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NC State vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 72-60
35-26 37-34
Position#119
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game70.9
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Appalachian State
USA
Position#150
Record5-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game64.3
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#22
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H19/03
NIT
Harvard
#11
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H24/03
NIT
Lipscomb
#2
L
93-94
93
94
-1
H28/03
NIT
UALR
#59
W
74-58
74
58
+16
H23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#83
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#71
W
69-54
69
54
+15
H05/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
91-82
91
82
+9
A07/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A15/12
NCAA
Auburn
#28
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
83-63
83
63
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-42
0-0
45-36
0-0
38-39
0-0
40-38
0-0
47-38
0-0
46-56
0-0
39-21
0-0
35-37
0-0
39-55
0-0
39-28
0-0
32-30
0-0
37-24
0-0
45-36
0-0
46-46
0-0
38-37
0-0
42-40
0-0
37-38
0-0
36-41
0-0
40-22
0-0
43-41
154.8Avg total
80.3Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.370.9149.1+7.471%
Season at home (3)75.358.3133.7+17.0100%
Season away (4)80.580.2160.8+0.250%
Last 10 (10)80.374.5154.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)79.271.0150.2+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.077.0157.0+3.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)77.574.2151.7+3.350%
vs Weaker (2)87.072.5159.5+14.5100%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#161
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H22/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A27/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#429
W
90-58
90
58
+32
H04/12
NCAA
Howard
#352
W
81-59
81
59
+22
A14/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A20/12
NCAA
Troy
#304
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-17
34-38
23-33
46-45
49-30
41-28
42-30
39-29
37-39
44-32
39-45
31-20
140.2Avg total
75.8Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.864.3140.2+11.583%
Season at home (2)77.056.5133.5+20.5100%
Season away (4)75.268.2143.5+7.075%
Last 10 (6)75.864.3140.2+11.583%
Last 5 (5)78.266.2144.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.078.0147.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (2)72.563.0135.5+9.5100%
vs Weaker (2)75.562.0137.5+13.5100%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +7.2+7.2
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: +2.2+2.22nd half: +7.2+7.2
NC StateAppalachian State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#22
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H19/03
NIT
Harvard
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/03
NIT
Lipscomb
#2
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/03
NIT
UALR
#59
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H23/11
NCAA
Memphis
#83
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A28/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#71
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H05/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A07/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#39
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A15/12
NCAA
Auburn
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A20/12
NCAA
Citadel
#340
W
40-22
40
22
+18
H22/12
NCAA
75.2Avg total
39.4Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)39.435.875.2+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (6)39.232.071.2+7.267%-
Last 30 away (4)39.841.581.2-1.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.435.875.2+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.432.671.0+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.037.075.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)38.736.875.5+1.850%-
vs Weaker (2)42.529.071.5+13.5100%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte
#161
W
30-17
30
17
+13
H22/11
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#8
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A27/11
NCAA
St. Andrews
#429
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/12
NCAA
Howard
#352
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A14/12
NCAA
South Alabama
#85
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A20/12
NCAA
Troy
#304
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A21/12
NCAA
69.0Avg total
36.7Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)36.732.369.0+4.350%-
Last 30 at home (2)39.523.563.0+16.0100%-
Last 30 away (4)35.236.872.0-1.525%-
Last 10 (6)36.732.369.0+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.035.473.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)23.033.056.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)33.528.061.5+5.550%-
vs Weaker (2)40.537.578.0+3.050%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
0
Appalachian State wins
No previous meetings.
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/19HCitadel83-63
20/12/19AAuburn73-79
15/12/19ANC Greensboro80-77
07/12/19AWake Forest91-82
05/12/19HWisconsin69-54
28/11/19AMemphis78-83
23/11/19HUALR74-58
28/03/19HLipscomb93-94
24/03/19HHarvard78-77
19/03/19HHofstra84-78
Appalachian Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/19ATroy70-65
20/12/19ASouth Alabama81-71
14/12/19AHoward81-59
04/12/19HSt. Andrews90-58
27/11/19AEast Tennessee St69-78
22/11/19HCharlotte64-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game78.375.380.5
Allowed / game70.958.380.2
Point differential+7.4+17.0+0.2
Avg total149.1133.7160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Appalachian State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %83%100%75%
Points / game75.877.075.2
Allowed / game64.356.568.2
Point differential+11.5+20.5+7.0
Avg total140.2133.5143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State98189%78.264.8+13.4
2 Duke87188%82.465.6+16.8
3 Pittsburgh76186%65.155.1+10.0
4 Louisville86275%71.460.0+11.4
5 Stanford86275%69.158.9+10.2
6 SMU Mustangs75271%79.068.9+10.1
7 NC State75271%78.370.9+7.4
8 Virginia75271%51.949.6+2.3
9 Miami (FL)64267%75.274.7+0.5
10 Notre Dame85362%75.665.4+10.2
11 Wake Forest85362%74.172.9+1.2
12 Virginia Tech74357%67.668.7-1.1
13 Syracuse95456%76.769.6+7.1
14 Boston College84450%64.065.0-1.0
15 Georgia Tech94544%63.166.1-3.0
16 Clemson83538%62.061.5+0.5
17 North Carolina83538%66.671.2-4.6
18 California82625%61.472.2-10.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Georgia State87188%78.673.0+5.6
2 Appalachian State65183%75.864.3+11.5
3 Arkansas State75271%68.469.4-1.0
4 Coastal Carolina96367%81.075.1+5.9
5 Georgia Southern85362%72.971.6+1.2
6 James Madison74357%79.779.9-0.1
7 Marshall95456%81.270.7+10.6
8 Troy84450%72.967.0+5.9
9 South Alabama84450%74.272.1+2.1
10 Texas State73443%73.067.0+6.0
11 Southern Miss93633%70.474.7-4.2
12 Louisiana Monroe72529%64.366.6-2.3
13 Louisiana Lafayette82625%70.575.8-5.2
14 Old Dominion81712%57.163.6-6.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State353772
Appalachian State263460
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