5159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%58%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2319483%99.081.4+17.7
2 Primorje2317674%91.282.5+8.7
3 Lovcen Cetinje2316770%79.975.8+4.1
4 Mornar Bar2316770%85.781.8+3.9
5 Podgorica23131057%80.777.6+3.1
6 Jedinstvo23131057%86.785.7+1.0
7 Kotor23111248%78.981.0-2.1
8 Studentski Centar23101343%80.783.0-2.4
9 Ibar Rozaje2391439%76.681.8-5.3
10 Vukovi Zeta2381535%83.086.5-3.5
11 Decic2381535%86.290.7-4.4
12 Tivat2381535%89.895.0-5.2
13 Danilovgrad2381535%80.586.7-6.2
14 Ulcinj2351822%77.787.1-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2821172490
Kotor1719162779
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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