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Naviera Ulloa vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 85-75
21-21 21-22 19-20 24-12
Position#8
Record10-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game72.6
Naviera Ulloa 🏆
Chile
vs
U. De Concepcion
Chile
Position#2
Record20-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game87.4
Allowed / game79.1
ChileLNB· Gimnasio Municipal de Castro
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Naviera Ulloa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Naviera UlloaChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlloa
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
84-52
84
52
+32
no box
H30/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
68-71
68
71
-3
no box
H31/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A06/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
56-85
56
85
-29
44avg 57
A13/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
66-58
66
58
+8
59avg 57
A14/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
61-54
61
54
+7
55avg 57
H21/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
86-63
86
63
+23
84avg 57
H21/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
57avg 57
A27/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
77-108
77
108
-31
61avg 57
A28/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
75-76 OT
75
76
-1
38avg 57
H04/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-11
18-12
29-17
22-12
18-18
12-25
20-15
18-13
–
–
–
–
17-14
17-32
14-21
8-18
7-18
23-10
17-13
19-17
16-8
13-11
17-14
15-21
19-13
17-15
30-15
20-20
22-28
21-21
17-26
15-12
21-29
14-27
24-23
18-29
16-22
13-10
20-20
15-12
132.2Avg total
66.8Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)71.072.6143.6-1.540%
Season at home (12)71.970.1142.0+1.842%
Season away (13)70.274.8145.1-4.638%
Last 10 (10)66.865.4132.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)74.877.6152.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.679.5147.1-11.98%
vs Similar (10)75.275.6150.8-0.450%
vs Weaker (8)73.161.6134.8+11.562%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Catolica
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 83
H30/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
95-81
95
81
+14
93avg 83
A03/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
53avg 83
A06/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
83avg 83
A08/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
102-71
102
71
+31
104avg 83
A14/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 83
A14/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
81avg 83
H19/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
83avg 83
H21/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
101-73
101
73
+28
109avg 83
H28/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
85-82
85
82
+3
83avg 83
A04/05
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
19-16
22-14
20-24
31-13
26-27
18-15
20-26
13-19
14-24
17-21
19-26
20-11
19-18
15-18
18-25
28-23
20-11
32-24
22-13
30-15
20-16
18-16
16-19
27-28
31-17
17-20
14-21
22-21
27-25
19-18
17-24
27-21
26-21
25-13
23-18
28-18
19-24
18-19
20-21
166.6Avg total
87.5Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)87.479.1166.5+8.380%
Season at home (13)87.480.4167.8+7.085%
Season away (12)87.477.8165.2+9.775%
Last 10 (10)87.579.1166.6+8.480%
Last 5 (5)88.879.0167.8+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.791.0164.7-17.317%
vs Similar (6)84.088.2172.2-4.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)90.374.7164.9+15.6100%
This opponent (Naviera Ulloa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +6.2+6.2Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -2.8-2.8
Naviera UlloaU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Naviera UlloaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
33-23
33
23
+10
H30/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H31/03
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A13/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A14/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
29-19
29
19
+10
H21/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H21/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A27/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A28/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
L
29-32
29
32
-3
H04/05
LNB
69.2Avg total
33.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.838.274.0-2.334%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.235.368.5-2.133%-
Last 30 away (14)38.641.379.9-2.636%-
Last 10 (9)33.236.069.2-2.844%-
Last 5 (5)34.436.871.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.641.175.7-6.517%-
vs Similar (10)36.636.172.7+0.550%-
vs Weaker (7)36.936.173.0+0.743%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Catolica
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H30/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A03/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A14/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A14/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H19/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H21/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H28/04
LNB
Ancud
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A04/05
LNB
85.6Avg total
47.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.441.084.3+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.544.088.5+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)42.337.980.2+4.353%-
Last 10 (10)47.038.685.6+8.490%-
Last 5 (5)51.441.292.6+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.348.385.7-11.00%-
vs Similar (6)42.346.388.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.736.782.4+9.078%-
This opponent (Naviera Ulloa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Naviera Ulloatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Naviera Ulloa: 70.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.3
51.2%
50.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.37.4
24.5%
32.7%22.3
🏀 Free throws14.311.1
78.0%
70.3%11.1
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.1
53.0%
50.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.510.6
40.0%
32.7%31.8
🏀 Free throws17.512.7
72.6%
70.3%12.7
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/10 games with a box score before 05 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Naviera Ulloa
LLLWWWLWLW
U. De Concepcion
WWLWWWWLWW
#8
League position
#2
-6.5
Net rating
+10.4
91.6
Offensive rating
112.6
98.1
Defensive rating
102.2
44.6%
Effective FG%
55.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.5%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
33.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.26
24.5%
3-point %
40.0%
53.3%
Assist %
63.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 112.6Defence98.1 · 102.2Shooting44.6% · 55.8%3-point %24.5% · 40.0%Ball care17.8% · 19.5%Off. rebounds22.7% · 33.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Naviera Ulloa   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Naviera Ulloa wins
1
U. De Concepcion wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24U. De Concepcion v Naviera Ulloa78-68
Naviera Ulloalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24HEspanol de Talca75-76 OT
28/04/24AEspanol Osorno77-108
27/04/24ALas Animas75-87
21/04/24HPuerto Montt86-63
21/04/24HCD Puerto Varas61-54
14/04/24ACatolica66-58
13/04/24ALeones Quilpue56-85
06/04/24AEspanol de Talca20-0
31/03/24HValdivia68-71
30/03/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda84-52
U. De Concepcionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/24AAncud85-82
28/04/24HEspanol de Talca101-73
21/04/24HEspanol Osorno85-88
19/04/24HLas Animas89-86
14/04/24APuerto Montt84-66
14/04/24ACD Puerto Varas102-71
08/04/24ACatolica87-82 OT
06/04/24ALeones Quilpue63-90
03/04/24AEspanol de Talca95-81
30/03/24HCatolica84-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Naviera Ulloa
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL40%
HomeWLWWL42%
AwayWLWLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %40%42%38%
Points / game71.071.970.2
Allowed / game72.670.174.8
Point differential-1.5+1.8-4.6
Avg total143.6142.0145.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%17%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)29% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %12%17%8%
U. De Concepcion
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %80%85%75%
Points / game87.487.487.4
Allowed / game79.180.477.8
Point differential+8.3+7.0+9.7
Avg total166.5167.8165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%46%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (9)83% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %16%15%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2621581%85.468.6+16.8
2 Ancud2621581%83.477.8+5.5
3 Espanol Osorno2520580%83.969.7+14.2
4 U. De Concepcion2520580%87.479.1+8.3
5 Valdivia25141156%84.481.6+2.8
6 Las Animas25141156%81.380.7+0.6
7 Puente Alto25131252%78.976.2+2.8
8 Naviera Ulloa25101540%71.072.6-1.5
9 CD Puerto Varas25101540%80.183.2-3.1
10 Sportiva Italiana2591636%78.283.3-5.1
11 Catolica2681831%74.478.3-3.9
12 Puerto Montt2561924%69.082.2-13.2
13 Espanol de Talca2662023%75.585.7-10.2
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda2552020%70.284.5-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Naviera Ulloa2121192485
U. De Concepcion2122201275
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