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Esgueira W vs Natacao W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 99-64
27-18 32-21 16-12 24-13
Position#1
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game59.5
Esgueira W 🏆
Portugal
vs
Natacao W
Portugal
Position#11
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game61.2
Allowed / game72.2
PortugalLFB WomenRound 5· Pavilhao Clube do Pova de Esgueira
Women2024-25
Meetings · Esgueira W v Natacao W
02 Nov 2024
ESGU99
NATA64
05 Oct 2023
ESGU75
NATA80
19 Oct 2022
ESGU62
NATA41
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Esgueira W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Natacao W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Esgueira WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
75-65
75
65
+10
68avg 56
H17/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
63-54
63
54
+9
54avg 56
A30/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
91-65
91
65
+26
91avg 56
H06/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
W
63-60
63
60
+3
55avg 56
H14/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
43-60
43
60
-17
30avg 56
A20/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
55-61
55
61
-6
48avg 56
A21/04
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
86-62
86
62
+24
71avg 56
H06/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
71-63
71
63
+8
63avg 56
A13/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
W
61-57
61
57
+4
30avg 56
H19/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
68-56
68
56
+12
59avg 56
A27/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-24
14-6
23-15
29-20
15-12
22-17
11-5
15-20
29-22
21-23
19-16
22-4
21-16
10-12
19-18
13-14
8-19
11-13
11-14
13-14
9-7
14-22
15-19
17-13
25-12
18-18
22-14
21-18
16-13
15-15
17-20
23-15
13-15
12-18
21-15
15-9
22-10
18-15
14-13
14-18
127.9Avg total
67.6Scored
60.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.559.5131.0+12.0100%
Season at home (2)73.559.5133.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)69.559.5129.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)67.660.3127.9+7.380%
Last 5 (5)68.259.8128.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)56.866.0122.8-9.225%
vs Similar (8)66.165.4131.5+0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)71.858.5130.3+13.494%
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Galitos W
#10
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 48
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
70-64
70
64
+6
68avg 48
H02/03
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
80-66
80
66
+14
66avg 48
H09/03
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
58-70
58
70
-12
43avg 48
A17/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
57-76
57
76
-19
43avg 48
H30/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
58-74
58
74
-16
44avg 48
A06/04
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
60-63
60
63
-3
59avg 48
H06/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
41-80
41
80
-39
22avg 48
H13/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
68-80
68
80
-12
54avg 48
A19/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
76-66
76
66
+10
53avg 48
H26/10
LFB Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
18-14
12-18
13-22
21-13
20-11
14-14
15-26
23-18
23-15
19-24
15-9
16-19
16-20
13-14
13-17
12-17
13-17
17-22
15-20
18-23
18-14
11-20
11-17
8-16
16-15
8-15
28-17
6-20
11-15
18-27
6-18
8-24
17-20
19-16
24-20
22-18
24-13
19-16
11-19
134.3Avg total
63.9Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.272.2133.5-11.025%
Season at home (3)59.069.7128.7-10.733%
Season away (1)68.080.0148.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)63.970.4134.3-6.540%
Last 5 (5)60.672.6133.2-12.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)58.671.6130.2-12.925%
vs Similar (9)69.966.7136.6+3.267%
vs Weaker (1)61.049.0110.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -3.4-3.4
Esgueira WNatacao W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Esgueira WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H17/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A30/03
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H06/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H14/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
19-32
19
32
-13
A20/04
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
23-29
23
29
-6
A21/04
LFB Women
AD Vagos W
#12
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H06/10
LFB Women
Gdessa Barreiro W
#3
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A13/10
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H19/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
W
40-25
40
25
+15
A27/10
LFB Women
63.1Avg total
32.2Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.131.965.0+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.932.670.5+5.271%-
Last 30 away (16)28.931.260.1-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)32.230.963.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.429.061.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)27.835.563.2-7.825%-
vs Similar (8)32.135.167.2-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)35.229.164.2+6.171%-
This opponent (Natacao W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Natacao WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Galitos W
#10
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A25/02
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H02/03
LFB Women
CDEFF W
#11
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H09/03
LFB Women
Barcelos W
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A17/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H30/03
LFB Women
Uniao Sportiva W
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A06/04
LFB Women
Galitos W
#6
L
24-31
24
31
-7
H06/10
LFB Women
Quinta Dos Lombos W
#5
L
17-35
17
35
-18
H13/10
LFB Women
Sanjoanense W
#10
L
25-44
25
44
-19
A19/10
LFB Women
CAB Madeira W
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H26/10
LFB Women
67.1Avg total
33.8Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.233.665.8-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)31.231.262.4+0.150%-
Last 30 away (14)33.236.469.6-3.229%-
Last 10 (10)33.833.367.1+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)29.635.665.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)29.335.564.8-6.225%-
vs Similar (9)39.231.070.2+8.267%-
vs Weaker (1)26.020.046.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Esgueira W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Esgueira Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Esgueira W: 66.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.415.1
40.4%
43.4%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.3
32.7%
29.8%24.9
🏀 Free throws15.911.4
71.7%
72.2%11.4
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Natacao Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Natacao W: 62.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 66.9 points a game
53%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.315.8
43.5%
43.4%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.5
27.1%
29.8%19.5
🏀 Free throws16.511.5
69.7%
72.2%11.5
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Esgueira W
WWWWLLWWWW
Natacao W
WLLLLLLWWW
#1
League position
#11
+7.8
Net rating
-6.7
86.1
Offensive rating
85.5
78.3
Defensive rating
92.2
43.9%
Effective FG%
42.4%
38.0%
Opp. effective FG%
43.1%
23.6%
Turnover %
22.2%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.7%
3-point %
27.1%
59.4%
Assist %
52.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence86.1 · 85.5Defence78.3 · 92.2Shooting43.9% · 42.4%3-point %32.7% · 27.1%Ball care23.6% · 22.2%Off. rebounds24.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Esgueira W   ■ Natacao W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Esgueira W wins
2
Natacao W wins
DateGameScore
08/02/24Natacao W v Esgueira W46-64
05/10/23Esgueira W v Natacao W75-80
29/01/23Natacao W v Esgueira W50-46
19/10/22Esgueira W v Natacao W62-41
Esgueira Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24AQuinta Dos Lombos W68-56
19/10/24HGalitos W61-57
13/10/24AGdessa Barreiro W71-63
06/10/24HAD Vagos W86-62
21/04/24AUniao Sportiva W55-61
20/04/24AUniao Sportiva W43-60
14/04/24HUniao Sportiva W63-60
06/04/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W91-65
30/03/24AQuinta Dos Lombos W63-54
17/03/24HGdessa Barreiro W75-65
Natacao Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24HCAB Madeira W76-66
19/10/24ASanjoanense W68-80
13/10/24HQuinta Dos Lombos W41-80
06/10/24HGalitos W60-63
06/04/24AUniao Sportiva W58-74
30/03/24HUniao Sportiva W57-76
17/03/24ABarcelos W58-70
09/03/24HCDEFF W80-66
02/03/24HCAB Madeira W70-64
25/02/24AGalitos W71-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Esgueira W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game71.573.569.5
Allowed / game59.559.559.5
Point differential+12.0+14.0+10.0
Avg total131.0133.0129.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Natacao W
LFB Women 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLLW33%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %25%33%0%
Points / game61.259.068.0
Allowed / game72.269.780.0
Point differential-11.0-10.7-12.0
Avg total133.5128.7148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esgueira W440100%71.559.5+12.0
2 Uniao Sportiva W440100%73.064.5+8.5
3 Benfica W54180%78.053.4+24.6
4 Quinta Dos Lombos W53260%70.459.4+11.0
5 Sanjoanense W53260%66.465.4+1.0
6 Imortal W42250%72.271.0+1.2
7 Galitos W42250%61.066.0-5.0
8 Gdessa Barreiro W52340%67.866.6+1.2
9 Barcelos W52340%59.671.0-11.4
10 Natacao W41325%61.272.2-11.0
11 CAB Madeira W5050%61.674.2-12.6
12 AD Vagos W4040%57.880.8-23.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Esgueira W2732162499
Natacao W1821121364
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