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Natacao W vs ACD Ferragudo W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 63-68
15-8 14-21 14-20 20-19
Position#8
Record3-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game66.5
Allowed / game71.0
Natacao W
Portugal
vs
ACD Ferragudo W 🏆
Portugal
Position#12
Record0-4
FormLLLL
Points / game53.5
Allowed / game65.5
PortugalLFB WomenRound 5· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ACD Ferragudo W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CDEFF W
#7
L
49-65
49
65
-16
no box
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#6
L
92-96 OT
92
96
-4
no box
A26/02
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H05/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
44-57
44
57
-13
no box
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#10
L
77-81
77
81
-4
no box
A19/03
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#11
W
61-49
61
49
+12
no box
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 56
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 56
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
42-75
42
75
-33
22avg 56
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
70-65
70
65
+5
66avg 56
A15/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
12-19
13-17
13-10
16-17
17-24
21-18
23-18
21-15
22-15
14-18
16-16
8-18
11-12
10-10
15-17
20-19
24-22
14-19
19-21
19-12
7-8
16-12
19-17
24-20
19-20
18-13
13-16
20-19
18-21
21-17
21-18
6-16
7-20
14-25
15-14
24-11
12-23
22-14
12-17
135.8Avg total
66.2Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)66.571.0137.5-4.575%
Season at home (2)58.072.0130.0-14.050%
Season away (2)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)66.269.6135.8-3.450%
Last 5 (5)65.466.6132.0-1.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)58.468.1126.5-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (6)59.765.2124.8-5.533%
vs Weaker (2)58.556.0114.5+2.550%
This opponent (ACD Ferragudo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ACD Ferragudo WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
L
62-64
62
64
-2
53avg 46
H01/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
45-54
45
54
-9
30avg 46
A05/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
L
55-69
55
69
-14
56avg 46
A08/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
52-75
52
75
-23
47avg 46
H15/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-16
19-11
12-23
21-14
10-15
11-12
13-15
11-12
22-21
18-17
8-18
7-13
14-23
11-22
12-18
15-12
119.0Avg total
53.5Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)53.565.5119.0-12.00%
Season at home (2)57.069.5126.5-12.50%
Season away (2)50.061.5111.5-11.50%
Last 10 (4)53.565.5119.0-12.00%
Last 5 (4)53.565.5119.0-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.062.3116.3-8.30%
vs Similar ◀ (1)52.075.0127.0-23.00%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -7.2-7.2Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
Natacao WACD Ferragudo W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CDEFF W
#7
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#6
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A26/02
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H05/03
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
19-30
19
30
-11
A11/03
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#10
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A19/03
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#11
W
26-20
26
20
+6
H26/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H01/10
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
13-36
13
36
-23
H08/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/10
LFB Women
66.8Avg total
31.8Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.534.062.5-5.533%-
Last 30 at home (13)28.831.760.5-2.946%-
Last 30 away (17)28.335.864.1-7.524%-
Last 10 (10)31.835.066.8-3.250%-
Last 5 (5)31.234.065.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)27.935.463.3-7.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)30.333.563.8-3.233%-
vs Weaker (2)26.523.550.0+3.050%-
This opponent (ACD Ferragudo W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ACD Ferragudo WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H01/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A05/10
LFB Women
Imortal W
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A08/10
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
L
25-45
25
45
-20
H15/10
LFB Women
63.0Avg total
28.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)28.834.263.0-5.550%-
Last 30 at home (2)27.036.063.0-9.050%-
Last 30 away (2)30.532.563.0-2.050%-
Last 10 (4)28.834.263.0-5.550%-
Last 5 (4)28.834.263.0-5.550%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.030.760.7-0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (1)25.045.070.0-20.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Natacao W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 65.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.5 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.215.2
40.9%
43.3%30.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.2
31.5%
28.2%21.8
🏀 Free throws19.813.2
67.1%
72.6%13.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
ACD Ferragudo Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ACD Ferragudo W: 52.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers11.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.1 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.016.5
39.3%
43.3%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.83.8
21.1%
28.2%11.2
🏀 Free throws13.88.2
60.0%
72.6%8.2
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
WLWWWLLWLL
ACD Ferragudo W
LLLL
#8
League position
#12
-6.1
Net rating
-16.1
88.1
Offensive rating
70.3
94.2
Defensive rating
86.3
43.4%
Effective FG%
37.0%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
41.8%
20.5%
Turnover %
29.4%
25.0%
Off. rebound %
30.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.5%
3-point %
21.1%
51.1%
Assist %
79.0%
50%
Form (last 10/4)
0%

Profile

Offence88.1 · 70.3Defence94.2 · 86.3Shooting43.4% · 37.0%3-point %31.5% · 21.1%Ball care20.5% · 29.4%Off. rebounds25.0% · 30.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.23Form (last 10/4)50% · 0%
■ Natacao W   ■ ACD Ferragudo W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Natacao W wins
0
ACD Ferragudo W wins
No previous meetings.
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23AImortal W70-65
08/10/23HGdessa Barreiro W42-75
05/10/23AEsgueira W80-75
01/10/23HQuinta Dos Lombos W74-69
26/03/23HAD Vagos W61-49
19/03/23AGalitos W77-81
11/03/23ABenfica W44-57
05/03/23HGdessa Barreiro W73-64
26/02/23ACAB Madeira W92-96 OT
25/02/23ACDEFF W49-65
ACD Ferragudo Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/10/23HCDEFF W52-75
08/10/23AImortal W55-69
05/10/23AQuinta Dos Lombos W45-54
01/10/23HCAB Madeira W62-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWL50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game66.558.075.0
Allowed / game71.072.070.0
Point differential-4.5-14.0+5.0
Avg total137.5130.0145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
ACD Ferragudo W
LFB Women 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game53.557.050.0
Allowed / game65.569.561.5
Point differential-12.0-12.5-11.5
Avg total119.0126.5111.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W54180%75.259.0+16.2
2 Gdessa Barreiro W43175%66.554.0+12.5
3 Uniao Sportiva W43175%64.557.0+7.5
4 CDEFF W43175%64.058.2+5.8
5 Quinta Dos Lombos W43175%64.860.2+4.5
6 Natacao W43175%66.571.0-4.5
7 Imortal W42250%68.265.2+3.0
8 Benfica W42250%64.565.0-0.5
9 CAB Madeira W52340%59.464.6-5.2
10 ACD Ferragudo W4040%53.565.5-12.0
11 Barcelos W4040%63.578.2-14.8
12 Galitos W4040%43.258.5-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W1514142063
ACD Ferragudo W821201968
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