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Musel Pikes vs Walferdange Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 100-81
20-26 24-13 21-19 35-23
Position#10
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#7
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LuxembourgTotal LeagueRound 1· Hall des Sports Jeannot Bonifas
Other2025-26
Meetings · Musel Pikes v Walferdange
20 Sep 2025
MUSE100
WALF81
07 Jan 2025
MUSE104
WALF106
28 Oct 2023
MUSE99
WALF93
11 Mar 2023
MUSE88
WALF76
01 Oct 2021
MUSE69
WALF104
04 Oct 2020
MUSE80
WALF94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Musel Pikes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Walferdange winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Musel PikesLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPikes
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck
#1
L
72-118
72
118
-46
61avg 65
A28/02
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#8
W
94-86
94
86
+8
87avg 65
H08/03
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#8
L
83-101
83
101
-18
68avg 65
A23/03
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
79-59
79
59
+20
79avg 65
H29/03
Total League
Avanti Mondorf
#12
W
102-85
102
85
+17
102avg 65
H02/04
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
58avg 65
H05/04
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
72-63
72
63
+9
59avg 65
A12/04
Total League
Avanti Mondorf
#12
L
77-80
77
80
-3
64avg 65
A18/04
Total League
Schieren
#13
W
85-66
85
66
+19
75avg 65
A26/04
Total League
Schieren
#13
W
65-62
65
62
+3
60avg 65
H30/04
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
9-43
25-27
17-30
26-23
22-24
24-21
22-18
21-24
25-21
18-33
19-23
17-16
28-14
13-10
21-19
28-22
27-14
23-25
24-24
23-11
15-28
13-26
25-17
12-17
21-14
16-14
23-18
13-26
31-22
17-12
16-20
18-19
21-16
20-19
26-12
20-15
14-19
20-12
11-16
160.7Avg total
80.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.580.2160.7+0.360%
Last 5 (5)75.070.6145.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)75.391.1166.4-15.812%
vs Similar (6)83.083.7166.7-0.750%
vs Weaker (8)81.576.6158.1+4.962%
This opponent (Walferdange) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WalferdangeLuxembourgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWalferdange
Date
Competition
Musel Pikes
#10
W
106-104
106
104
+2
58avg 74
A07/01
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#3
L
81-86
81
86
-5
75avg 74
H11/01
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
81-120
81
120
-39
70avg 74
A26/01
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#8
L
92-98
92
98
-6
76avg 74
H29/01
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#2
L
70-78
70
78
-8
52avg 74
A02/02
Total League
Esch
#4
L
92-96
92
96
-4
83avg 74
H08/02
Total League
Bertrange
#7
L
72-96
72
96
-24
53avg 74
A28/02
Total League
Larochette
#5
L
84-86
84
86
-2
55avg 74
H08/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
78-101
78
101
-23
57avg 74
A23/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
79avg 74
H26/03
Total League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
32-19
27-37
22-26
23-19
19-19
21-24
18-24
16-29
21-34
25-29
19-28
22-21
26-20
25-36
19-21
18-15
18-15
20-24
14-24
24-20
18-29
29-25
21-22
13-20
31-31
17-18
11-27
27-14
21-18
22-22
14-32
16-27
28-25
24-21
10-28
22-40
20-15
19-26
28-14
180.5Avg total
84.5Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)84.596.0180.5-11.510%
Last 5 (5)83.094.8177.8-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.294.1173.3-14.97%
vs Similar (10)88.990.5179.4-1.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)98.878.7177.5+20.2100%
This opponent (Musel Pikes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -7.0-7.0
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -7.0-7.0
Musel PikesWalferdange
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Musel PikesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ettelbruck
#1
L
30-61
30
61
-31
A28/02
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H08/03
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#8
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A23/03
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H29/03
Total League
Avanti Mondorf
#12
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H02/04
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#8
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/04
Total League
Heffingen
#11
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A12/04
Total League
Avanti Mondorf
#12
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A18/04
Total League
Schieren
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/04
Total League
Schieren
#13
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H30/04
Total League
81.8Avg total
41.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.944.183.0-5.237%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.341.980.3-3.647%-
Last 30 away (15)39.546.385.8-6.927%-
Last 10 (10)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)37.637.475.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)36.147.984.0-11.819%-
vs Similar (6)41.841.883.7+0.050%-
vs Weaker (8)42.238.480.6+3.962%-
This opponent (Walferdange) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WalferdangeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Musel Pikes
#10
W
57-41
57
41
+16
A07/01
Total League
T71 Dudelange
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H11/01
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
37-63
37
63
-26
A26/01
Total League
Mambra Mamer
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H29/01
Total League
Amicale Steesel
#2
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A02/02
Total League
Esch
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H08/02
Total League
Bertrange
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A28/02
Total League
Larochette
#5
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H08/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A23/03
Total League
Ettelbruck
#1
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H26/03
Total League
89.2Avg total
44.0Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.743.488.0+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.341.286.5+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)43.945.989.8-1.936%-
Last 10 (10)44.045.289.2-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.891.8-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.648.188.7-7.421%-
vs Similar (10)45.341.086.3+4.360%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)53.036.389.3+16.7100%-
This opponent (Musel Pikes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Musel Pikestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Musel Pikes: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.619.4
45.5%
52.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.7
33.1%
32.3%26.1
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
71.4%15.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Walferdangetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Walferdange: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.1 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.622.8
52.3%
52.8%45.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.6
32.3%
32.3%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.812.5
79.1%
71.4%12.5
They take 70.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Musel Pikes
WWLWLWWLWL
Walferdange
LLLLLLLLLW
#10
League position
#7
-0.6
Net rating
-14.5
100.2
Offensive rating
105.4
100.8
Defensive rating
119.9
47.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
56.7%
16.8%
Turnover %
12.6%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
18.6%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.23
33.1%
3-point %
32.3%
57.3%
Assist %
42.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 105.4Defence100.8 · 119.9Shooting47.1% · 50.9%3-point %33.1% · 32.3%Ball care16.8% · 12.6%Off. rebounds25.8% · 18.6%Free throws0.31 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Musel Pikes   ■ Walferdange
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Musel Pikes wins
8
Walferdange wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/04/25HSchieren65-62
26/04/25ASchieren85-66
18/04/25AAvanti Mondorf77-80
12/04/25AHeffingen72-63
05/04/25HMambra Mamer76-82
02/04/25HAvanti Mondorf102-85
29/03/25HHeffingen79-59
23/03/25AMambra Mamer83-101
08/03/25HMambra Mamer94-86
28/02/25AEttelbruck72-118
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/25HEttelbruck89-95
23/03/25AEttelbruck78-101
08/03/25HLarochette84-86
28/02/25ABertrange72-96
08/02/25HEsch92-96
02/02/25AAmicale Steesel70-78
29/01/25HMambra Mamer92-98
26/01/25AEttelbruck81-120
11/01/25HT71 Dudelange81-86
07/01/25AMusel Pikes106-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Musel Pikes
Total League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Walferdange
Total League 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Amicale Steesel110100%92.079.0+13.0
2 Racing Luxembourg110100%89.085.0+4.0
3 Esch1010%85.089.0-4.0
4 Kordall Steelers1010%79.092.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Musel Pikes20242135100
Walferdange2613192381
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