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Niagara vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 58-68
34-30 24-38
Position#351
Record5-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game73.4
Niagara
USA
vs
Mount St. Mary's 🏆
USA
Position#242
Record7-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game67.8
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Niagara v Mount St. Mary's
04 Dec 2026
NIAG v MOUN
upcoming
19 Jan 2026
NIAG58
MOUN68
14 Feb 2025
NIAG83
MOUN84
03 Mar 2024
NIAG72
MOUN91
31 Dec 2022
NIAG67
MOUN55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niagara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NiagaraUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
L
54-83
54
83
-29
A06/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
43-71
43
71
-28
A07/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A13/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
58-84
58
84
-26
A16/12
NCAA
Houghton
#433
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H20/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H02/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
53-71
53
71
-18
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
21-46
33-37
19-32
24-39
33-35
40-46
34-37
24-47
41-20
40-38
32-24
32-37
31-41
44-42
22-41
31-30
38-36
32-43
34-28
25-26
135.5Avg total
63.0Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)63.273.4136.6-10.229%
Season at home (5)70.865.8136.6+5.060%
Season away (12)60.076.6136.6-16.617%
Last 10 (10)63.072.5135.5-9.530%
Last 5 (5)64.269.6133.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)62.476.2138.6-13.912%
vs Similar (10)70.172.3142.4-2.240%
vs Weaker (2)67.561.5129.0+6.0100%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#106
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
73-42
73
42
+31
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H30/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A02/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A04/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
W
70-65
70
65
+5
H10/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A17/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-30
36-34
38-37
43-36
33-38
34-37
39-26
34-16
30-33
36-26
27-29
38-46
35-32
34-48
31-33
39-32
25-29
25-38
33-34
45-34
134.3Avg total
67.5Scored
66.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)67.873.8141.6-5.937%
Season at home (7)68.666.9135.4+1.757%
Season away (12)67.477.8145.2-10.425%
Last 10 (10)67.566.8134.3+0.750%
Last 5 (5)66.471.0137.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)61.577.5139.1-16.018%
vs Similar (14)69.767.2136.9+2.571%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)75.468.8144.2+6.660%
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -3.5-3.51st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: -6.0-6.02nd half: +1.7+1.7
NiagaraMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NiagaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
L
21-46
21
46
-25
A06/12
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A07/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A13/12
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A16/12
NCAA
Houghton
#433
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H20/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
32-24
32
24
+8
H02/01
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H04/01
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A10/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A15/01
NCAA
64.5Avg total
30.5Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.334.865.1-4.633%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.533.266.6+0.345%-
Last 30 away (19)28.435.864.2-7.426%-
Last 10 (10)30.534.064.5-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.065.4-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)28.535.564.1-7.024%-
vs Similar (10)32.035.767.7-3.740%-
vs Weaker (2)31.032.063.0-1.050%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Marist
#106
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A06/12
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A13/12
NCAA
Drexel
#193
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A20/12
NCAA
Penn State Brandywine
#506
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H21/12
NCAA
Iona
#152
L
30-33
30
33
-3
H30/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A02/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#123
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A04/01
NCAA
St. Peters
#134
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/01
NCAA
Siena
#78
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H11/01
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A17/01
NCAA
63.2Avg total
31.1Scored
32.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.334.666.9-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.534.868.4-1.336%-
Last 30 away (19)31.634.566.1-2.937%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.163.2-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)30.231.461.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)30.436.466.7-6.027%-
vs Similar (14)32.733.466.1-0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)35.434.469.8+1.040%-
This opponent (Niagara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Niagara wins
4
Mount St. Mary's wins
DateGameScore
14/02/25Niagara v Mount St. Mary's83-84
05/01/25Mount St. Mary's v Niagara68-62
03/03/24Niagara v Mount St. Mary's72-91
21/01/24Mount St. Mary's v Niagara71-82
18/02/23Mount St. Mary's v Niagara70-66
31/12/22Niagara v Mount St. Mary's67-55
Niagaralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26ACanisius59-54
11/01/26AManhattan70-79
10/01/26AIona53-71
04/01/26HFairfield75-83
02/01/26HSacred Heart64-61
20/12/25HHoughton81-58
16/12/25AVCU Rams58-84
13/12/25AMorgan State73-81
07/12/25ASt. Peters43-71
06/12/25ASiena54-83
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/01/26ACanisius78-68
11/01/26HSiena50-67
10/01/26HSt. Peters70-65
04/01/26AQuinnipiac69-80
02/01/26AMerrimack Warriors65-75
30/12/25HIona66-59
21/12/25HPenn State Brandywine73-42
20/12/25ADrexel67-75
13/12/25ALoyola Maryland81-73
06/12/25AMarist56-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Niagara
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW29%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17512
Win %29%60%17%
Points / game63.270.860.0
Allowed / game73.465.876.6
Point differential-10.2+5.0-16.6
Avg total136.6136.6136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW37%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %37%57%25%
Points / game67.868.667.4
Allowed / game73.866.977.8
Point differential-5.9+1.7-10.4
Avg total141.6135.4145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%14%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist1712571%72.962.0+10.9
2 Siena1912763%70.065.1+4.9
3 Quinnipiac1912763%76.772.6+4.2
4 Iona1912763%75.374.4+0.9
5 St. Peters1610662%71.967.8+4.1
6 Fairfield1911858%77.673.4+4.3
7 Merrimack Warriors1911858%67.370.8-3.5
8 Canisius1981142%62.570.9-8.4
9 Manhattan2081240%75.081.0-6.0
10 Mount St. Mary's1971237%67.873.8-5.9
11 Sacred Heart1961332%74.576.9-2.4
12 Niagara1751229%63.273.4-10.2
13 Rider1721512%61.374.1-12.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Niagara342458
Mount St. Mary's303868
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