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Murray State vs Bradley Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 86-66
50-32 36-34
Position#102
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.4
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#91
Record10-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game70.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Murray State v Bradley
27 Jan 2027
MURR v BRAD
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
MURR86
BRAD66
18 Jan 2025
MURR61
BRAD74
29 Nov 2023
MURR79
BRAD72
04 Jan 2023
MURR67
BRAD58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murray State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bradley winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
87-90
87
90
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
96-95
96
95
+1
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
84-52
84
52
+32
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
81-68
81
68
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
115-100
115
100
+15
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
85-79
85
79
+6
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
84-81
84
81
+3
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-43
47-47
17-40
43-33
45-43
51-52
33-28
51-24
47-34
34-34
47-42
68-58
36-30
45-42
36-39
49-40
47-34
37-47
36-40
45-37
164.1Avg total
85.4Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.478.2166.6+10.280%
Season at home (9)89.772.4162.1+17.2100%
Season away (6)86.586.8173.3-0.350%
Last 10 (10)85.478.7164.1+6.780%
Last 5 (5)89.281.8171.0+7.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.678.9153.4-4.329%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.975.2154.1+3.664%
vs Weaker (9)79.767.4147.1+12.278%
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#337
W
88-64
88
64
+24
H25/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
77-87
77
87
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
74-64
74
64
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
84-55
84
55
+29
H07/12
NCAA
North Central Cardinals
#491
W
86-53
86
53
+33
H14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
W
108-99 OT
108
99
+9
A19/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H21/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
78-88
78
88
-10
A02/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-34
48-30
33-44
44-43
43-33
31-31
28-29
36-31
39-26
45-29
46-29
40-24
36-41
38-33
39-34
34-35
31-35
45-33
39-42
39-46
151.5Avg total
80.8Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.370.7148.9+7.667%
Season at home (11)78.366.3144.5+12.082%
Season away (4)78.282.8161.0-4.525%
Last 10 (10)80.870.7151.5+10.180%
Last 5 (5)84.275.4159.6+8.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)78.088.0166.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.469.8137.2-2.342%
vs Weaker (15)79.970.1150.1+9.887%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +6.5+6.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: +2.7+2.72nd half2nd half: +5.6+5.62nd half: +6.5+6.5
Murray StateBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/11
NCAA
McNeese State
#15
L
17-40
17
40
-23
A25/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H26/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#112
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H03/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H06/12
NCAA
Akron
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/12
NCAA
Drake
#271
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A21/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H30/12
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A02/01
NCAA
75.7Avg total
38.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.334.669.9+0.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.833.170.9+4.671%-
Last 30 away (13)32.236.568.7-4.446%-
Last 10 (10)38.437.375.7+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.437.077.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.737.370.0-4.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.736.472.1-0.743%-
vs Weaker (9)36.829.766.4+7.189%-
This opponent (Bradley) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Princeton
#337
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H25/11
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H26/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Illinois
#342
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H07/12
NCAA
North Central Cardinals
#491
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H14/12
NCAA
Indiana State
#311
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A19/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H21/12
NCAA
Evansville
#362
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H30/12
NCAA
Belmont
#25
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A02/01
NCAA
72.1Avg total
37.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.032.767.7+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.532.468.9+4.158%-
Last 30 away (11)32.433.265.5-0.836%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.772.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.274.4+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)39.042.081.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.833.268.0+1.567%-
vs Weaker (15)33.932.766.6+1.333%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murray State wins
5
Bradley wins
DateGameScore
08/03/25Bradley v Murray State70-62
22/02/25Bradley v Murray State85-83 OT
18/01/25Murray State v Bradley61-74
25/01/24Bradley v Murray State71-63
30/11/23Murray State v Bradley79-72
11/02/23Bradley v Murray State83-48
05/01/23Murray State v Bradley67-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26AIllinois (Chi.)81-77
30/12/25HSouthern Illinois84-81
21/12/25AValparaiso85-79
19/12/25HDrake81-72
13/12/25AAkron115-100
06/12/25HBellarmine81-68
03/12/25HMorehead State84-52
26/11/25HGeorge Washington96-95
25/11/25AMcNeese State60-73
24/11/25AMiddle Tenn. St.87-90
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/01/26ABelmont78-88
30/12/25HEvansville76-68
21/12/25HSouthern Illinois73-69
19/12/25AIndiana State108-99 OT
14/12/25HNorth Central Cardinals86-53
07/12/25HNorthern Illinois84-55
03/12/25HWashington State64-60
26/11/25HLiberty74-64
25/11/25HUC San Diego77-87
25/11/25HPrinceton88-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLWWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game88.489.786.5
Allowed / game78.272.486.8
Point differential+10.2+17.2-0.3
Avg total166.6162.1173.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%56%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bradley
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW82%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15114
Win %67%82%25%
Points / game78.378.378.2
Allowed / game70.766.382.8
Point differential+7.6+12.0-4.5
Avg total148.9144.5161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%55%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %7%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belmont1613381%83.171.6+11.5
2 Illinois State1512380%79.965.2+14.7
3 Northern Iowa1512380%69.957.3+12.7
4 Murray State1512380%88.478.2+10.2
5 Bradley1510567%78.370.7+7.6
6 Drake158753%77.269.6+7.6
7 Indiana State168850%75.873.8+1.9
8 Southern Illinois157847%78.774.0+4.7
9 Valparaiso157847%70.969.7+1.2
10 Illinois (Chi.)1551033%76.573.7+2.8
11 Evansville1641225%66.672.4-5.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Murray State503686
Bradley323466
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