Nara vs Kobe Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Oct 2023

Tip-off: 05:00

Final 58-96

17-25 10-19 19-24 12-28

Position#11

Record0-3

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game85.0

Nara

Kobe 🏆

Position#7

Record3-0

FormWLWWW

Points / game85.3

Allowed / game79.0

B2.League· JTEKT Arena Nara

Other2023-24

Meetings · Nara v Kobe

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nara winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Kobe winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Nara

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormNara

Date

Competition

Shiga

61-80

-19

no box

H29/03

BJ League

NeoPhoenix

65-78

-13

no box

A04/04

BJ League

NeoPhoenix

56-71

-15

no box

A05/04

BJ League

Ryukyu

69-89

-20

no box

H18/04

BJ League

Ryukyu

54-89

-35

no box

H19/04

BJ League

Shimane

#12

70-77

-7

no box

A25/04

BJ League

Shimane

#12

56-87

-31

no box

A26/04

BJ League

Altiri Chiba

80-95

-15

66avg 60

A07/10

B2.League

Altiri Chiba

76-83

-7

63avg 60

A08/10

B2.League

Kobe

66-77

-11

52avg 60

H14/10

B2.League

17-21

5-16

20-24

19-19

16-14

16-26

21-11

12-27

12-22

7-16

22-12

15-21

10-22

21-21

10-26

28-20

9-16

16-30

12-15

17-28

23-22

9-21

23-11

15-23

–

13-28

19-25

22-25

26-17

25-19

20-24

19-24

12-16

13-17

11-20

27-22

15-18

147.9Avg total

65.3Scored

82.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	74.0	85.0	159.0	-11.0	0%
Season at home (1)	66.0	77.0	143.0	-11.0	0%
Season away (2)	78.0	89.0	167.0	-11.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	65.3	82.6	147.9	-17.3	0%
Last 5 (5)	69.6	83.8	153.4	-14.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)	68.8	83.3	152.1	-14.5	8%
vs Similar (6)	78.2	89.0	167.2	-10.8	17%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Kobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Kobe

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKobe

Date

Competition

Shimane

#18

79-68

+11

no box

A28/04

B League

Shimane

#18

72-92

-20

no box

A29/04

B League

Kyoto

92-69

+23

no box

H02/05

B League

NeoPhoenix

#12

53-79

-26

no box

A05/05

B League

NeoPhoenix

#12

92-90

no box

A06/05

B League

Yokohama

#16

86-83

no box

A11/05

B League

Yokohama

#16

18-20

-2

no box

A12/05

B League

Shizuoka

92-89

91avg 82

A05/10

B2.League

Shizuoka

87-82

82avg 82

A06/10

B2.League

Nara

#11

77-66

+11

72avg 82

A14/10

B2.League

15-14

25-18

26-10

13-26

16-18

12-21

21-28

23-25

20-19

26-7

25-16

21-27

6-21

15-18

22-26

10-14

19-34

21-13

25-24

27-19

19-17

20-19

24-21

23-26

11-8

7-12

–

17-17

25-20

22-28

28-24

18-15

19-17

20-27

30-23

17-13

20-11

22-27

18-15

148.6Avg total

74.8Scored

73.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	85.3	79.0	164.3	+6.3	100%
Season at home	no games
Season away (3)	85.3	79.0	164.3	+6.3	100%
Last 10 (10)	74.8	73.8	148.6	+1.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	68.0	140.0	+4.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	70.3	84.8	155.1	-14.6	17%
vs Similar (6)	79.0	81.0	160.0	-2.0	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	77.0	66.0	143.0	+11.0	100%

This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NaraKobe

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.8	20.3	37.1	-3.5	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	16.5	18.8	35.4	-2.3	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	15.3	20.1	35.4	-4.8	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	20.4	37.0	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.3	20.7	37.0	-4.4	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	18.7	18.7	37.3	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	15.6	21.3	36.9	-5.7	27%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	16.1	20.1	36.2	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 away (21)	15.4	21.8	37.1	-6.4	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.8	17.6	33.4	-1.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	14.0	30.4	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	15.4	22.8	38.2	-7.4	22%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.2	16.7	32.8	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	17.0	13.0	30.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.8	20.6	37.4	-3.8	24%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.8	20.1	35.9	-4.2	15%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	21.0	38.6	-3.4	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	13.8	22.1	35.9	-8.3	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	24.0	39.0	-9.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	15.6	21.3	36.9	-5.7	9%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	17.8	39.3	+3.7	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	19.0	36.5	-1.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.7	18.0	35.7	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (21)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	15.6	34.6	+3.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	15.8	34.0	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	16.9	19.3	36.2	-2.3	30%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	19.3	38.5	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	20.0	11.0	31.0	+9.0	100%	-

NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shiga

22-37

-15

H29/03

BJ League

NeoPhoenix

32-40

-8

A04/04

BJ League

NeoPhoenix

19-38

-19

A05/04

BJ League

Ryukyu

31-43

-12

H18/04

BJ League

Ryukyu

25-46

-21

H19/04

BJ League

Shimane

#12

32-43

-11

A25/04

BJ League

Altiri Chiba

32-53

-21

A07/10

B2.League

Altiri Chiba

45-43

A08/10

B2.League

Kobe

24-37

-13

H14/10

B2.League

71.3Avg total

29.1Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	33.6	40.9	74.5	-7.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	32.4	38.9	71.3	-6.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	34.6	42.5	77.1	-7.9	31%	-
Last 10 (9)	29.1	42.2	71.3	-13.1	11%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	44.4	76.0	-12.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	31.9	42.0	73.9	-10.2	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.2	36.5	76.7	+3.7	83%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Kobe) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KobeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Shimane

#18

40-32

A28/04

B League

Shimane

#18

28-39

-11

A29/04

B League

Kyoto

46-26

+20

H02/05

B League

NeoPhoenix

#12

21-39

-18

A05/05

B League

NeoPhoenix

#12

40-47

-7

A06/05

B League

Yokohama

#16

39-36

A11/05

B League

Yokohama

#16

18-20

-2

A12/05

B League

Shizuoka

42-37

A05/10

B2.League

Shizuoka

37-32

A06/10

B2.League

Nara

#11

37-24

+13

A14/10

B2.League

68.0Avg total

34.8Scored

33.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	33.1	40.3	73.3	-7.2	27%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	33.8	38.1	71.9	-4.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (21)	32.8	41.2	74.0	-8.4	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	33.2	68.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	29.8	64.4	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)	32.3	42.1	74.4	-9.8	17%	-
vs Similar (6)	35.3	36.0	71.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	37.0	24.0	61.0	+13.0	100%	-

This opponent (Nara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	20.9	39.6	-2.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	21.1	39.6	-2.5	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-1.9	38%	-
Last 10 (9)	19.6	18.9	38.4	+0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.4	40.0	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.7	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.5	24.7	41.2	-8.2	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.3	21.8	42.1	-1.4	38%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	17.9	19.8	37.7	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (20)	21.4	22.7	44.1	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	23.0	23.0	46.0	+0.0	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	25.4	48.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	20.8	42.3	+0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	22.0	27.0	49.0	-5.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	22.6	41.5	-3.7	21%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	23.6	42.2	-4.9	12%	-
Last 10 (9)	17.7	21.0	38.7	-3.3	22%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	18.2	21.2	39.4	-3.0	26%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.5	27.8	49.3	-6.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.2	22.9	43.0	-2.7	34%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	19.1	25.0	44.1	-5.9	22%	-
Last 30 away (20)	20.6	21.9	42.5	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.4	22.1	43.6	-0.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	21.4	46.6	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.1	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	24.2	46.3	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	18.0	15.0	33.0	+3.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	37.6	43.5	81.1	-5.9	28%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.8	42.5	80.2	-4.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.4	44.3	81.8	-6.9	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	37.2	39.9	77.1	-2.7	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	39.8	77.4	-2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	37.5	41.1	78.6	-3.7	35%	-
vs Similar (6)	38.0	52.5	90.5	-14.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.5	44.7	85.2	-4.1	28%	-
Last 30 at home (9)	37.0	44.8	81.8	-7.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (20)	42.1	44.6	86.7	-2.5	25%	-
Last 10 (9)	44.4	45.1	89.6	-0.7	33%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.8	46.8	94.6	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)	39.7	44.7	84.4	-5.0	27%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.7	45.0	88.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	40.0	42.0	82.0	-2.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 72.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀36%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 36% of the points

🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game

52%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	17.3	42.6%	52.4%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.3	8.7	35.6%	33.6%	26.0
🏀 Free throws	18.7	12.0	64.3%	71.0%	12.0

They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Kobetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kobe: 84.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀53%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers44.7 pts a game · 53% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.0 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game

52%

32%

17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.7	22.3	52.3%	52.4%	44.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	7.3	35.5%	33.6%	22.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	17.3	78.8%	71.0%	17.3

They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	25.7	57.5%	52.4%	51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	6.3	30.6%	33.6%	19.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	14.0	63.6%	71.0%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	21.0	54.3%	52.4%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	8.3	30.9%	33.6%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	14.0	12.0	85.7%	71.0%	12.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.7	25.7	57.5%	52.4%	51.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	20.7	6.3	30.6%	33.6%	19.0
🏀 Free throws	22.0	14.0	63.6%	71.0%	14.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.7	21.0	54.3%	52.4%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.0	8.3	30.9%	33.6%	25.0
🏀 Free throws	14.0	12.0	85.7%	71.0%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 15 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Nara

LLLLLLLLLL

Kobe

WWWLWWLWLW

#11

League position

-15.7

Net rating

+6.7

97.6

Offensive rating

113.1

113.3

Defensive rating

106.4

46.7%

Effective FG%

52.6%

53.8%

Opp. effective FG%

51.0%

16.2%

Turnover %

19.9%

28.3%

Off. rebound %

40.0%

0.29

Free-throw rate

0.35

35.6%

3-point %

35.5%

51.3%

Assist %

66.3%

Form (last 10/10)

70%

Profile

■ Nara ■ Kobe

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Nara wins

Kobe wins

Date	Game	Score
14/10/23	Nara v Kobe	66-77

Naralast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/23	H	Kobe	66-77
08/10/23	A	Altiri Chiba	76-83
07/10/23	A	Altiri Chiba	80-95
26/04/15	A	Shimane	56-87
25/04/15	A	Shimane	70-77
19/04/15	H	Ryukyu	54-89
18/04/15	H	Ryukyu	69-89
05/04/15	A	NeoPhoenix	56-71
04/04/15	A	NeoPhoenix	65-78
29/03/15	H	Shiga	61-80

Kobelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/10/23	A	Nara	77-66
06/10/23	A	Shizuoka	87-82
05/10/23	A	Shizuoka	92-89
12/05/18	A	Yokohama	18-20
11/05/18	A	Yokohama	86-83
06/05/18	A	NeoPhoenix	92-90
05/05/18	A	NeoPhoenix	53-79
02/05/18	H	Kyoto	92-69
29/04/18	A	Shimane	72-92
28/04/18	A	Shimane	79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nara

B2.League 2023-24

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	74.0	66.0	78.0
Allowed / game	85.0	77.0	89.0
Point differential	-11.0	-11.0	-11.0
Avg total	159.0	143.0	167.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Kobe

B2.League 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWW	100%
Home	-	-
Away	WWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	-	3
Win %	100%	-	100%
Points / game	85.3	-	85.3
Allowed / game	79.0	-	79.0
Point differential	+6.3	-	+6.3
Avg total	164.3	-	164.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	-	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Koshigaya Alphas	3	3	0	100%	85.0	68.7	+16.3
2	Altiri Chiba	4	4	0	100%	85.5	72.8	+12.8
3	Kobe	3	3	0	100%	85.3	79.0	+6.3
4	Yamagata Wyverns	4	3	1	75%	77.8	75.2	+2.5
5	Fukuoka	3	2	1	67%	74.3	71.0	+3.3
6	Aomori	3	2	1	67%	85.3	82.3	+3.0
7	Kumamoto	4	2	2	50%	87.8	86.8	+1.0
8	Fukushima	4	2	2	50%	83.5	85.0	-1.5
9	Shizuoka	3	1	2	33%	87.3	84.7	+2.7
10	Shiga	3	1	2	33%	82.0	84.0	-2.0
11	Ehime Orange Vikings	4	1	3	25%	70.2	73.2	-3.0
12	Iwate	4	0	4	0%	70.5	81.2	-10.8
13	Nara	3	0	3	0%	74.0	85.0	-11.0
14	Niigata	3	0	3	0%	62.0	82.0	-20.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Nara	17	10	19	12	58
Kobe	25	19	24	28	96

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Nara vs Kobe Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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