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Nadezhda W vs Novosibirsk W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 13:00
Projected 79-62
Projected total 141.6
Final 60-66
15-17 20-14 11-18 14-17
Position#6
Record2-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game67.2
Nadezhda W
Russia
Vs
93%
■ NADE 93%■ NOVO 7%
Pythia win probability
Novosibirsk W 🏆
Russia
Position#8
Record0-4
FormLLLLL
Points / game59.0
Allowed / game77.5
RussiaPremier League W· Orenburzhje Sport Hall
Women2026-27
Meetings · Nadezhda W v Novosibirsk W
01 Nov 2026
NADE60
NOVO66
20 Jan 2026
NADE77
NOVO72
28 Dec 2024
NADE85
NOVO49
15 Feb 2024
NADE74
NOVO65
04 Oct 2023
NADE73
NOVO47
07 Dec 2022
NADE64
NOVO60
08 Apr 2022
NADE78
NOVO49
07 Dec 2021
NADE76
NOVO81
14 Jan 2021
NADE77
NOVO63
25 Jan 2020
NADE82
NOVO60
23 Feb 2019
NADE67
NOVO61
04 Mar 2018
NADE78
NOVO55
19 Feb 2017
NADE73
NOVO56
11 Oct 2015
NADE62
NOVO46
21 Oct 2014
NADE64
NOVO45
24 Nov 2013
NADE80
NOVO63
17 Nov 2013
NADE70
NOVO61
06 Jan 2013
NADE83
NOVO69
16 Oct 2011
NADE83
NOVO62
19 Oct 2010
NADE76
NOVO55
21 Mar 2010
NADE81
NOVO69
15 Apr 2009
NADE82
NOVO54
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off
Nadezhda W host Novosibirsk W in the Premier League W. Pythia makes Nadezhda W the favourite at 93% and projects 79-62, about 142 points in all (over 134.5: 67%). On the market's main spread (Nadezhda W -6.5) Pythia gives Nadezhda W 83% to cover. Overtime chance: 2%. Nadezhda W are 2-2 this season (63.2 scored, 67.2 allowed a game), form WWWLL; Novosibirsk W are 0-4 this season (59.0 scored, 77.5 allowed a game), form LLLLL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nadezhda W winLost
93.0%fair 1.07
Best odds1.34
Implied69.1%
Edge+23.9pp
Novosibirsk W winWon
7.0%fair 14.34
Best odds2.99
Implied30.9%
Edge-23.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nadezhda WRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
55-91
55
91
-36
A03/04
Premier League W
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A05/04
Premier League W
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
61-84
61
84
-23
H09/04
Premier League W
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
W
78-51
78
51
+27
A18/04
Premier League W
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A20/04
Premier League W
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
W
75-67
75
67
+8
H24/04
Premier League W
Ivanovo W
#10
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H04/10
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#7
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H12/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Moscow W
#3
L
59-74
59
74
-15
H20/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Kursk W
#2
L
54-68
54
68
-14
H23/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-23
17-20
15-31
14-17
20-20
16-26
9-16
17-23
21-17
18-24
9-21
13-22
23-16
27-17
13-10
15-8
13-18
21-17
20-25
31-13
24-13
19-19
13-20
19-15
18-14
11-18
27-20
21-15
21-16
7-18
13-16
22-10
8-18
15-17
14-19
22-20
18-21
14-11
11-16
11-20
138.9Avg total
66.9Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)63.267.2130.5-4.050%
Season at home (4)63.267.2130.5-4.050%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)66.972.0138.9-5.150%
Last 5 (5)65.667.2132.8-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)60.979.3140.2-18.40%
vs Similar (6)74.767.5142.2+7.283%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)74.458.7133.1+15.792%
This opponent (Novosibirsk W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novosibirsk WRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivanovo W
#11
L
106-110 OT
106
110
-4
A01/04
Premier League W
Samara W
#8
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H02/04
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#10
W
67-59
67
59
+8
H03/04
Premier League W
Ivanovo W
#11
L
68-69
68
69
-1
H06/04
Premier League W
Samara W
#8
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A07/04
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#10
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A08/04
Premier League W
Dynamo Kursk W
#2
L
57-75
57
75
-18
H04/10
Premier League W
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
54-97
54
97
-43
A12/10
Premier League W
Enisey Krasnoyarsk W
#9
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H20/10
Premier League W
Spartak Moscow W
#5
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A24/10
Premier League W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
20-23
18-22
20-24
26-20
12-10
16-17
12-24
22-14
17-11
17-22
11-12
18-17
21-12
22-28
7-12
21-19
11-14
13-12
17-20
16-17
11-16
13-19
19-18
14-27
9-16
21-16
13-16
5-22
18-29
20-18
11-28
15-10
11-27
9-11
18-13
16-27
17-20
29-11
10-19
141.8Avg total
66.4Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)59.077.5136.5-18.50%
Season at home (2)55.068.0123.0-13.00%
Season away (2)63.087.0150.0-24.00%
Last 10 (10)66.475.4141.8-9.010%
Last 5 (5)59.076.0135.0-17.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)66.379.7146.0-13.322%
vs Similar (12)64.375.7140.0-11.38%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nadezhda W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 129.5Actual: Under 129.5
Over 129.5
77.3%
@ 1.49
Under 129.5
22.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.49
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 134.5 · main lineActual: Under 134.5
Over 134.5
66.9%
@ 1.84+17.0pp
Under 134.5
33.1%
@ 1.83-17.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
Over/Under 139.5Actual: Under 139.5
Over 139.5
55.0%
Under 139.5
45.0%
@ 1.49
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
Marathon Be
1.49

📊 3. Team Totals

Nadezhda W total 66.5Actual: Nadezhda W under 66.5
Over 66.5
90.4%
Under 66.5
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nadezhda W total 70.5 · main lineActual: Nadezhda W under 70.5
Over 70.5
81.6%
@ 1.83+31.6pp
Under 70.5
18.4%
@ 1.83-31.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Nadezhda W total 74.5Actual: Nadezhda W under 74.5
Over 74.5
69.1%
Under 74.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novosibirsk W total 60Actual: Novosibirsk W over 60
Over 60
58.8%
Under 60
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Novosibirsk W total 64 · main lineActual: Novosibirsk W over 64
Over 64
42.3%
@ 1.83-7.7pp
Under 64
57.7%
@ 1.83+7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Novosibirsk W total 68Actual: Novosibirsk W under 68
Over 68
27.2%
Under 68
72.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Nadezhda W -9.5Actual: Novosibirsk W +9.5
NADE -9.5
75.2%
@ 2.21+34.3pp
NOVO +9.5
24.8%
@ 1.53-34.3pp
Best 5 market prices
NADE
1xBet
2.21
Marathon Be
2.21
NOVO
1xBet
1.53
Marathon Be
1.53
Spread Nadezhda W -6.5 · main lineActual: Novosibirsk W +6.5
NADE -6.5
82.9%
@ 1.84+32.9pp
NOVO +6.5
17.1%
@ 1.84-32.9pp
Best 5 market prices
NADE
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
NOVO
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Spread Nadezhda W -3.5Actual: Novosibirsk W +3.5
NADE -3.5
89.0%
@ 1.52+29.4pp
NOVO +3.5
11.0%
@ 2.24-29.4pp
Best 5 market prices
NADE
1xBet
1.52
Marathon Be
1.52
NOVO
1xBet
2.24
Marathon Be
2.24

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -4.8-4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -5.0-5.0Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -4.8-4.8
Nadezhda WNovosibirsk W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Nadezhda WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A03/04
Premier League W
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A05/04
Premier League W
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/04
Premier League W
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
A18/04
Premier League W
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A20/04
Premier League W
Nika Siktivkar W
#4
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H24/04
Premier League W
Ivanovo W
#10
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H04/10
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#7
L
28-34
28
34
-6
H12/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Moscow W
#3
L
23-35
23
35
-12
H20/10
Premier League W
Dynamo Kursk W
#2
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H23/10
Premier League W
70.3Avg total
34.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 67
Last 30 (29)36.036.972.9-0.941%69%
Last 30 at home (15)33.735.769.4-1.933%53%
Last 30 away (14)38.438.376.7+0.150%86%
Last 10 (10)34.036.370.3-2.320%60%
Last 5 (5)31.033.064.0-2.020%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)32.239.771.9-7.518%64%
vs Similar (6)37.033.770.7+3.350%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.036.075.0+3.058%75%
This opponent (Novosibirsk W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Novosibirsk WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ivanovo W
#11
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A01/04
Premier League W
Samara W
#8
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H02/04
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#10
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H03/04
Premier League W
Ivanovo W
#11
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H06/04
Premier League W
Samara W
#8
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A07/04
Premier League W
Neftyanik Omsk W
#10
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A08/04
Premier League W
Dynamo Kursk W
#2
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H04/10
Premier League W
UMMC Ekaterinburg W
#1
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A12/10
Premier League W
Enisey Krasnoyarsk W
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H20/10
Premier League W
Spartak Moscow W
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A24/10
Premier League W
68.4Avg total
32.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 67
Last 30 (30)33.139.472.5-6.330%63%
Last 30 at home (14)31.334.665.9-3.443%43%
Last 30 away (16)34.743.678.3-8.919%81%
Last 10 (10)32.236.268.4-4.040%50%
Last 5 (5)26.442.268.6-15.80%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)32.442.574.9-10.122%67%
vs Similar (12)34.134.868.9-0.842%58%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nadezhda W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread Nadezhda W -3.5 · main lineActual: Nadezhda W -3.5
NADE -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
NOVO +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 67 · main lineActual: Under 67
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Nadezhda W 1st half total 35 · main linePush
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.86
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Novosibirsk W (regulation)
NADE
no forecast
@ 1.48
Draw
no forecast
@ 15.50
NOVO
no forecast
@ 2.75

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Nadezhda W -977.3%2.15
1xBet
2.15
Marathon Bet
2.15		---+35.3ppLost
Nadezhda W -880.0%2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathon Bet
2.00		---+34.8ppLost
Nadezhda W -9.575.2%2.21
1xBet
2.21
Marathon Bet
2.21		---+34.3ppLost
Nadezhda W -8.577.9%2.07
1xBet
2.07
Marathon Bet
2.07		---+34.2ppLost
Nadezhda W -782.5%1.88
1xBet
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.88		---+34.0ppLost
Nadezhda W -7.580.5%1.93
1xBet
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.93		---+33.5ppLost
Nadezhda W -1074.5%2.17
Marathon Bet
2.17
1xBet
2.17		---+33.3ppLost
Nadezhda W -684.7%1.77
1xBet
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.77		---+33.2ppLost
Nadezhda W -6.582.9%1.84
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Bet
1.84		---+32.9ppLost
Nadezhda W over 7181.1%1.88
Marathon Bet
1.88
1xBet
1.88		---+32.8ppLost
Nadezhda W -10.572.3%2.26
Marathon Bet
2.26
1xBet
2.26		---+32.7ppLost
Nadezhda W over 69.584.2%1.76
Marathon Bet
1.76
1xBet
1.76		---+32.5ppLost
Nadezhda W over 7083.8%1.76
Marathon Bet
1.76
1xBet
1.76		---+32.1ppLost
Nadezhda W -5.585.1%1.71
1xBet
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.71		---+32.1ppLost
Nadezhda W -586.8%1.65
1xBet
1.65
Marathon Bet
1.65		---+32.1ppLost
Nadezhda W over 70.581.6%1.83
Marathon Bet
1.83
1xBet
1.83		---+31.6ppLost
Nadezhda W over 71.578.8%1.90
Marathon Bet
1.90
1xBet
1.90		---+30.9ppLost
Nadezhda W -4.587.1%1.61
1xBet
1.61
Marathon Bet
1.61		---+30.9ppLost
Nadezhda W -488.8%1.56
1xBet
1.56
Marathon Bet
1.56		---+30.8ppLost
Nadezhda W -3.589.0%1.52
1xBet
1.52
Marathon Bet
1.52		---+29.4ppLost
Nadezhda W (regulation)91.9%1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathon Bet
1.35		---+26.0ppLost
Nadezhda W win93.0%1.33
1xBet
1.34
Marathon Bet
1.33		---+23.9ppLost
Over 13174.8%1.60
1xBet
1.63
Marathon Bet
1.57		---+18.9ppLost
Over 130.575.4%1.57
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.54		---+18.4ppLost
Over 13370.6%1.70
1xBet
1.70
Marathon Bet
1.70		---+17.3ppLost
Over 13272.8%1.63
1xBet
1.63
Marathon Bet
1.63		---+17.3ppLost
Over 132.571.3%1.67
1xBet
1.67
Marathon Bet
1.67		---+17.0ppLost
Over 131.573.4%1.60
1xBet
1.60
Marathon Bet
1.60		---+16.8ppLost
Nadezhda W +193.7%1.27
Marathon Bet
1.27		-----Lost
Nadezhda W -193.0%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33		-----Lost
Nadezhda W -1.592.1%1.37
Marathon Bet
1.37		-----Lost
Nadezhda W -291.9%1.40
Marathon Bet
1.40		-----Lost
Nadezhda W -2.590.4%1.44
Marathon Bet
1.44		-----Lost
Nadezhda W -390.2%1.47
Marathon Bet
1.47		-----Lost
Over 127.580.8%1.43
Marathon Bet
1.43		-----Lost
Over 12880.5%1.45
Marathon Bet
1.45		-----Lost
Over 128.579.1%1.44
Marathon Bet
1.44		-----Lost
Over 12978.7%1.46
Marathon Bet
1.46		-----Lost
Over 129.577.3%1.49
Marathon Bet
1.49		-----Lost
Over 13076.8%1.51
Marathon Bet
1.51		-----Lost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Nadezhda W wins
0
Novosibirsk W wins
DateGameScore
20/01/26Nadezhda W v Novosibirsk W77-72
06/11/25Novosibirsk W v Nadezhda W57-81
28/12/24Nadezhda W v Novosibirsk W85-49
19/10/24Novosibirsk W v Nadezhda W56-71
15/02/24Nadezhda W v Novosibirsk W74-65
06/12/23Novosibirsk W v Nadezhda W79-83
04/10/23Nadezhda W v Novosibirsk W73-47
07/12/22Nadezhda W v Novosibirsk W64-60
02/10/22Novosibirsk W v Nadezhda W66-72
12/04/22Novosibirsk W v Nadezhda W62-81
Nadezhda Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/26HDynamo Kursk W54-68
20/10/26HDynamo Moscow W59-74
12/10/26HNeftyanik Omsk W63-60
04/10/26HIvanovo W77-67
24/04/26HNika Siktivkar W75-67
20/04/26ANika Siktivkar W85-73
18/04/26ANika Siktivkar W78-51
09/04/26HUMMC Ekaterinburg W61-84
05/04/26AUMMC Ekaterinburg W62-85
03/04/26AUMMC Ekaterinburg W55-91
Novosibirsk Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26ASpartak Moscow W72-77
20/10/26HEnisey Krasnoyarsk W53-61
12/10/26AUMMC Ekaterinburg W54-97
04/10/26HDynamo Kursk W57-75
08/04/26ANeftyanik Omsk W59-70
07/04/26ASamara W62-65
06/04/26HIvanovo W68-69
03/04/26HNeftyanik Omsk W67-59
02/04/26HSamara W66-71
01/04/26AIvanovo W106-110 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nadezhda W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game63.263.2-
Allowed / game67.267.2-
Point differential-4.0-4.0-
Avg total130.5130.5-
Over 134.525%25%-
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
Novosibirsk W
Premier League W 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game59.055.063.0
Allowed / game77.568.087.0
Point differential-18.5-13.0-24.0
Avg total136.5123.0150.0
Over 134.550%0%100%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMMC Ekaterinburg W440100%87.853.2+34.5
2 MBA Moscow W330100%76.357.3+19.0
3 Dynamo Moscow W660100%81.068.2+12.8
4 Dynamo Kursk W54180%79.861.8+18.0
5 Spartak Moscow W53260%70.869.2+1.6
6 Nadezhda W42250%63.267.2-4.0
7 Enisey Krasnoyarsk W42250%65.269.8-4.5
8 Neftyanik Omsk W41325%63.268.5-5.2
9 Vladimir W51420%64.079.0-15.0
10 Ivanovo W61517%67.576.5-9.0
11 Novosibirsk W4040%59.077.5-18.5
12 Samara W4040%56.284.2-28.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nadezhda W1520111460
Novosibirsk W1714181766
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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