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Murray State vs Bellarmine Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 78-59
29-26 49-33
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#132
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game96.0
USANCAA
Other2021-22
Meetings · Murray State v Bellarmine
06 Dec 2025
MURR81
BELL68
13 Nov 2021
MURR78
BELL59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bellarmine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A06/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H12/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
84-55
84
55
+29
H14/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
86-57
86
57
+29
A15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H19/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
89-62
89
62
+27
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
61-71
61
71
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
65-68 OT
65
68
-3
A05/03
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#489
W
109-77
109
77
+32
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-30
37-34
42-30
38-30
46-23
38-32
46-30
40-27
29-31
30-37
46-21
43-41
30-43
44-44
31-34
30-37
31-29
26-28
55-45
54-32
145.2Avg total
78.3Scored
66.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.077.0186.0+32.0100%
Season at home (1)109.077.0186.0+32.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.366.9145.2+11.460%
Last 5 (5)79.673.0152.6+6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)71.871.3143.1+0.433%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)78.264.8142.9+13.460%
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#330
W
84-79
84
79
+5
A30/01
NCAA
Jacksonville
#214
W
71-56
71
56
+15
H06/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#214
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H06/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A13/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
87-63
87
63
+24
A14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#18
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H27/02
NCAA
Stetson
#225
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H05/03
NCAA
Army
#6
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A23/03
CBI
Pepperdine
#1
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A24/03
CBI
Purdue
#23
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A10/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-36
0-0
41-43
0-0
38-22
0-0
33-34
0-0
36-20
0-0
27-24
0-0
35-30
0-0
31-34
0-0
54-31
0-0
33-32
0-0
35-52
0-0
43-42
0-0
39-43
0-0
31-30
0-0
31-40
0-0
46-27
0-0
50-41
0-0
21-41
0-0
37-50
0-0
30-46
145.2Avg total
73.4Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)67.096.0163.0-29.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)67.096.0163.0-29.00%
Last 10 (10)73.471.8145.2+1.660%
Last 5 (5)72.682.4155.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.090.7162.7-18.70%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (19)74.163.8137.9+10.368%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -1.7-1.7
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.9+7.91st half: +3.3+3.32nd half2nd half: +3.8+3.82nd half: -1.7-1.7
Murray StateBellarmine
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Kentucky
#26
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A06/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#247
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H12/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#291
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H14/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A15/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#290
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H19/02
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#287
W
46-21
46
21
+25
H21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A26/02
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#340
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#77
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Cumberland University (TN)
#489
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H10/11
NCAA
71.1Avg total
39.5Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.031.169.1+6.970%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.630.371.9+11.381%-
Last 30 away (14)33.932.065.9+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)39.531.671.1+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)38.634.473.0+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)33.632.666.1+1.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.129.868.9+9.475%-
This opponent (Bellarmine) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BellarmineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kennesaw State
#330
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Jacksonville
#214
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H06/02
NCAA
Jacksonville
#214
W
36-20
36
20
+16
H06/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A13/02
NCAA
North Alabama
#155
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A14/02
NCAA
Liberty
#18
L
35-52
35
52
-17
H27/02
NCAA
Stetson
#225
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H05/03
NCAA
Army
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A23/03
CBI
Pepperdine
#1
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A24/03
CBI
Purdue
#23
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A10/11
NCAA
76.3Avg total
39.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.934.372.3+3.648%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.533.268.7+2.436%-
Last 30 away (12)40.135.475.5+4.758%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.576.3+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.283.6-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)40.747.788.3-7.033%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (19)37.831.969.8+5.953%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Murray State wins
0
Bellarmine wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21HCumberland University (TN)109-77
05/03/21AJacksonville State65-68 OT
28/02/21ATennessee Tech61-71
26/02/21AJacksonville State74-87
21/02/21HSiu Edwardsville89-62
19/02/21HEastern Illinois59-68
15/02/21ASiu Edwardsville86-57
14/02/21HUT Martin84-55
12/02/21HSoutheast Missouri State80-60
06/02/21AEastern Kentucky76-64
Bellarminelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/21APurdue67-96
24/03/21APepperdine71-82
23/03/21AArmy77-67
05/03/21HStetson70-73
27/02/21HLiberty78-94
14/02/21ANorth Alabama87-63
13/02/21ANorth Alabama66-64
06/02/21HJacksonville63-44
06/02/21HJacksonville71-56
30/01/21AKennesaw State84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game109.0109.0-
Allowed / game77.077.0-
Point differential+32.0+32.0-
Avg total186.0186.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Bellarmine
NCAA 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game96.0-96.0
Point differential-29.0--29.0
Avg total163.0-163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Murray State110100%109.077.0+32.0
2 Drake110100%87.061.0+26.0
3 Belmont21150%80.567.5+13.0
4 Southern Illinois21150%69.562.0+7.5
5 Illinois State21150%83.083.0+0.0
6 Illinois (Chi.)21150%64.067.0-3.0
7 Indiana State21150%74.084.5-10.5
8 Evansville31233%48.762.0-13.3
9 Valparaiso2020%65.571.5-6.0
10 Northern Iowa2020%57.566.5-9.0
11 Bradley2020%64.578.5-14.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jacksonville220100%71.048.5+22.5
2 Eastern Kentucky330100%91.069.3+21.7
3 Lipscomb32167%91.788.3+3.3
4 Florida Gulf Coast21150%85.573.0+12.5
5 North Alabama21150%73.061.0+12.0
6 Austin Peay21150%70.576.0-5.5
7 Stetson21150%63.072.0-9.0
8 North Florida3030%57.072.7-15.7
9 Bellarmine1010%67.096.0-29.0
10 Central Arkansas2020%57.090.5-33.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State294978
Bellarmine263359
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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