Troy vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 65-70

45-39 20-31

Position#304

Record4-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game66.6

Troy

Appalachian State 🏆

Position#150

Record4-1

FormWLWWW

Points / game77.0

Allowed / game64.2

NCAA

Other2019-20

Meetings · Troy v Appalachian State

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Troy winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Appalachian State winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Troy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Samford

#321

60-72

-12

A23/11

NCAA

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

#305

66-80

-14

A26/11

NCAA

Shorter

#492

104-53

104

+51

H30/11

NCAA

North Alabama

#237

71-63

H05/12

NCAA

Jacksonville State

#242

60-55

A12/12

NCAA

UT Chattanooga

#95

80-84 OT

-4

A15/12

NCAA

Coastal Carolina

#205

77-59

+18

H20/12

NCAA

22-43

38-29

34-36

32-44

44-22

60-31

32-32

39-31

28-30

32-25

41-36

32-37

38-24

39-35

140.6Avg total

74.0Scored

66.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	74.0	66.6	140.6	+7.4	57%
Season at home (3)	84.0	58.3	142.3	+25.7	100%
Season away (4)	66.5	72.8	139.2	-6.2	25%
Last 10 (7)	74.0	66.6	140.6	+7.4	57%
Last 5 (5)	78.4	62.8	141.2	+15.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	72.0	65.2	137.2	+6.8	75%
vs Similar (1)	66.0	80.0	146.0	-14.0	0%
vs Weaker (1)	60.0	72.0	132.0	-12.0	0%

This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Appalachian State USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Charlotte

#161

64-55

H22/11

NCAA

East Tennessee St

69-78

-9

A27/11

NCAA

St. Andrews

#429

90-58

+32

H04/12

NCAA

Howard

#352

81-59

+22

A14/12

NCAA

South Alabama

#85

81-71

+10

A20/12

NCAA

30-17

34-38

23-33

46-45

49-30

41-28

42-30

39-29

37-39

44-32

141.2Avg total

77.0Scored

64.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	77.0	64.2	141.2	+12.8	80%
Season at home (2)	77.0	56.5	133.5	+20.5	100%
Season away (3)	77.0	69.3	146.3	+7.7	67%
Last 10 (5)	77.0	64.2	141.2	+12.8	80%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	64.2	141.2	+12.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	69.0	78.0	147.0	-9.0	0%
vs Similar (2)	72.5	63.0	135.5	+9.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	81.0	59.0	140.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

TroyAppalachian State

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

TroyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Samford

#321

22-43

-21

A23/11

NCAA

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

#305

34-36

-2

A26/11

NCAA

Shorter

#492

44-22

+22

H30/11

NCAA

North Alabama

#237

32-32

H05/12

NCAA

Jacksonville State

#242

28-30

-2

A12/12

NCAA

UT Chattanooga

#95

41-36

A15/12

NCAA

Coastal Carolina

#205

38-24

+14

H20/12

NCAA

66.0Avg total

34.1Scored

31.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	34.1	31.9	66.0	+2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	38.0	26.0	64.0	+12.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (4)	31.2	36.2	67.5	-5.0	25%	-
Last 10 (7)	34.1	31.9	66.0	+2.3	43%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	28.8	65.4	+7.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	34.8	30.5	65.2	+4.2	50%	-
vs Similar (1)	34.0	36.0	70.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	43.0	65.0	-21.0	0%	-

This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Charlotte

#161

30-17

+13

H22/11

NCAA

East Tennessee St

23-33

-10

A27/11

NCAA

St. Andrews

#429

49-30

+19

H04/12

NCAA

Howard

#352

42-30

+12

A14/12

NCAA

South Alabama

#85

37-39

-2

A20/12

NCAA

66.0Avg total

36.2Scored

29.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	36.2	29.8	66.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	39.5	23.5	63.0	+16.0	100%	-
Last 30 away (3)	34.0	34.0	68.0	+0.0	33%	-
Last 10 (5)	36.2	29.8	66.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	29.8	66.0	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	33.0	56.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (2)	33.5	28.0	61.5	+5.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	42.0	30.0	72.0	+12.0	100%	-

This opponent (Troy) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (7)	38.9	33.1	72.0	+5.7	71%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	46.0	32.3	78.3	+13.7	100%	-
Last 30 away (4)	33.5	33.8	67.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (7)	38.9	33.1	72.0	+5.7	71%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	31.8	72.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	35.5	32.0	67.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Similar (1)	32.0	44.0	76.0	-12.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	38.0	29.0	67.0	+9.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (5)	40.8	34.4	75.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 at home (2)	37.5	33.0	70.5	+4.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (3)	43.0	35.3	78.3	+7.7	100%	-
Last 10 (5)	40.8	34.4	75.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	34.4	75.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	45.0	91.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	35.0	74.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)	39.0	29.0	68.0	+10.0	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Troy wins

Appalachian State wins

No previous meetings.

Troylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/19	H	Coastal Carolina	77-59
15/12/19	A	UT Chattanooga	80-84 OT
12/12/19	A	Jacksonville State	60-55
05/12/19	H	North Alabama	71-63
30/11/19	H	Shorter	104-53
26/11/19	A	Alabama A&M Bulldogs	66-80
23/11/19	A	Samford	60-72

Appalachian Statelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/12/19	A	South Alabama	81-71
14/12/19	A	Howard	81-59
04/12/19	H	St. Andrews	90-58
27/11/19	A	East Tennessee St	69-78
22/11/19	H	Charlotte	64-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Troy

NCAA 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Losses (last 7)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	57%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	LLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	57%	100%	25%
Points / game	74.0	84.0	66.5
Allowed / game	66.6	58.3	72.8
Point differential	+7.4	+25.7	-6.2
Avg total	140.6	142.3	139.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	67%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	0%	25%

Appalachian State

NCAA 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Losses (last 5)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	80%
Home	WW	100%
Away	LWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	2	3
Win %	80%	100%	67%
Points / game	77.0	77.0	77.0
Allowed / game	64.2	56.5	69.3
Point differential	+12.8	+20.5	+7.7
Avg total	141.2	133.5	146.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	50%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Georgia State	7	7	0	100%	79.0	71.3	+7.7
2	Appalachian State	5	4	1	80%	77.0	64.2	+12.8
3	Georgia Southern	7	5	2	71%	74.1	71.4	+2.7
4	James Madison	6	4	2	67%	80.3	79.5	+0.8
5	Coastal Carolina	8	5	3	62%	81.0	75.9	+5.1
6	Arkansas State	5	3	2	60%	66.6	70.8	-4.2
7	Marshall	7	4	3	57%	81.1	69.6	+11.6
8	Troy	7	4	3	57%	74.0	66.6	+7.4
9	South Alabama	6	3	3	50%	74.8	74.8	+0.0
10	Texas State	7	3	4	43%	73.0	67.0	+6.0
11	Louisiana Monroe	5	2	3	40%	71.0	67.4	+3.6
12	Louisiana Lafayette	7	2	5	29%	71.1	76.7	-5.6
13	Southern Miss	8	2	6	25%	67.2	74.4	-7.1
14	Old Dominion	7	0	7	0%	54.4	65.3	-10.9

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	1H	2H	Final
Troy	45	20	65
Appalachian State	39	31	70

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Troy vs Appalachian State Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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Third Party Marketing/Targeting

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