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Mornar Bar vs Vrsac Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-76
16-19 21-22 20-17 23-18
Position#14
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Position#13
Record0-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game93.5
EuropeABA League 2Round 3· Topolica Sport Hall
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vrsac winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
69-100
69
100
-31
52avg 66
A22/04
ABA League
Split
#14
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 66
H28/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
79-114
79
114
-35
69avg 66
H03/05
ABA League
Student Igokea
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
56avg 66
H15/10
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
83avg 66
A20/10
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
75-71
75
71
+4
60avg 66
H22/10
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 66
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
L
77-91
77
91
-14
56avg 66
A29/10
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 66
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
97-67
97
67
+30
97avg 66
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
20-21
13-29
20-27
23-19
22-24
19-24
12-19
14-34
19-23
29-26
17-31
22-18
17-16
16-21
28-14
24-11
24-20
20-19
13-18
21-18
11-27
11-20
32-6
29-19
24-22
22-20
16-18
16-20
20-30
18-21
23-20
22-15
12-19
19-31
18-18
23-16
24-15
31-12
19-24
162.7Avg total
79.9Scored
82.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
Season at home (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)77.091.0168.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)79.982.8162.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)82.278.2160.4+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)74.793.6168.3-18.84%
vs Similar ◀ (2)90.068.0158.0+22.0100%
vs Weaker (4)79.575.2154.8+4.275%
This opponent (Vrsac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VrsacLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVrsac
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
76-94
76
94
-18
44avg 78
A13/05
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
57avg 78
H18/05
Super League
Sombor BC
#16
W
96-87
96
87
+9
94avg 78
H04/10
First League
MZT Skopje
#9
L
63-75
63
75
-12
60avg 78
A07/10
ABA League 2
KK Metalac
#10
L
73-75
73
75
-2
66avg 78
A11/10
First League
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
89avg 78
H17/10
First League
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
86-112
86
112
-26
79avg 78
H21/10
ABA League 2
Radnicki
#9
L
81-102
81
102
-21
75avg 78
A25/10
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
87avg 78
H01/11
First League
Tamis
#11
L
103-107
103
107
-4
106avg 78
H08/11
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
25-26
18-28
13-19
16-18
13-23
35-23
19-20
31-22
21-22
19-22
25-21
15-14
22-20
11-22
15-19
20-26
24-23
18-18
11-8
19-20
15-25
20-11
25-23
16-27
18-31
30-19
22-35
18-29
15-25
28-21
20-27
23-12
29-28
21-23
22-16
14-31
31-25
23-31
35-20
176.3Avg total
85.1Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)74.593.5168.0-19.00%
Season at home (1)86.0112.0198.0-26.00%
Season away (1)63.075.0138.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)85.191.2176.3-6.120%
Last 5 (5)92.099.4191.4-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.593.5168.0-19.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)88.889.0177.8-0.246%
vs Weaker (15)89.979.1169.0+10.987%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -0.1-0.1
Mornar BarVrsac
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zadar
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A22/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H28/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H03/05
ABA League
Student Igokea
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/10
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A20/10
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H22/10
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A29/10
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H08/11
Prva A Liga
81.3Avg total
40.3Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.043.980.9-6.933%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.443.082.4-3.653%-
Last 30 away (15)34.644.979.5-10.313%-
Last 10 (10)40.341.081.3-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)35.346.281.6-10.922%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.032.575.5+10.5100%-
vs Weaker (4)41.837.879.5+4.050%-
This opponent (Vrsac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VrsacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/05
Super League
Spartak Subotica
#3
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H18/05
Super League
Sombor BC
#16
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H04/10
First League
MZT Skopje
#9
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A07/10
ABA League 2
KK Metalac
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A11/10
First League
BKK Radnicki
#6
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H17/10
First League
Siroki Brijeg
#1
L
34-58
34
58
-24
H21/10
ABA League 2
Radnicki
#9
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A25/10
First League
Mladost Zemun
#14
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H01/11
First League
Tamis
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
H08/11
First League
87.3Avg total
40.5Scored
46.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.442.687.0+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.342.487.6+2.965%-
Last 30 away (13)43.242.986.2+0.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.546.887.3-6.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.650.690.2-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)35.546.081.5-10.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)43.446.489.8-3.038%-
vs Weaker (15)46.538.985.3+7.673%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
55.6%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
33.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.714.4
69.6%
72.6%14.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vrsactheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vrsac: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.5 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
55.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.8
40.3%
33.1%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.6
77.2%
72.6%16.6
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
WLLWWWWLLL
Vrsac
LWLLLLLWLL
#14
League position
#13
-19.1
Net rating
-2.5
96.6
Offensive rating
112.1
115.7
Defensive rating
114.6
48.7%
Effective FG%
55.3%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.6%
3-point %
40.3%
55.4%
Assist %
55.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.6 · 112.1Defence115.7 · 114.6Shooting48.7% · 55.3%3-point %30.6% · 40.3%Ball care18.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds23.4% · 28.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Vrsac
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Vrsac wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HStudentski Centar97-67
01/11/25ATivat71-83
29/10/25AJahorina77-91
25/10/25HVukovi Zeta91-79
22/10/25HUlcinj75-71
20/10/25AIbar Rozaje81-68
15/10/25HStudent Igokea83-69
03/05/25HIgokea79-114
28/04/25HSplit76-86
22/04/25AZadar69-100
Vrsaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/25HTamis103-107
01/11/25HMladost Zemun95-79
25/10/25ARadnicki81-102
21/10/25HSiroki Brijeg86-112
17/10/25HBKK Radnicki95-97 OT
11/10/25AKK Metalac73-75
07/10/25AMZT Skopje63-75
04/10/25HSombor BC96-87
18/05/25HSpartak Subotica83-84
13/05/25ASpartak Subotica76-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game80.083.077.0
Allowed / game80.069.091.0
Point differential+0.0+14.0-14.0
Avg total160.0152.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vrsac
ABA League 2 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game74.586.063.0
Allowed / game93.5112.075.0
Point differential-19.0-26.0-12.0
Avg total168.0198.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska330100%86.077.3+8.7
2 Borac Banja Luka220100%77.071.5+5.5
3 Siroki Brijeg32167%91.782.7+9.0
4 Vojvodina Novi Sad32167%85.780.3+5.3
5 MZT Skopje32167%79.076.0+3.0
6 TFT Skopje32167%80.777.7+3.0
7 Jahorina32167%88.787.0+1.7
8 Helios Domzale32167%78.780.7-2.0
9 Mornar Bar21150%80.080.0+0.0
10 Zlatibor21150%90.090.0+0.0
11 Sloboda31233%85.075.0+10.0
12 Student Igokea31233%82.382.7-0.3
13 Primorje31233%84.387.0-2.7
14 Radnicki3030%77.389.3-12.0
15 Podgorica3030%71.085.7-14.7
16 Vrsac2020%74.593.5-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1621202380
Vrsac1922171876
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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