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Mount St. Mary's vs Niagara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 76-63
0-0 31-31 0-0 45-32
Position#242
Record12-15
FormLWLWW
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game72.1
Mount St. Mary's 🏆
USA
vs
Niagara
USA
Position#351
Record7-19
FormLWLLW
Points / game63.3
Allowed / game71.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mount St. Mary's v Niagara
20 Feb 2026
MOUN76
NIAG63
05 Jan 2025
MOUN68
NIAG62
21 Jan 2024
MOUN71
NIAG82
17 Feb 2023
MOUN70
NIAG66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Niagara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H23/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H24/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A31/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H01/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
70-87
70
87
-17
H06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
83-76
83
76
+7
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
25-29
0-0
25-38
0-0
33-34
0-0
45-34
0-0
30-34
0-0
38-24
0-0
32-41
0-0
30-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
38-28
0-0
33-32
0-0
25-34
0-0
32-27
0-0
40-38
0-0
40-39
0-0
30-48
0-0
39-34
0-0
44-42
0-0
28-21
0-0
37-34
135.7Avg total
67.7Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)68.172.1140.2-4.044%
Season at home (11)68.668.9137.5-0.355%
Season away (16)67.774.3142.0-6.638%
Last 10 (10)67.768.0135.7-0.360%
Last 5 (5)69.669.8139.4-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)61.377.2138.5-15.915%
vs Similar (9)72.871.0143.8+1.867%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.664.8137.4+7.975%
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A15/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H19/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A24/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
79-82
79
82
-3
H30/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
65-56
65
56
+9
H03/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
69-76
69
76
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-28
0-0
25-26
0-0
34-30
0-0
24-38
0-0
30-31
0-0
31-31
0-0
36-34
0-0
34-37
0-0
40-42
0-0
39-40
0-0
19-27
0-0
27-31
0-0
38-33
0-0
27-23
0-0
24-36
0-0
31-20
0-0
27-35
0-0
42-41
0-0
34-30
0-0
36-38
128.3Avg total
63.2Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)63.371.0134.3-7.627%
Season at home (11)67.467.0134.4+0.445%
Season away (15)60.473.9134.3-13.513%
Last 10 (10)63.265.1128.3-1.930%
Last 5 (5)61.062.8123.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)61.974.5136.4-12.610%
vs Similar (9)68.365.7134.0+2.756%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Mount St. Mary'sNiagara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/01
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A19/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H23/01
NCAA
Rider
#367
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H24/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A31/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H01/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H06/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A08/02
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
28-21
28
21
+7
A14/02
NCAA
64.9Avg total
32.5Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.335.468.7-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (11)34.735.770.5-1.036%-
Last 30 away (19)32.535.267.6-2.742%-
Last 10 (10)32.532.464.9+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.430.665.0+3.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)31.336.868.2-5.538%-
vs Similar (9)36.035.871.8+0.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)33.532.566.0+1.038%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#327
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A15/01
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#242
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H19/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A24/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H30/01
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
19-27
19
27
-8
H01/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/02
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A07/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H13/02
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H15/02
NCAA
64.2Avg total
31.6Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.234.064.2-3.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)32.332.264.5+0.246%-
Last 30 away (17)28.535.564.0-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)31.632.664.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)28.432.260.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.935.564.5-6.625%-
vs Similar (9)31.732.263.9-0.656%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mount St. Mary's wins
2
Niagara wins
DateGameScore
19/01/26Niagara v Mount St. Mary's58-68
14/02/25Niagara v Mount St. Mary's83-84
05/01/25Mount St. Mary's v Niagara68-62
03/03/24Niagara v Mount St. Mary's72-91
21/01/24Mount St. Mary's v Niagara71-82
18/02/23Mount St. Mary's v Niagara70-66
31/12/22Niagara v Mount St. Mary's67-55
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/26ARider65-55
08/02/26AIona83-76
06/02/26HMerrimack Warriors70-87
01/02/26HManhattan72-65
31/01/26ASt. Peters58-66
24/01/26HRider71-61
23/01/26HQuinnipiac62-77
19/01/26ANiagara68-58
17/01/26ACanisius78-68
11/01/26HSiena50-67
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/26HIona70-68
13/02/26HManhattan69-76
07/02/26AQuinnipiac55-56
03/02/26HCanisius65-56
01/02/26HMarist46-58
30/01/26HSiena79-82
24/01/26ASacred Heart70-71
23/01/26AFairfield61-62
19/01/26HMount St. Mary's58-68
15/01/26ACanisius59-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW44%
HomeLLWWL55%
AwayWWLWW38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271116
Win %44%55%38%
Points / game68.168.667.7
Allowed / game72.168.974.3
Point differential-4.0-0.3-6.6
Avg total140.2137.5142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%18%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Niagara
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW27%
HomeLLWLW45%
AwayLWLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %27%45%13%
Points / game63.367.460.4
Allowed / game71.067.073.9
Point differential-7.6+0.4-13.5
Avg total134.3134.4134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena2718967%71.066.1+4.9
2 Merrimack Warriors2718967%68.466.7+1.7
3 Quinnipiac28181064%75.571.4+4.1
4 St. Peters2415962%72.268.5+3.7
5 Marist26161062%70.063.5+6.6
6 Fairfield27161159%75.672.9+2.7
7 Iona27151256%73.273.1+0.1
8 Mount St. Mary's27121544%68.172.1-4.0
9 Sacred Heart28121643%76.277.4-1.1
10 Manhattan28121643%75.379.5-4.2
11 Canisius2781930%63.071.1-8.1
12 Niagara2671927%63.371.0-7.6
13 Rider2532212%63.576.6-13.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mount St. Mary's03104576
Niagara03103263
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