Nafta Univers. vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2016

Tip-off: 16:00

Final 62-76

15-15 19-21 14-23 14-17

Position#2

Record16-6

FormWWWLW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game75.6

Nafta Univers.

Telsiai 🏆

Position#4

Record15-7

FormWWLWW

Points / game76.0

Allowed / game68.6

NKL

Other2016-17

Meetings · Nafta Univers. v Telsiai

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nafta Univers. winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Telsiai winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nafta Univers. Lithuania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas 2

95-77

+18

A18/11

NKL

Rytas 2

74-68

H19/11

NKL

Vytis VDU

90-96

-6

H25/11

NKL

Mazeikiai

#11

86-79

A26/11

NKL

Zalgiris Kaunas 2

72-76

-4

A02/12

NKL

Suduva-Mantinga

83-82

H03/12

NKL

Silute

87-80

A09/12

NKL

Kauno KTU

#12

73-70

H10/12

NKL

Ezerunas

#13

52-84

-32

A16/12

NKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

86-79

H17/12

NKL

17-22

25-16

27-24

26-15

19-15

11-25

23-22

21-6

24-23

23-23

21-21

22-29

31-15

19-26

15-19

21-19

14-21

18-16

18-22

22-17

26-21

18-23

23-14

16-24

27-12

22-23

20-21

18-24

19-17

25-22

8-15

21-16

9-14

20-19

3-25

20-26

14-25

27-17

20-22

25-15

158.9Avg total

79.8Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	79.9	75.6	155.5	+4.3	73%
Season at home (11)	82.8	71.7	154.5	+11.1	91%
Season away (11)	77.0	79.5	156.5	-2.5	55%
Last 10 (10)	79.8	79.1	158.9	+0.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	76.2	79.0	155.2	-2.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.0	89.0	166.0	-12.0	50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	78.4	77.6	156.0	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker (12)	81.4	72.1	153.5	+9.3	92%

This opponent (Telsiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Telsiai

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ezerunas

#13

75-69

A18/11

NKL

Ezerunas

#13

67-57

+10

H19/11

NKL

Vytis VDU

76-83

-7

A24/11

NKL

Rytas 2

72-69

H02/12

NKL

Suduva-Mantinga

65-82

-17

H06/12

NKL

Rasai Raseiniai

86-54

+32

H09/12

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

#10

86-66

+20

A10/12

NKL

Silute

71-82

-11

A13/12

NKL

Jonavos Sintek

#14

86-54

+32

H16/12

NKL

Kauno KTU

#12

78-49

+29

A17/12

NKL

29-22

13-13

10-17

23-17

4-16

22-12

17-17

24-12

25-21

14-18

20-20

17-24

17-21

15-12

29-20

11-16

17-19

17-23

11-22

20-18

24-9

23-11

20-12

19-22

19-14

23-19

22-18

22-15

19-24

19-17

13-23

20-18

18-12

16-11

32-11

20-20

17-11

16-14

19-12

26-12

142.7Avg total

76.2Scored

66.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	76.0	68.6	144.7	+7.4	68%
Season at home (12)	76.5	65.4	141.9	+11.1	83%
Season away (10)	75.5	72.5	148.0	+3.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	66.5	142.7	+9.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	81.4	61.0	142.4	+20.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	78.0	80.5	158.5	-2.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	75.0	72.0	147.0	+3.0	60%
vs Weaker (10)	76.7	62.9	139.6	+13.8	80%

This opponent (Nafta Univers.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Nafta Univers.Telsiai

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.5	18.0	38.5	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	22.7	17.9	40.6	+4.8	91%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.4	18.1	36.5	+0.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.5	23.0	41.5	-4.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.6	19.0	40.6	+2.6	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.2	16.5	36.7	+3.7	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.8	16.2	35.0	+2.5	64%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.9	14.8	32.7	+3.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.9	35.8	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.0	33.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.5	18.5	35.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	17.5	37.2	+2.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.3	14.5	32.8	+3.8	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.5	68%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.5	18.2	38.7	+2.4	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	22.0	17.3	39.3	+4.7	82%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.0	41.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.6	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.2	16.0	34.3	+2.2	64%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	17.8	14.8	32.5	+3.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.8	17.6	36.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	15.0	32.8	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.4	33.8	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	23.5	20.5	44.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	16.7	15.9	32.6	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (10)	18.7	15.3	34.0	+3.4	70%	-

Nafta Univers.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rytas 2

42-38

A18/11

NKL

Rytas 2

30-40

-10

H19/11

NKL

Vytis VDU

47-46

H25/11

NKL

Mazeikiai

#11

50-41

A26/11

NKL

Zalgiris Kaunas 2

32-37

-5

A02/12

NKL

Suduva-Mantinga

44-44

H03/12

NKL

Silute

49-35

+14

A09/12

NKL

Kauno KTU

#12

44-39

H10/12

NKL

Ezerunas

#13

29-33

-4

A16/12

NKL

BC Olimpas Palanga

41-42

-1

H17/12

NKL

80.3Avg total

40.8Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	41.8	35.7	77.5	+6.1	73%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	43.3	36.1	79.4	+7.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (11)	40.4	35.4	75.7	+5.0	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.8	39.5	80.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	38.6	80.0	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	39.5	42.5	82.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	43.2	36.6	79.9	+6.6	88%	-
vs Weaker (12)	41.2	34.0	75.2	+7.2	75%	-

This opponent (Telsiai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

TelsiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ezerunas

#13

42-35

A18/11

NKL

Ezerunas

#13

26-28

-2

H19/11

NKL

Vytis VDU

39-39

A24/11

NKL

Rytas 2

32-33

-1

H02/12

NKL

Suduva-Mantinga

34-42

-8

H06/12

NKL

Rasai Raseiniai

47-20

+27

H09/12

NKL

Delikatesas Joniskis

#10

42-33

A10/12

NKL

Silute

38-41

-3

A13/12

NKL

Jonavos Sintek

#14

34-23

+11

H16/12

NKL

Kauno KTU

#12

33-25

A17/12

NKL

68.6Avg total

36.7Scored

31.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	37.0	32.3	69.3	+4.7	55%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	35.7	29.5	65.2	+6.2	58%	-
Last 30 away (10)	38.6	35.6	74.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	31.9	68.6	+4.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	28.4	67.2	+10.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	36.4	33.4	69.8	+3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (10)	37.0	29.8	66.8	+7.2	80%	-

This opponent (Nafta Univers.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	17.6	19.7	37.3	-2.1	41%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	19.3	18.3	37.5	+1.0	55%	-
Last 30 away (11)	15.9	21.2	37.1	-5.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.5	38.3	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.8	19.4	34.2	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	18.0	34.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.9	20.6	37.5	-3.8	12%	-
vs Weaker (12)	18.3	19.4	37.8	-1.1	58%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	19.8	18.5	38.4	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.6	17.2	37.8	+3.4	58%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.2	36.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.2	36.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.0	23.0	45.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.9	20.3	40.2	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	19.3	15.9	35.2	+3.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.5	20.2	40.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	20.3	17.4	37.6	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (11)	20.7	23.0	43.7	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	19.1	40.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	28.5	50.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	18.2	20.4	38.6	-2.1	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.2	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.7	17.6	36.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.3	18.4	37.8	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.0	16.7	34.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	18.5	34.5	-2.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.6	17.9	35.5	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	20.4	17.2	37.6	+3.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	39.5	35.6	75.2	+3.9	82%	-
Last 30 away (11)	36.6	44.2	80.8	-7.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	39.6	78.6	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	40.4	75.2	-5.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	37.5	46.5	84.0	-9.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	35.1	41.0	76.1	-5.9	38%	-
vs Weaker (12)	40.2	38.1	78.2	+2.1	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	38.5	36.2	74.7	+2.4	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	39.9	35.6	75.5	+4.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (10)	36.9	36.9	73.8	+0.0	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.5	34.6	74.1	+4.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.6	32.6	75.2	+10.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.0	41.5	79.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.5	38.2	75.7	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	39.7	33.1	72.8	+6.6	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nafta Univers. wins

Telsiai wins

Date	Game	Score
05/11/16	Telsiai v Nafta Univers.	82-70

Nafta Univers.last 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/16	H	BC Olimpas Palanga	86-79
16/12/16	A	Ezerunas	52-84
10/12/16	H	Kauno KTU	73-70
09/12/16	A	Silute	87-80
03/12/16	H	Suduva-Mantinga	83-82
02/12/16	A	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	72-76
26/11/16	A	Mazeikiai	86-79
25/11/16	H	Vytis VDU	90-96
19/11/16	H	Rytas 2	74-68
18/11/16	A	Rytas 2	95-77

Telsiailast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/12/16	A	Kauno KTU	78-49
16/12/16	H	Jonavos Sintek	86-54
13/12/16	A	Silute	71-82
10/12/16	A	Delikatesas Joniskis	86-66
09/12/16	H	Rasai Raseiniai	86-54
06/12/16	H	Suduva-Mantinga	65-82
02/12/16	H	Rytas 2	72-69
24/11/16	A	Vytis VDU	76-83
19/11/16	H	Ezerunas	67-57
18/11/16	A	Ezerunas	75-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nafta Univers.

NKL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	73%
Home	WLWWW	91%
Away	WWLWL	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	73%	91%	55%
Points / game	79.9	82.8	77.0
Allowed / game	75.6	71.7	79.5
Point differential	+4.3	+11.1	-2.5
Avg total	155.5	154.5	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	45%	27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Telsiai

NKL 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	68%
Home	WWLWW	83%
Away	WLWLW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	12	10
Win %	68%	83%	50%
Points / game	76.0	76.5	75.5
Allowed / game	68.6	65.4	72.5
Point differential	+7.4	+11.1	+3.0
Avg total	144.7	141.9	148.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	50%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	100% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	8%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Suduva-Mantinga	22	18	4	82%	91.0	73.0	+18.0
2	Nafta Univers.	22	16	6	73%	79.9	75.6	+4.3
3	Rasai Raseiniai	22	15	7	68%	85.8	76.8	+9.0
4	Telsiai	22	15	7	68%	76.0	68.6	+7.4
5	Rytas 2	21	12	9	57%	78.2	78.2	+0.0
6	Zalgiris Kaunas 2	22	12	10	55%	78.9	78.7	+0.1
7	Silute	21	11	10	52%	83.0	80.8	+2.2
8	Vytis VDU	20	10	10	50%	78.7	81.4	-2.8
9	Kauno KTU	22	9	13	41%	72.4	73.9	-1.5
10	BC Olimpas Palanga	21	8	13	38%	77.5	84.8	-7.3
11	Delikatesas Joniskis	22	8	14	36%	75.5	79.6	-4.1
12	Mazeikiai	22	8	14	36%	74.9	81.2	-6.3
13	Jonavos Sintek	22	5	17	23%	68.0	77.0	-9.0
14	Ezerunas	21	4	17	19%	70.0	81.2	-11.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nafta Univers.	15	19	14	14	62
Telsiai	15	21	23	17	76

← all games of the day

Nafta Univers. vs Telsiai Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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