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Navy vs Lafayette Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 71-70
41-33 30-37
Position#249
Record4-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.7
Allowed / game72.7
Navy 🏆
USA
vs
Position#290
Record6-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game68.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Navy v Lafayette
30 Dec 2026
NAVY v LAFA
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
NAVY76
LAFA50
05 Jan 2025
NAVY71
LAFA70
28 Feb 2024
NAVY62
LAFA58
11 Jan 2023
NAVY50
LAFA59
07 Feb 2022
NAVY68
LAFA44
18 Jan 2020
NAVY68
LAFA66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Navy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lafayette winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NavyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#126
L
63-74
63
74
-11
H19/11
NCAA
Washington Coll
#616
W
94-43
94
43
+51
H26/11
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A29/11
NCAA
Elon
#174
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A30/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
L
66-71
66
71
-5
H01/12
NCAA
NJIT
#353
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A15/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A21/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
L
76-82
76
82
-6
A29/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
81-58
81
58
+23
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
32-41
44-27
50-16
37-28
49-50
27-35
36-34
33-28
33-43
33-33
31-36
41-46
31-34
22-28
38-40
33-41
43-41
42-29
39-29
141.7Avg total
72.5Scored
69.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)72.772.7145.4+0.029%
Season at home (7)76.371.7148.0+4.643%
Season away (7)69.173.7142.9-4.614%
Last 10 (10)72.569.2141.7+3.330%
Last 5 (5)70.671.4142.0-0.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.376.3140.7-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)65.270.4135.6-5.227%
vs Weaker (12)73.468.0141.4+5.458%
This opponent (Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#137
L
72-86
72
86
-14
A21/11
NCAA
Rosemont
#594
W
91-45
91
45
+46
H24/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
75-56
75
56
+19
H29/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H30/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H01/12
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
77-73
77
73
+4
A07/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
62-82
62
82
-20
A19/12
NCAA
Portland
#309
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A21/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H29/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
60-46
60
46
+14
H03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-40
45-46
38-22
53-23
35-26
40-30
21-18
38-29
33-40
40-33
31-38
46-35
24-36
38-46
22-31
42-43
27-28
38-42
31-23
29-23
136.7Avg total
70.6Scored
66.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.968.6137.6+0.343%
Season at home (7)70.958.4129.3+12.471%
Season away (7)67.078.9145.9-11.914%
Last 10 (10)70.666.1136.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)65.669.0134.6-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.871.9137.8-6.117%
vs Similar ◀ (15)67.965.3133.2+2.760%
vs Weaker (2)64.568.5133.0-4.050%
This opponent (Navy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: +1.8+1.82nd half: +5.9+5.9
NavyLafayette
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NavyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#126
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H19/11
NCAA
Washington Coll
#616
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H26/11
NCAA
Penn
#331
W
37-28
37
28
+9
A29/11
NCAA
Elon
#174
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A30/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#135
W
33-28
33
28
+5
H01/12
NCAA
NJIT
#353
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A07/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#286
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A15/12
NCAA
Coppin State
#351
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A21/12
NCAA
William & Mary
#178
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A29/12
NCAA
American University
#102
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H03/01
NCAA
67.1Avg total
34.3Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.965.5-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.931.965.9+2.060%-
Last 30 away (15)31.433.865.2-2.433%-
Last 10 (10)34.332.867.1+1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.235.469.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.032.365.3+0.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)30.533.564.0-3.133%-
vs Weaker (12)35.332.267.5+3.258%-
This opponent (Lafayette) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LafayetteLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rhode Island
#137
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A21/11
NCAA
Rosemont
#594
W
38-22
38
22
+16
H24/11
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#194
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H29/11
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
21-18
21
18
+3
H30/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#227
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H01/12
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A07/12
NCAA
George Washington
#96
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A19/12
NCAA
Portland
#309
L
22-31
22
31
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#225
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H29/12
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H03/01
NCAA
59.1Avg total
28.9Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.430.759.1-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (16)28.629.858.4-1.244%-
Last 30 away (14)28.331.760.0-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)28.930.259.1-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)27.031.258.2-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)28.531.960.4-3.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)28.130.858.9-2.740%-
vs Weaker (2)25.527.052.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Navy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Navy wins
3
Lafayette wins
DateGameScore
29/02/24Navy v Lafayette62-58
13/01/24Lafayette v Navy78-62
02/02/23Lafayette v Navy34-53
12/01/23Navy v Lafayette50-59
08/02/22Navy v Lafayette68-44
11/01/22Lafayette v Navy55-69
29/02/20Lafayette v Navy62-60
18/01/20Navy v Lafayette68-66
Navylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HAmerican University81-58
29/12/24AWilliam & Mary76-82
21/12/24ACoppin State60-68
15/12/24AVirginia Tech72-80
07/12/24ANJIT64-69
01/12/24HMaine Black Bears66-71
30/11/24AElon63-69
29/11/24APenn86-78
26/11/24HWashington Coll94-43
19/11/24HQuinnipiac63-74
Lafayettelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/25HBoston University60-46
29/12/24HStonehill65-70
21/12/24APortland64-74
19/12/24AGeorge Washington62-82
07/12/24AMercyhurst Lakers77-73
01/12/24HBinghamton81-82 OT
30/11/24HNiagara59-47
29/11/24HLIU Sharks75-56
24/11/24HRosemont91-45
21/11/24ARhode Island72-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Navy
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW29%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%43%14%
Points / game72.776.369.1
Allowed / game72.771.773.7
Point differential+0.0+4.6-4.6
Avg total145.4148.0142.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lafayette
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW43%
HomeWWLLW71%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game68.970.967.0
Allowed / game68.658.478.9
Point differential+0.3+12.4-11.9
Avg total137.6129.3145.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Holy Cross149564%69.969.8+0.1
2 Boston University157847%67.967.7+0.1
3 Loyola Maryland136746%71.170.7+0.4
4 Lehigh136746%71.874.2-2.4
5 Army146843%77.476.6+0.7
6 Lafayette146843%68.968.6+0.3
7 American University146843%69.672.9-3.3
8 Navy1441029%72.772.7+0.0
9 Colgate1441029%67.672.1-4.5
10 Bucknell1441029%69.275.6-6.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Navy413071
Lafayette333770
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