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Morphou vs Apollon Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 81-79
Projected total 160.4
Scheduled
Position#8
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game83.0
Morphou
Cyprus
Vs
56%
44%
■ MORP 56%■ APOL 44%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Apollon
Cyprus
Position#7
Record2-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game79.3
CyprusDivision ARound 7· Lefkotheo
Other2026-27
Meetings · Morphou v Apollon
20 Nov 2026
MORP v APOL
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
MORP80
APOL86
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Morphou host Apollon in the Division A. Pythia makes Morphou the favourite at 56% and projects 81-79, about 160 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Morphou are 1-4 this season (70.0 scored, 83.0 allowed a game), form LLWLL; Apollon are 2-4 this season (70.0 scored, 79.3 allowed a game), form WLLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Morphou win
56.3%fair 1.78
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Apollon win
43.7%fair 2.29
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MorphouCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMorphou
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
64avg 61
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
51avg 61
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
93-91
93
91
+2
84avg 61
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 61
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
73-89
73
89
-16
68avg 61
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
L
65-76
65
76
-11
23avg 61
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
75avg 61
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 61
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
49-71
49
71
-22
35avg 61
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
78-103
78
103
-25
no box
H08/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
26-16
17-20
18-30
17-24
20-23
18-17
14-11
24-21
27-21
22-24
20-25
12-32
19-15
20-23
22-26
21-24
16-19
17-24
19-22
17-19
14-9
17-22
17-26
22-24
21-19
18-35
21-13
24-20
16-20
23-22
13-12
11-20
15-22
13-19
10-10
10-29
18-25
33-21
17-28
159.1Avg total
73.3Scored
85.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Season at home (2)77.088.5165.5-11.550%
Season away (3)65.379.3144.7-14.00%
Last 10 (10)73.385.8159.1-12.520%
Last 5 (5)70.083.0153.0-13.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.888.3163.1-13.513%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.875.0149.8-0.250%
vs Weaker (2)92.588.5181.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ApollonCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormApollon
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
77-89
77
89
-12
70avg 69
H27/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 69
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
87-80 OT
87
80
+7
84avg 69
A05/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
71-92
71
92
-21
56avg 69
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
56-90
56
90
-34
36avg 69
H11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
76avg 69
A16/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
75-90
75
90
-15
61avg 69
H24/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
64-77
64
77
-13
no box
H02/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A09/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
66-51
66
51
+15
no box
H14/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
29-13
14-27
14-25
19-19
17-24
22-15
17-26
15-15
22-19
20-21
19-21
22-25
13-28
21-21
15-18
14-26
12-23
13-18
17-23
24-21
14-30
17-16
24-12
19-19
18-21
15-32
23-18
20-21
16-22
20-18
8-16
17-15
7-23
23-17
22-25
21-14
19-13
12-15
14-9
155.1Avg total
73.0Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)70.079.3149.3-9.333%
Season at home (4)65.277.0142.2-11.825%
Season away (2)79.584.0163.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)73.082.1155.1-9.130%
Last 5 (5)72.877.2150.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)69.388.0157.3-18.78%
vs Similar ◀ (11)83.784.8168.5-1.136%
vs Weaker (7)92.080.4172.4+11.686%
This opponent (Morphou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 155
Over 155
62.4%
Under 155
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 160
Over 160
50.2%
Under 160
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 165
Over 165
38.1%
Under 165
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Morphou total 77.5
Over 77.5
63.5%
Under 77.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morphou total 81.5
Over 81.5
48.3%
Under 81.5
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morphou total 85.5
Over 85.5
33.3%
Under 85.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon total 74.5
Over 74.5
67.6%
Under 74.5
32.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon total 78.5
Over 78.5
52.7%
Under 78.5
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon total 82.5
Over 82.5
37.6%
Under 82.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Morphou -3
MORP -3
47.2%
APOL +3
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
MORP
No market prices yet.
APOL
No market prices yet.
Spread Morphou 0
MORP 0
56.3%
APOL 0
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
MORP
No market prices yet.
APOL
No market prices yet.
Spread Morphou +3
MORP +3
65.3%
APOL -3
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
MORP
No market prices yet.
APOL
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.7-6.7Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
MorphouApollon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MorphouLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H24/01
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A02/02
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#9
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H08/02
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A14/02
Division A
Paralimni
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A09/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A18/10
Division A
Anorthosis
#9
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H25/10
Division A
AEL
#3
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A30/10
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
28-54
28
54
-26
H08/11
Division A
79.2Avg total
36.4Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)36.143.579.6-7.417%-
Last 30 at home (11)36.542.579.1-6.027%-
Last 30 away (12)35.744.380.0-8.78%-
Last 10 (10)36.442.879.2-6.420%-
Last 5 (5)33.641.475.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.642.878.4-7.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.042.875.8-9.80%-
vs Weaker (2)49.050.599.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Apollon) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ApollonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H27/03
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A01/04
Division A
Paralimni
#5
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A05/04
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/04
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
26-49
26
49
-23
H11/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A16/10
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H24/10
Division A
Apoel BC
#5
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H02/11
Division A
Paralimni
#4
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A09/11
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#6
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H14/11
Division A
77.3Avg total
35.8Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.243.081.2-4.833%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.579.8-3.140%-
Last 30 away (15)38.144.682.7-6.527%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.577.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.874.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)33.247.280.4-13.98%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)39.040.679.6-1.636%-
vs Weaker (7)45.439.785.1+5.771%-
This opponent (Morphou) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Morphoutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Morphou: 69.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.8
47.1%
52.0%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.4
28.4%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws16.411.9
72.6%
72.9%11.9
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Apollontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Apollon: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 73.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.218.9
47.0%
52.0%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.6
66.7%
72.9%12.6
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Morphou
LLWLLLLWLL
Apollon
WLLLWLLWLL
#8
League position
#7
-6.8
Net rating
-11.4
85.6
Offensive rating
87.8
92.4
Defensive rating
99.2
45.2%
Effective FG%
48.3%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
14.9%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
28.4%
3-point %
33.6%
65.5%
Assist %
54.5%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence85.6 · 87.8Defence92.4 · 99.2Shooting45.2% · 48.3%3-point %28.4% · 33.6%Ball care14.9% · 13.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Morphou   ■ Apollon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Morphou wins
2
Apollon wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Morphou v Apollon80-86
26/10/25Apollon v Morphou101-73
Morphoulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HAEK Larnaca78-103
30/10/26AAEL49-71
25/10/26HAnorthosis76-74
18/10/26AKeravnos82-91
09/10/26AETHA Engomi65-76
07/03/26AParalimni73-89
14/02/26AKeravnos73-96
08/02/26HETHA Engomi93-91
02/02/26AApoel BC69-75
24/01/26HAEL75-92
Apollonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HETHA Engomi66-51
09/11/26AParalimni69-80
02/11/26HApoel BC64-77
24/10/26HKeravnos75-90
16/10/26AAchilleas K.90-88 OT
11/10/26HAEK Larnaca56-90
07/04/26AKeravnos71-92
05/04/26AParalimni87-80 OT
01/04/26AApoel BC75-84
27/03/26HAEL77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Morphou
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game70.077.065.3
Allowed / game83.088.579.3
Point differential-13.0-11.5-14.0
Avg total153.0165.5144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Apollon
Division A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%25%50%
Points / game70.065.279.5
Allowed / game79.377.084.0
Point differential-9.3-11.8-4.5
Avg total149.3142.2163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca550100%89.669.6+20.0
2 Keravnos550100%90.075.2+14.8
3 AEL54180%77.870.0+7.8
4 Paralimni64267%84.779.2+5.5
5 Apoel BC63350%77.375.2+2.2
6 ETHA Engomi63350%69.772.3-2.7
7 Apollon62433%70.079.3-9.3
8 Morphou51420%70.083.0-13.0
9 Anorthosis5050%75.082.2-7.2
10 Achilleas K.5050%74.491.6-17.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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