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Natacao W vs Sanjoanense W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 65-89
24-26 11-16 21-24 9-23
Position#11
Record2-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game79.0
Natacao W
Portugal
vs
Sanjoanense W 🏆
Portugal
Position#10
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.2
Allowed / game73.8
PortugalLFB WomenRound 14· Pavilhao Municipal de Ermesinde
Women2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sanjoanense W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Esgueira W
#1
L
64-99
64
99
-35
59avg 48
A02/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
74avg 48
H16/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
40-101
40
101
-61
16avg 48
A24/11
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
68-86
68
86
-18
56avg 48
H01/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
67-73
67
73
-6
52avg 48
A04/12
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
L
77-85
77
85
-8
66avg 48
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
50-75
50
75
-25
36avg 48
A14/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#5
L
68-75
68
75
-7
52avg 48
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#6
L
48-67
48
67
-19
36avg 48
A29/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
51-80
51
80
-29
41avg 48
A05/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
21-32
12-16
13-24
15-17
22-20
19-20
23-15
14-23
8-20
11-28
7-30
20-21
23-23
12-26
13-16
11-22
15-19
25-11
16-21
18-19
11-21
26-23
22-22
11-28
12-22
11-8
16-17
12-15
24-21
16-19
16-20
14-12
10-22
8-10
16-23
12-29
9-21
17-15
13-15
142.5Avg total
61.2Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)60.779.0139.7-18.315%
Season at home (6)66.875.3142.2-8.533%
Season away (7)55.482.1137.6-26.70%
Last 10 (10)61.281.3142.5-20.110%
Last 5 (5)58.876.4135.2-17.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)58.175.3133.5-17.214%
vs Similar (6)70.365.2135.5+5.283%
vs Weaker (1)77.085.0162.0-8.00%
This opponent (Sanjoanense W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sanjoanense WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
71-64
71
64
+7
63avg 57
H01/11
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
66-54
66
54
+12
54avg 57
A17/11
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
54-74
54
74
-20
43avg 57
H23/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
76-80
76
80
-4
71avg 57
A01/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
L
70-75
70
75
-5
63avg 57
H04/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
72-79
72
79
-7
65avg 57
H07/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
33-90
33
90
-57
13avg 57
A15/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#8
L
73-76
73
76
-3
no box
H20/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
56-89
56
89
-33
46avg 57
A29/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
76avg 57
H04/01
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
23-13
16-16
18-15
11-20
23-10
17-15
15-9
11-20
12-18
16-18
15-18
18-16
26-26
17-17
15-21
16-23
23-7
9-21
22-24
19-22
20-15
12-26
21-16
2-26
11-25
14-16
6-23
15-8
24-26
20-20
14-22
13-18
16-18
19-31
8-22
18-17
21-25
20-13
20-24
143.1Avg total
65.9Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)65.273.8138.9-8.631%
Season at home (7)72.073.4145.4-1.443%
Season away (6)57.274.2131.3-17.017%
Last 10 (10)65.977.2143.1-11.320%
Last 5 (5)64.485.0149.4-20.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)62.078.0140.0-16.012%
vs Similar (3)68.371.0139.3-2.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)73.061.0134.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: -6.6-6.6Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -4.8-4.8Q4: -4.0-4.0
Natacao WSanjoanense W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira W
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A02/11
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H16/11
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
22-43
22
43
-21
A24/11
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/12
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#4
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A04/12
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H08/12
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A14/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H21/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Galitos W
#6
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A29/12
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
21-50
21
50
-29
A05/01
LFB Women
73.4Avg total
30.0Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.436.768.1-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.332.966.2+0.436%-
Last 30 away (16)29.840.069.8-10.212%-
Last 10 (10)30.043.473.4-13.40%-
Last 5 (5)26.642.068.6-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)29.138.367.4-9.214%-
vs Similar (6)39.530.570.0+9.067%-
vs Weaker (1)29.040.069.0-11.00%-
This opponent (Sanjoanense W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sanjoanense WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H01/11
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
34-30
34
30
+4
A17/11
LFB Women
Esgueira W
#1
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H23/11
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A01/12
LFB Women
Imortal W
#7
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H04/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H07/12
LFB Women
Benfica W
#2
L
13-51
13
51
-38
A15/12
LFB Women
Galitos W
#8
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H20/12
Taca de Portugal Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A29/12
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/01
LFB Women
70.9Avg total
33.6Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)33.235.368.5-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (8)36.634.070.6+2.662%-
Last 30 away (6)28.737.065.7-8.333%-
Last 10 (10)33.637.370.9-3.760%-
Last 5 (5)31.840.071.8-8.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)31.237.869.0-6.538%-
vs Similar (3)32.734.367.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)39.027.566.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 60.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.417.2
41.5%
43.4%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.64.4
21.4%
29.8%13.2
🏀 Free throws17.112.4
72.5%
72.2%12.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sanjoanense Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sanjoanense W: 63.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.417.1
44.5%
43.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.65.4
25.0%
29.8%16.2
🏀 Free throws16.913.4
79.3%
72.2%13.4
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Natacao W
LLLLLLLLWL
Sanjoanense W
LLLLLLLLWW
#11
League position
#10
-27.7
Net rating
-14.2
80.2
Offensive rating
87.8
107.9
Defensive rating
102.0
38.4%
Effective FG%
42.0%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
23.5%
Turnover %
22.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
21.4%
3-point %
25.0%
55.6%
Assist %
55.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence80.2 · 87.8Defence107.9 · 102.0Shooting38.4% · 42.0%3-point %21.4% · 25.0%Ball care23.5% · 22.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 29.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Natacao W   ■ Sanjoanense W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Natacao W wins
1
Sanjoanense W wins
DateGameScore
19/10/24Sanjoanense W v Natacao W80-68
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/25AQuinta Dos Lombos W51-80
29/12/24AGalitos W48-67
21/12/24HImortal W68-75
14/12/24AGdessa Barreiro W50-75
08/12/24HAD Vagos W77-85
04/12/24AUniao Sportiva W67-73
01/12/24HBarcelos W68-86
24/11/24ABenfica W40-101
16/11/24HImortal W79-72
02/11/24AEsgueira W64-99
Sanjoanense Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/25HBarcelos W88-91 OT
29/12/24AQuinta Dos Lombos W56-89
20/12/24HGalitos W73-76
15/12/24ABenfica W33-90
07/12/24HGalitos W72-79
04/12/24HImortal W70-75
01/12/24AGdessa Barreiro W76-80
23/11/24HEsgueira W54-74
17/11/24AAD Vagos W66-54
01/11/24HCAB Madeira W71-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Natacao W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL15%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %15%33%0%
Points / game60.766.855.4
Allowed / game79.075.382.1
Point differential-18.3-8.5-26.7
Avg total139.7142.2137.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sanjoanense W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWLLLL43%
AwayLWLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %31%43%17%
Points / game65.272.057.2
Allowed / game73.873.474.2
Point differential-8.6-1.4-17.0
Avg total138.9145.4131.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W1211192%75.862.9+12.9
2 Benfica W1311285%79.953.7+26.2
3 Galitos W1310377%66.965.0+1.9
4 Uniao Sportiva W138562%62.064.2-2.2
5 Gdessa Barreiro W127558%69.865.3+4.4
6 Quinta Dos Lombos W137654%71.659.9+11.7
7 Imortal W137654%74.071.2+2.8
8 Barcelos W136746%68.472.2-3.8
9 Sanjoanense W134931%65.273.8-8.6
10 CAB Madeira W1221017%66.374.6-8.2
11 Natacao W1321115%60.779.0-18.3
12 AD Vagos W121118%61.581.2-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Natacao W241121965
Sanjoanense W2616242389
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