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Danilovgrad vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 83-91
19-21 23-19 21-26 20-25
Position#13
Record8-13
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#4
Record15-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game81.4
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 22· Sportski Centar Danilovgrad
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Danilovgrad winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DanilovgradMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDanilovgrad
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
109avg 66
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
74avg 66
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 66
A12/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
76-113
76
113
-37
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 66
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 66
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
96-82
96
82
+14
89avg 66
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
77-71
77
71
+6
72avg 66
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
79-76
79
76
+3
68avg 66
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
60avg 66
A07/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
28-16
29-24
22-27
25-23
17-28
18-21
25-23
24-22
30-8
19-21
30-28
13-25
19-38
17-29
27-21
17-16
24-24
20-19
21-30
24-23
17-26
18-19
13-23
22-21
34-26
19-20
21-15
25-21
25-25
15-9
12-16
18-18
11-12
21-23
29-23
23-16
19-20
15-14
17-18
170.7Avg total
84.9Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)80.386.4166.7-6.138%
Season at home (10)80.086.8166.8-6.830%
Season away (11)80.586.0166.5-5.545%
Last 10 (10)84.985.8170.7-0.960%
Last 5 (5)79.677.6157.2+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)74.788.7163.4-14.033%
vs Similar (7)83.984.6168.4-0.743%
vs Weaker (2)71.075.0146.0-4.050%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
L
69-72
69
72
-3
55avg 70
A13/01
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
91-72
91
72
+19
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
106-105
106
105
+1
97avg 70
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
70-84
70
84
-14
52avg 70
H27/01
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
90-85
90
85
+5
84avg 70
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
102-87
102
87
+15
95avg 70
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
94-84
94
84
+10
85avg 70
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-96
82
96
-14
64avg 70
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
71-113
71
113
-42
56avg 70
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
101-89
101
89
+12
92avg 70
H08/03
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
21-12
10-20
23-29
18-13
21-21
23-9
29-29
30-25
17-24
27-25
32-31
23-26
17-20
12-19
18-19
32-23
24-18
15-23
19-21
25-17
26-22
27-31
24-17
25-24
23-19
32-21
14-20
25-23
14-31
18-25
25-17
11-29
16-29
17-22
27-33
33-14
17-28
30-23
21-24
176.3Avg total
87.6Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)86.481.4167.8+5.071%
Season at home (11)88.079.4167.4+8.682%
Season away (10)84.783.6168.3+1.160%
Last 10 (10)87.688.7176.3-1.160%
Last 5 (5)90.093.8183.8-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)75.791.9167.6-16.220%
vs Similar (8)90.177.9168.0+12.288%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.581.3164.8+2.267%
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.8-0.8
DanilovgradMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A12/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
32-63
32
63
-31
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H07/02
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A11/02
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H14/02
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A07/03
Prva A Liga
87.6Avg total
44.1Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.243.883.0-4.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.941.080.9-1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)38.646.284.8-7.631%-
Last 10 (10)44.143.587.6+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.685.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.044.381.3-7.333%-
vs Similar (7)44.942.387.1+2.657%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
W
36-23
36
23
+13
A13/01
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A24/01
Prva A Liga
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H27/01
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H02/02
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/02
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H11/02
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
39-54
39
54
-15
A14/02
Prva A Liga
Zlatibor
#4
L
27-58
27
58
-31
A05/03
ABA League 2
Jedinstvo
#6
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H08/03
Prva A Liga
86.2Avg total
43.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.241.383.5+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.684.9+1.862%-
Last 30 away (14)40.941.182.0-0.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.986.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.047.290.2-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.543.881.3-6.330%-
vs Similar (8)46.940.487.2+6.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.039.982.9+3.158%-
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Danilovgrad: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.418.8
53.1%
58.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.29.2
29.5%
31.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws24.018.0
75.0%
69.7%18.0
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.421.9
54.2%
58.8%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.3
28.2%
31.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.413.7
64.0%
69.7%13.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Danilovgrad
WWWWLLLWLW
Mornar Bar
WLLWWWLWWL
#13
League position
#4
-1.6
Net rating
-10.8
108.5
Offensive rating
101.3
110.1
Defensive rating
112.2
48.9%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
8.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.5%
3-point %
28.2%
51.4%
Assist %
46.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.5 · 101.3Defence110.1 · 112.2Shooting48.9% · 49.5%3-point %29.5% · 28.2%Ball care0.0% · 8.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Danilovgrad   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Danilovgrad wins
1
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Mornar Bar v Danilovgrad80-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AIbar Rozaje74-68
14/02/26HJedinstvo79-76
11/02/26AUlcinj77-71
07/02/26HDecic96-82
31/01/26APodgorica72-91
24/01/26HPrimorje82-89
17/01/26ASutjeska76-113
12/01/26AStudentski Centar103-79
04/01/26AKotor85-95
27/12/25HTivat105-94
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/26HJedinstvo101-89
05/03/26AZlatibor71-113
14/02/26ADecic82-96
11/02/26HPrimorje94-84
07/02/26AStudentski Centar102-87
02/02/26HTivat90-85
27/01/26HVojvodina Novi Sad70-84
24/01/26AVukovi Zeta106-105
17/01/26HIbar Rozaje91-72
13/01/26AHelios Domzale69-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Danilovgrad
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW38%
HomeLWLWW30%
AwayWLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %38%30%45%
Points / game80.380.080.5
Allowed / game86.486.886.0
Point differential-6.1-6.8-5.5
Avg total166.7166.8166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeLWWWW82%
AwayWWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %71%82%60%
Points / game86.488.084.7
Allowed / game81.479.483.6
Point differential+5.0+8.6+1.1
Avg total167.8167.4168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%45%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska2218482%97.980.4+17.5
2 Primorje2217577%91.582.1+9.4
3 Mornar Bar2115671%86.481.4+5.0
4 Lovcen Cetinje2215768%79.576.3+3.2
5 Jedinstvo2213959%87.485.5+1.9
6 Podgorica22121055%80.377.3+3.0
7 Kotor22101245%78.481.5-3.0
8 Studentski Centar2291341%80.583.5-2.9
9 Ibar Rozaje2181338%75.580.9-5.4
10 Danilovgrad2181338%80.386.4-6.1
11 Decic2281436%85.589.1-3.6
12 Tivat2281436%89.494.4-5.0
13 Vukovi Zeta2161529%82.787.6-4.9
14 Ulcinj2251723%77.987.3-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Danilovgrad1923212083
Mornar Bar2119262591
← all games of the day
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