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Nantes vs Poitiers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 73-67
19-13 17-17 15-17 22-20
Position#13
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game77.5
Nantes 🏆
France
vs
Poitiers
France
Position#11
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game91.0
FrancePro BRound 3· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2023-24
Meetings · Nantes v Poitiers
09 Feb 2027
NANT v POI
upcoming
06 Jun 2026
NANT79
POI88
12 Dec 2025
NANT81
POI76
13 May 2025
NANT82
POI88
27 Oct 2023
NANT73
POI67
23 Apr 2021
NANT86
POI69
23 Dec 2019
NANT83
POI67
27 Dec 2018
NANT79
POI89
26 Jan 2018
NANT75
POI83
07 Mar 2017
NANT75
POI78
11 Dec 2015
NANT96
POI68
23 Dec 2014
NANT70
POI83
11 Feb 2014
NANT72
POI75
19 Dec 2013
NANT70
POI76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poitiers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Antibes
#6
L
60-84
60
84
-24
no box
A14/04
Pro B
Orleans
#7
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
H18/04
Pro B
Chalon/Saone
#1
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H23/04
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#3
L
64-82
64
82
-18
no box
A28/04
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
no box
H05/05
Pro B
Quimper
#16
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A12/05
Pro B
Quimper
#52
W
84-69
84
69
+15
88avg 87
H19/09
French Cup
Boulazac
#3
W
83-75
83
75
+8
90avg 87
H13/10
Pro B
Fougeres
#33
W
79-78
79
78
+1
73avg 87
A17/10
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
83-80
83
80
+3
96avg 87
A20/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
12-27
12-20
16-18
16-25
11-16
19-10
30-12
19-14
14-17
31-24
12-28
16-13
7-20
12-24
29-25
21-31
19-22
16-16
17-24
15-22
19-21
13-16
19-24
23-22
19-17
26-20
16-10
30-24
13-20
23-19
17-12
16-18
26-26
24-21
13-13
22-23
20-15
25-20
16-22
153.4Avg total
74.4Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.077.5160.5+5.5100%
Season at home (1)83.075.0158.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)83.080.0163.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.479.0153.4-4.650%
Last 5 (5)79.077.0156.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)75.582.8158.2-7.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.179.1156.3-2.043%
vs Weaker (2)82.082.0164.0+0.050%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#16
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H06/06
Pro B
Paris
#1
L
80-107
80
107
-27
no box
A08/06
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
86-101
86
101
-15
no box
A11/06
Pro B
Challans
#52
W
84-72
84
72
+12
no box
H21/09
French Cup
Cholet
#20
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
A19/10
French Cup
Tarbes
#59
W
75-56
75
56
+19
no box
A20/09
French Cup
Challans
#14
L
60-69
60
69
-9
no box
A18/10
French Cup
Pau-Orthez
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
63avg 81
A19/09
French Cup
Vichy
#2
L
79-93
79
93
-14
90avg 81
H13/10
Pro B
Evreux
#17
L
84-89
84
89
-5
90avg 81
H20/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
25-15
18-20
15-19
23-31
22-29
21-22
14-25
25-25
18-31
19-25
24-20
19-24
23-20
22-11
20-17
20-22
21-16
18-21
18-28
19-15
16-8
20-11
20-22
12-15
10-16
19-23
19-15
17-16
21-21
20-24
11-20
22-23
23-26
21-22
13-22
21-22
25-18
24-27
14-22
162.8Avg total
78.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.591.0172.5-9.50%
Season at home (2)81.591.0172.5-9.50%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.684.2162.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)73.477.6151.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)75.586.8162.3-11.221%
vs Similar ◀ (2)80.588.0168.5-7.50%
vs Weaker (1)60.069.0129.0-9.00%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
NantesPoitiers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Antibes
#6
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A14/04
Pro B
Orleans
#7
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H18/04
Pro B
Chalon/Saone
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H23/04
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#3
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A28/04
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#2
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H05/05
Pro B
Quimper
#16
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/05
Pro B
Quimper
#52
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H19/09
French Cup
Boulazac
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H13/10
Pro B
Fougeres
#33
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A17/10
French Cup
St. Chamond
#12
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A20/10
Pro B
77.0Avg total
35.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.842.279.0-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.743.582.2-4.821%-
Last 30 away (16)35.141.176.2-6.125%-
Last 10 (10)35.841.277.0-5.430%-
Last 5 (5)40.641.682.2-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.944.279.1-9.28%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.640.177.6-2.536%-
vs Weaker (2)37.046.583.5-9.50%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Chamond
#16
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H06/06
Pro B
Paris
#1
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A08/06
Pro B
Quimper
#4
L
43-56
43
56
-13
A11/06
Pro B
Challans
#52
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/09
French Cup
Cholet
#20
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A19/10
French Cup
Tarbes
#59
W
35-23
35
23
+12
A20/09
French Cup
Challans
#14
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A18/10
French Cup
Pau-Orthez
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A19/09
French Cup
Vichy
#2
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H13/10
Pro B
Evreux
#17
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H20/10
Pro B
82.3Avg total
40.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.042.881.8-3.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.343.181.5-4.833%-
Last 30 away (15)39.642.582.1-2.953%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.982.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.073.2+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)39.444.784.0-5.338%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)43.539.082.5+4.5100%-
vs Weaker (1)22.031.053.0-9.00%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.2
50.0%
51.1%38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.8
36.5%
33.5%23.2
🏀 Free throws26.819.5
72.9%
72.2%19.5
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 77.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.7 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.3
51.9%
51.1%36.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.7
33.3%
33.5%26.0
🏀 Free throws20.714.7
71.0%
72.2%14.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/3 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
WWWWLLLLWL
Poitiers
LLLLWLWLLW
#13
League position
#11
+8.8
Net rating
-12.9
105.9
Offensive rating
103.6
97.1
Defensive rating
116.5
51.7%
Effective FG%
51.1%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.34
36.5%
3-point %
33.3%
72.2%
Assist %
61.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 103.6Defence97.1 · 116.5Shooting51.7% · 51.1%3-point %36.5% · 33.3%Ball care17.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds25.0% · 24.5%Free throws0.45 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Nantes   ■ Poitiers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nantes wins
6
Poitiers wins
DateGameScore
23/04/21Nantes v Poitiers86-69
16/01/21Poitiers v Nantes66-64
23/12/19Nantes v Poitiers83-67
19/04/19Poitiers v Nantes76-65
27/12/18Nantes v Poitiers79-89
08/05/18Poitiers v Nantes85-106
26/01/18Nantes v Poitiers75-83
07/03/17Nantes v Poitiers75-78
14/01/17Poitiers v Nantes68-56
08/05/16Poitiers v Nantes80-83
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23ASt. Chamond83-80
17/10/23AFougeres79-78
13/10/23HBoulazac83-75
19/09/23HQuimper84-69
12/05/23AQuimper66-83
05/05/23HSaint Quentin73-93
28/04/23AChalons-Reims64-82
23/04/23HChalon/Saone76-83
18/04/23HOrleans76-63
14/04/23AAntibes60-84
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/23HEvreux84-89
13/10/23HVichy79-93
19/09/23APau-Orthez69-81
18/10/22AChallans60-69
20/09/22ATarbes75-56
19/10/21ACholet77-87
21/09/21HChallans84-72
11/06/21AQuimper86-101
08/06/21AParis80-107
06/06/21HSt. Chamond92-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game83.083.083.0
Allowed / game77.575.080.0
Point differential+5.5+8.0+3.0
Avg total160.5158.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poitiers
Pro B 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeLL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game81.581.5-
Allowed / game91.091.0-
Point differential-9.5-9.5-
Avg total172.5172.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vichy220100%99.076.5+22.5
2 Rouen220100%92.570.5+22.0
3 La Rochelle220100%79.070.0+9.0
4 Nantes220100%83.077.5+5.5
5 Orleans220100%78.073.0+5.0
6 Denain-Voltaire220100%80.577.5+3.0
7 St. Chamond21150%79.072.5+6.5
8 ASA21150%77.073.0+4.0
9 Lille21150%79.576.5+3.0
10 Pau-Orthez21150%76.576.5+0.0
11 Angers21150%83.588.0-4.5
12 Evreux21150%75.581.0-5.5
13 Chalons-Reims2020%74.079.0-5.0
14 Antibes2020%81.088.5-7.5
15 Fos-sur-Mer2020%86.093.5-7.5
16 Poitiers2020%81.591.0-9.5
17 Boulazac2020%69.079.5-10.5
18 Aix Maurienne2020%68.599.0-30.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nantes1917152273
Poitiers1317172067
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