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Tivat vs Mornar Bar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-71
15-22 19-12 31-19 18-18
Position#12
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game92.7
Tivat 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game72.7
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 4· Sportski centar
Other2025-26
Meetings · Tivat v Mornar Bar
01 Nov 2025
TIVA83
MBA71
07 May 2024
TIVA104
MBA79
28 Apr 2023
TIVA91
MBA99
03 May 2018
TIVA60
MBA66
19 Apr 2017
TIVA63
MBA91
16 Feb 2016
TIVA56
MBA47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tivat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Susanj
#15
W
109-72
109
72
+37
113avg 79
H22/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
W
83-77
83
77
+6
72avg 79
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 79
A07/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 79
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#9
W
86-68
86
68
+18
88avg 79
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
75-87
75
87
-12
69avg 79
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
61-86
61
86
-25
46avg 79
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
90-111
90
111
-21
79avg 79
A11/10
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
99-88
99
88
+11
93avg 79
H18/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
56-79
56
79
-23
32avg 79
A25/10
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
26-24
31-5
26-29
26-26
16-27
15-11
26-13
12-23
20-24
25-14
22-11
20-20
22-19
27-23
25-19
27-17
22-13
19-17
18-21
17-22
16-22
22-22
20-21
18-23
12-23
19-24
12-16
20-31
19-32
29-24
22-24
32-26
26-17
20-25
21-20
13-21
16-18
11-24
16-16
165.3Avg total
83.2Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.792.7174.3-11.033%
Season at home (1)99.088.0187.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)73.095.0168.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)83.282.1165.3+1.160%
Last 5 (5)76.290.2166.4-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.982.9148.7-17.014%
vs Similar (10)80.883.1163.9-2.350%
vs Weaker (12)94.375.2169.6+19.1100%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
L
72-87
72
87
-15
65avg 66
A04/04
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
71-83
71
83
-12
59avg 66
H12/04
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
69-100
69
100
-31
52avg 66
A22/04
ABA League
Split
#14
L
76-86
76
86
-10
69avg 66
H28/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
79-114
79
114
-35
69avg 66
H03/05
ABA League
Student Igokea
#12
W
83-69
83
69
+14
56avg 66
H15/10
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
81-68
81
68
+13
83avg 66
A20/10
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
75-71
75
71
+4
60avg 66
H22/10
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 66
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
L
77-91
77
91
-14
56avg 66
A29/10
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
15-18
25-26
22-24
21-24
14-24
14-19
22-16
16-23
20-21
13-29
20-27
23-19
22-24
19-24
12-19
14-34
19-23
29-26
17-31
22-18
17-16
16-21
28-14
24-11
24-20
20-19
13-18
21-18
11-27
11-20
32-6
29-19
24-22
22-20
16-18
16-20
20-30
18-21
23-20
162.2Avg total
77.4Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.372.7155.0+9.7100%
Season at home (2)83.075.0158.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)81.068.0149.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)77.484.8162.2-7.440%
Last 5 (5)81.475.6157.0+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)75.594.2169.8-18.74%
vs Similar (1)83.069.0152.0+14.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)82.372.7155.0+9.7100%
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
TivatMornar Bar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Susanj
#15
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H22/03
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#13
L
42-53
42
53
-11
H29/03
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A07/04
Prva A Liga
Decic
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A19/04
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#9
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H25/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A30/04
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H03/05
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
39-63
39
63
-24
A11/10
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H18/10
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A25/10
Prva A Liga
84.8Avg total
40.6Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.685.3+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.342.186.4+2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)41.243.084.2-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)40.644.284.8-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.084.8-9.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)33.947.080.9-13.10%-
vs Similar (10)41.444.285.6-2.840%-
vs Weaker (12)48.538.386.8+10.283%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A04/04
ABA League
Dubai
#4
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H12/04
ABA League
Zadar
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A22/04
ABA League
Split
#14
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H28/04
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
33-57
33
57
-24
H03/05
ABA League
Student Igokea
#12
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H15/10
ABA League 2
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A20/10
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H22/10
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A29/10
ABA League 2
81.2Avg total
38.2Scored
43.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.445.081.4-8.630%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.344.282.5-5.947%-
Last 30 away (15)34.545.880.3-11.313%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.081.2-4.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.640.281.8+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)35.046.481.4-11.420%-
vs Similar (1)39.034.073.0+5.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.339.083.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 61.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.713.0
43.8%
58.8%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.86.5
22.5%
31.5%19.5
🏀 Free throws24.015.7
65.3%
69.7%15.7
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 73.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.0
50.7%
58.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.8
30.6%
31.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.714.4
69.6%
69.7%14.4
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tivat
LWLLLWWWWW
Mornar Bar
LWWWWLLLLL
#12
League position
#4
-16.7
Net rating
-19.1
85.0
Offensive rating
96.6
101.6
Defensive rating
115.7
38.9%
Effective FG%
48.7%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
22.5%
3-point %
30.6%
57.3%
Assist %
55.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.0 · 96.6Defence101.6 · 115.7Shooting38.9% · 48.7%3-point %22.5% · 30.6%Ball care17.0% · 18.7%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Tivat   ■ Mornar Bar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tivat wins
6
Mornar Bar wins
DateGameScore
10/05/24Mornar Bar v Tivat77-104
07/05/24Tivat v Mornar Bar104-79
28/04/23Tivat v Mornar Bar91-99 OT
25/04/23Mornar Bar v Tivat92-92
03/05/18Tivat v Mornar Bar60-66
18/04/18Mornar Bar v Tivat105-82
19/04/17Tivat v Mornar Bar63-91
15/04/17Mornar Bar v Tivat70-65
15/03/16Mornar Bar v Tivat93-67
16/02/16Tivat v Mornar Bar56-47
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/25AJedinstvo56-79
18/10/25HDecic99-88
11/10/25APrimorje90-111
03/05/25HPodgorica61-86
30/04/25APodgorica75-87
25/04/25HKotor86-68
19/04/25ADecic94-81
07/04/25APodgorica79-72
29/03/25HVukovi Zeta83-77
22/03/25HSusanj109-72
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25AJahorina77-91
25/10/25HVukovi Zeta91-79
22/10/25HUlcinj75-71
20/10/25AIbar Rozaje81-68
15/10/25HStudent Igokea83-69
03/05/25HIgokea79-114
28/04/25HSplit76-86
22/04/25AZadar69-100
12/04/25HDubai71-83
04/04/25AFMP Beograd72-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tivat
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game81.799.073.0
Allowed / game92.788.095.0
Point differential-11.0+11.0-22.0
Avg total174.3187.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.383.081.0
Allowed / game72.775.068.0
Point differential+9.7+8.0+13.0
Avg total155.0158.0149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jedinstvo330100%94.775.0+19.7
2 Sutjeska330100%95.075.3+19.7
3 Primorje440100%97.881.5+16.2
4 Mornar Bar330100%82.372.7+9.7
5 Lovcen Cetinje330100%79.072.3+6.7
6 Studentski Centar32167%84.084.7-0.7
7 Kotor42250%73.574.8-1.2
8 Vukovi Zeta31233%84.387.7-3.3
9 Tivat31233%81.792.7-11.0
10 Ibar Rozaje41325%72.579.8-7.2
11 Decic4040%84.291.0-6.8
12 Ulcinj3030%68.378.3-10.0
13 Podgorica3030%76.387.3-11.0
14 Danilovgrad3030%76.097.0-21.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tivat1519311883
Mornar Bar2212191871
← all games of the day
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