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Nantes vs St. Chamond Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 86-79
Projected total 165.7
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.0
Vs
73%
27%
■ NANT 73%■ ST. 27%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.6/10
Around normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#15
Record4-5
FormWLLWL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game86.6
FrancePro BRound 11· Salle métropolitaine de la Trocardière
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nantes v St. Chamond
20 Nov 2026
NANT v ST.
upcoming
01 May 2026
NANT88
ST. 70
20 Dec 2024
NANT77
ST. 87
02 Feb 2024
NANT110
ST. 92
03 Mar 2023
NANT98
ST. 100
08 Apr 2022
NANT85
ST. 96
29 Jan 2021
NANT76
ST. 86
06 Mar 2020
NANT78
ST. 59
17 May 2019
NANT97
ST. 95
15 Dec 2017
NANT59
ST. 69
11 Nov 2016
NANT63
ST. 72
13 May 2016
NANT80
ST. 61
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Nantes host St. Chamond in the Pro B. Pythia makes Nantes the favourite at 73% and projects 86-79, about 166 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Nantes are 5-4 this season (82.3 scored, 83.0 allowed a game), form WWLLW; St. Chamond are 4-5 this season (82.3 scored, 86.6 allowed a game), form WLLWL.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes win
72.6%fair 1.38
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
St. Chamond win
27.4%fair 3.65
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 07:36 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NantesFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNantes
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
L
75-85
75
85
-10
68avg 79
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
62avg 79
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
74avg 79
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
73-90
73
90
-17
65avg 79
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
83-78
83
78
+5
77avg 79
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
97-82
97
82
+15
96avg 79
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
99-90
99
90
+9
95avg 79
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
63avg 79
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
94-93
94
93
+1
no box
A13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
19-21
13-20
15-18
27-24
14-22
21-12
11-23
19-15
12-15
21-15
24-17
22-18
16-26
12-32
23-14
21-21
21-18
18-17
23-22
27-19
20-23
30-17
20-23
15-23
32-16
25-26
27-25
16-22
30-26
16-24
10-24
20-13
23-19
14-26
17-17
24-24
23-18
23-26
24-25
164.8Avg total
81.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.383.0165.3-0.756%
Season at home (4)83.076.2159.2+6.875%
Season away (5)81.888.4170.2-6.640%
Last 10 (10)81.683.2164.8-1.650%
Last 5 (5)87.287.2174.4+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)71.083.0154.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)85.581.0166.6+4.562%
vs Weaker (6)93.779.8173.5+13.8100%
This opponent (St. Chamond) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. ChamondFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChamond
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 76
A15/05
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
77-90
77
90
-13
71avg 76
A25/09
Pro B
Caen
#12
L
111-115 OT
111
115
-4
106avg 76
H02/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
84-81
84
81
+3
81avg 76
A09/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
89-86 OT
89
86
+3
87avg 76
H16/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
85-76
85
76
+9
84avg 76
A20/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
74avg 76
H23/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
L
63-74
63
74
-11
56avg 76
A30/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
84-81
84
81
+3
no box
H06/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
H13/11
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-12
13-27
18-22
24-26
15-15
17-20
27-24
18-31
18-22
25-22
21-20
28-28
30-23
18-21
22-22
14-15
16-16
16-25
27-17
20-21
21-28
16-15
25-17
23-16
24-18
15-15
21-17
18-31
18-21
17-14
14-22
14-17
17-18
23-32
15-17
29-14
34-27
13-24
13-24
10-20
168.3Avg total
81.7Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.386.6168.9-4.244%
Season at home (5)86.491.6178.0-5.240%
Season away (4)77.280.2157.5-3.050%
Last 10 (10)81.786.6168.3-4.940%
Last 5 (5)76.081.4157.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.787.2162.8-11.517%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.682.0161.6-2.440%
vs Weaker (4)86.873.5160.2+13.275%
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 161.5
Over 161.5
59.2%
Under 161.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
47.2%
Under 166.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171.5
Over 171.5
35.5%
Under 171.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Nantes total 80.5
Over 80.5
71.4%
Under 80.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes total 84.5
Over 84.5
56.7%
Under 84.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes total 88.5
Over 88.5
41.0%
Under 88.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Chamond total 78
Over 78
55.1%
Under 78
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Chamond total 82
Over 82
39.2%
Under 82
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
St. Chamond total 86
Over 86
25.2%
Under 86
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Nantes -3
NANT -3
65.0%
ST. +3
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
NANT
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.
Spread Nantes 0
NANT 0
72.6%
ST. 0
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
NANT
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.
Spread Nantes +3
NANT +3
79.8%
ST. -3
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
NANT
No market prices yet.
ST.
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.1-2.1
NantesSt. Chamond
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poitiers
#4
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A09/06
Pro B
Antibes
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A26/09
Pro B
Quimper
#4
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H02/10
Pro B
Poitiers
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A09/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A20/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H23/10
Pro B
Denain-Voltaire
#1
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A30/10
Pro B
Vichy
#13
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H06/11
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A13/11
Pro B
83.8Avg total
42.9Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.936.981.8+7.986%-
Last 30 away (16)44.743.488.1+1.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.983.8+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.040.686.6+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)43.440.183.5+3.357%-
vs Weaker (6)50.739.890.5+10.883%-
This opponent (St. Chamond) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
St. ChamondLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
La Rochelle
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A15/05
Pro B
Le Havre
#16
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A25/09
Pro B
Caen
#12
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H02/10
Pro B
La Rochelle
#17
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A09/10
Pro B
Evreux
#8
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H16/10
Pro B
ASA
#19
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A20/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#5
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H23/10
Pro B
Fos-sur-Mer
#20
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A30/10
Pro B
Rouen
#18
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H06/11
Pro B
Ada Blois
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H13/11
Pro B
80.2Avg total
38.7Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.078.4-3.527%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.940.380.2-0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)35.041.676.6-6.613%-
Last 10 (10)38.741.580.2-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.482.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)35.842.578.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)37.540.678.1-3.130%-
vs Weaker (4)39.840.580.2-0.850%-
This opponent (Nantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nantes: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.8
54.2%
53.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
33.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.216.3
67.4%
74.0%16.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
St. Chamondtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

St. Chamond: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
31%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.219.2
49.0%
53.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.0
36.3%
33.4%27.0
🏀 Free throws24.517.6
71.8%
74.0%17.6
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nantes
WLLWWWLWLL
St. Chamond
LWLLWWWLLL
#9
League position
#15
-1.8
Net rating
-5.3
91.1
Offensive rating
90.0
92.9
Defensive rating
95.4
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.1%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.38
29.2%
3-point %
36.3%
65.8%
Assist %
74.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.1 · 90.0Defence92.9 · 95.4Shooting50.0% · 51.1%3-point %29.2% · 36.3%Ball care15.4% · 19.2%Free throws0.38 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Nantes   ■ St. Chamond
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Nantes wins
4
St. Chamond wins
DateGameScore
01/05/26Nantes v St. Chamond88-70
26/09/25St. Chamond v Nantes92-95
28/02/25St. Chamond v Nantes86-90
20/12/24Nantes v St. Chamond77-87
02/02/24Nantes v St. Chamond110-92
20/10/23St. Chamond v Nantes80-83
03/03/23Nantes v St. Chamond98-100 OT
27/12/22St. Chamond v Nantes73-83
08/04/22Nantes v St. Chamond85-96 OT
14/01/22St. Chamond v Nantes81-74
Nanteslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AAix Maurienne94-93
06/11/26HVichy74-75
30/10/26ADenain-Voltaire72-96
23/10/26HASA99-90
20/10/26AEvreux97-82
16/10/26HRouen83-78
09/10/26APoitiers73-90
02/10/26HQuimper76-62
26/09/26AAntibes73-81
09/06/26APoitiers75-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HAda Blois70-95
06/11/26HRouen84-81
30/10/26AFos-sur-Mer63-74
23/10/26HChalons-Reims78-81
20/10/26AASA85-76
16/10/26HEvreux89-86 OT
09/10/26ALa Rochelle84-81
02/10/26HCaen111-115 OT
25/09/26ALe Havre77-90
15/05/26ALa Rochelle76-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game82.383.081.8
Allowed / game83.076.288.4
Point differential-0.7+6.8-6.6
Avg total165.3159.2170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
St. Chamond
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL44%
HomeLWLWL40%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game82.386.477.2
Allowed / game86.691.680.2
Point differential-4.2-5.2-3.0
Avg total168.9178.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %22%40%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire96367%86.378.7+7.7
2 Orleans96367%88.681.3+7.2
3 Antibes96367%86.683.0+3.6
4 Quimper96367%81.979.7+2.2
5 Chalons-Reims96367%79.280.7-1.4
6 Poitiers106460%87.084.3+2.7
7 Ada Blois95456%93.385.9+7.4
8 Evreux95456%84.383.7+0.7
9 Nantes95456%82.383.0-0.7
10 Hyeres-Toulon95456%87.489.3-1.9
11 Levallois105550%83.184.5-1.4
12 Caen94544%85.687.9-2.3
13 Vichy94544%84.687.4-2.9
14 Aix Maurienne94544%84.388.2-3.9
15 St. Chamond94544%82.386.6-4.2
16 Le Havre93633%89.488.9+0.6
17 La Rochelle93633%85.786.4-0.8
18 Rouen93633%85.487.0-1.6
19 ASA93633%85.288.3-3.1
20 Fos-sur-Mer92722%72.080.0-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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