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Ancud vs U. De Concepcion Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 May 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 82-85
18-28 24-19 19-18 21-20
Position#3
Record20-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#2
Record19-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game79.0
ChileLNB· Gimnasio Fiscal de Ancud
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ancud v U. De Concepcion
13 Nov 2026
ANCU76
U. D77
15 Oct 2026
ANCU91
U. D73
31 Oct 2025
ANCU67
U. D79
03 Oct 2025
ANCU75
U. D84
14 Sep 2025
ANCU73
U. D82
01 Mar 2025
ANCU90
U. D94
18 Jan 2025
ANCU62
U. D104
25 Oct 2024
ANCU77
U. D89
03 May 2024
ANCU82
U. D85
06 Jan 2024
ANCU69
U. D95
07 Apr 2023
ANCU82
U. D80
18 Dec 2022
ANCU89
U. D95
09 Apr 2022
ANCU79
U. D75
08 Dec 2019
ANCU87
U. D80
27 Jan 2019
ANCU81
U. D75
02 Dec 2017
ANCU84
U. D80
17 Dec 2016
ANCU92
U. D74
25 Oct 2015
ANCU83
U. D92
27 Dec 2014
ANCU67
U. D68
20 Dec 2014
ANCU126
U. D120
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ancud winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
U. De Concepcion winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AncudChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAncud
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#7
W
74-67
74
67
+7
62avg 75
A22/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
82-71
82
71
+11
78avg 75
A23/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
W
80-74
80
74
+6
80avg 75
H30/03
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
W
96-68
96
68
+28
98avg 75
H31/03
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
86avg 75
A14/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
87-102
87
102
-15
79avg 75
A15/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
87-70
87
70
+17
84avg 75
H20/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
86avg 75
H21/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
64-78
64
78
-14
50avg 75
A27/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
83-75
83
75
+8
75avg 75
A28/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
26-8
11-20
24-20
16-21
25-17
25-16
16-17
20-19
14-33
22-10
24-12
12-19
21-20
42-16
21-13
15-23
29-13
17-27
23-16
19-28
20-25
25-30
23-19
20-17
30-15
20-13
17-25
22-25
19-21
25-15
21-24
21-21
18-23
12-18
13-16
19-25
29-21
15-12
20-17
159.3Avg total
82.4Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)83.377.4160.7+5.983%
Season at home (11)81.574.8156.4+6.791%
Season away (13)84.879.5164.3+5.277%
Last 10 (10)82.476.9159.3+5.580%
Last 5 (5)81.682.0163.6-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)80.690.0170.6-9.440%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.578.0159.5+3.575%
vs Weaker (17)85.576.2161.8+9.394%
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionChileLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormConcepcion
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
W
88-84
88
84
+4
82avg 83
H29/03
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
84-72
84
72
+12
80avg 83
H30/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
95-81
95
81
+14
93avg 83
A03/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
63-90
63
90
-27
53avg 83
A06/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
87-82 OT
87
82
+5
83avg 83
A08/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
102-71
102
71
+31
104avg 83
A14/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
84-66
84
66
+18
82avg 83
A14/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
89-86
89
86
+3
81avg 83
H19/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
85-88
85
88
-3
83avg 83
H21/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
101-73
101
73
+28
109avg 83
H28/04
LNB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
14-23
24-20
21-21
23-18
19-16
22-14
20-24
31-13
26-27
18-15
20-26
13-19
14-24
17-21
19-26
20-11
19-18
15-18
18-25
28-23
20-11
32-24
22-13
30-15
20-16
18-16
16-19
27-28
31-17
17-20
14-21
22-21
27-25
19-18
17-24
27-21
26-21
25-13
23-18
167.1Avg total
87.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.579.0166.5+8.579%
Season at home (13)87.480.4167.8+7.085%
Season away (11)87.677.4165.0+10.373%
Last 10 (10)87.879.3167.1+8.580%
Last 5 (5)92.276.8169.0+15.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.791.0164.7-17.317%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.889.4173.2-5.620%
vs Weaker (19)91.474.3165.7+17.1100%
This opponent (Ancud) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: -2.7-2.7
AncudU. De Concepcion
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AncudLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Puente Alto
#7
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A22/03
LNB
Sportiva Italiana
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A23/03
LNB
Valdivia
#6
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H30/03
LNB
Liceo Pablo Neruda
#13
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H31/03
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A14/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A15/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H20/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H21/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A27/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A28/04
LNB
82.1Avg total
40.8Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.741.784.3+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.741.482.1-0.650%-
Last 30 away (16)44.441.986.3+2.462%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.382.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.287.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.046.685.6-7.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.141.082.1+0.150%-
vs Weaker (17)44.540.585.0+3.971%-
This opponent (U. De Concepcion) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
U. De ConcepcionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Leones Quilpue
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H29/03
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H30/03
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A03/04
LNB
Leones Quilpue
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A06/04
LNB
Catolica
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A08/04
LNB
CD Puerto Varas
#10
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A14/04
LNB
Puerto Montt
#11
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A14/04
LNB
Las Animas
#5
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H19/04
LNB
Espanol Osorno
#4
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H21/04
LNB
Espanol de Talca
#14
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H28/04
LNB
85.3Avg total
46.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.484.1+3.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.242.988.1+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)41.937.679.6+4.350%-
Last 10 (10)46.638.785.3+7.980%-
Last 5 (5)51.639.691.2+12.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.348.385.7-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.447.288.6-5.820%-
vs Weaker (19)46.336.282.4+10.179%-
This opponent (Ancud) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ancudtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ancud: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.5
52.8%
50.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.3
35.5%
32.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws17.911.3
63.1%
70.3%11.3
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
U. De Concepciontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

U. De Concepcion: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.9 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.522.0
54.3%
50.4%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.410.1
39.8%
32.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws17.912.9
72.1%
70.3%12.9
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 May 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ancud
WLWWLWWWWW
U. De Concepcion
WLWWWWLWWW
#3
League position
#2
+6.3
Net rating
+11.0
103.9
Offensive rating
113.2
97.6
Defensive rating
102.2
53.0%
Effective FG%
56.4%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
17.6%
Turnover %
19.3%
24.3%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.5%
3-point %
39.8%
63.1%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 113.2Defence97.6 · 102.2Shooting53.0% · 56.4%3-point %35.5% · 39.8%Ball care17.6% · 19.3%Off. rebounds24.3% · 33.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 80%
■ Ancud   ■ U. De Concepcion
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ancud wins
6
U. De Concepcion wins
Ancudlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24ALas Animas83-75
27/04/24AEspanol Osorno64-78
21/04/24HCD Puerto Varas87-85
20/04/24HPuerto Montt87-70
15/04/24ALeones Quilpue87-102
14/04/24ACatolica84-79
31/03/24HLiceo Pablo Neruda96-68
30/03/24HValdivia80-74
23/03/24ASportiva Italiana82-71
22/03/24APuente Alto74-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/24HEspanol de Talca101-73
21/04/24HEspanol Osorno85-88
19/04/24HLas Animas89-86
14/04/24APuerto Montt84-66
14/04/24ACD Puerto Varas102-71
08/04/24ACatolica87-82 OT
06/04/24ALeones Quilpue63-90
03/04/24AEspanol de Talca95-81
30/03/24HCatolica84-72
29/03/24HLeones Quilpue88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ancud
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW83%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayWWLLW77%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %83%91%77%
Points / game83.381.584.8
Allowed / game77.474.879.5
Point differential+5.9+6.7+5.2
Avg total160.7156.4164.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%27%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won90% (10)100% (6)75% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
U. De Concepcion
LNB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW79%
HomeWWWLW85%
AwayWLWWW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %79%85%73%
Points / game87.587.487.6
Allowed / game79.080.477.4
Point differential+8.5+7.0+10.3
Avg total166.5167.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%46%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)83% (6)50% (2)
Overtime %17%15%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Leones Quilpue2521484%86.468.6+17.7
2 Ancud2420483%83.377.4+5.9
3 Espanol Osorno2419579%83.269.1+14.2
4 U. De Concepcion2419579%87.579.0+8.5
5 Las Animas24141058%82.080.8+1.2
6 Valdivia24131154%83.781.8+1.9
7 Puente Alto24121250%78.976.6+2.3
8 CD Puerto Varas24101442%80.382.5-2.2
9 Naviera Ulloa25101540%71.072.6-1.5
10 Sportiva Italiana2491538%78.082.6-4.7
11 Catolica2571828%74.679.0-4.3
12 Puerto Montt2461825%69.182.3-13.2
13 Espanol de Talca2561924%75.285.6-10.4
14 Liceo Pablo Neruda2442017%69.885.3-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ancud1824192182
U. De Concepcion2819182085
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