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NC State vs Ole Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 76-62
45-26 31-36
Position#128
Record8-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game89.3
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#259
Record7-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game75.4
Allowed / game67.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ole Miss winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
110-64
110
64
+46
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H06/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
85-45
85
45
+40
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H13/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
108-72
108
72
+36
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-37
63-27
39-35
46-44
33-35
41-50
34-28
47-42
37-47
60-55
35-41
38-42
35-33
40-30
45-19
40-26
30-30
36-36
51-28
57-44
160.4Avg total
86.4Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)89.373.0162.3+16.367%
Season at home (9)91.269.0160.2+22.278%
Season away (3)83.785.0168.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)86.474.0160.4+12.460%
Last 5 (5)83.468.0151.4+15.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.374.1138.4-9.914%
vs Similar (17)74.775.2149.9-0.535%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)91.266.5157.7+24.783%
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ole MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H08/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H12/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
82-60
82
60
+22
H15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
72-65
72
65
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A26/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
58-63
58
63
-5
A07/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H13/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
47-28
39-37
42-33
41-44
38-28
44-32
31-23
41-42
31-31
38-43
34-42
40-33
26-42
40-33
25-33
33-30
31-29
40-38
44-29
36-37
142.8Avg total
74.1Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)75.467.7143.1+7.664%
Season at home (9)78.067.6145.6+10.478%
Season away (2)63.568.5132.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)74.168.7142.8+5.460%
Last 5 (5)69.869.2139.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)72.178.1150.2-6.025%
vs Similar (12)77.674.7152.2+2.967%
vs Weaker (6)79.066.0145.0+13.083%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +2.3+2.3
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +5.3+5.31st half: +3.1+3.12nd half2nd half: +7.2+7.22nd half: +2.3+2.3
NC StateOle Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Greensboro
#252
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H11/12
NCAA
Kansas
#58
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H18/12
NCAA
71.9Avg total
38.6Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.233.969.1+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.231.667.8+4.756%-
Last 30 away (12)33.837.371.1-3.642%-
Last 10 (10)38.633.371.9+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.230.269.4+9.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)28.736.064.7-7.329%-
vs Similar (17)34.434.168.5+0.241%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.330.776.0+14.7100%-
This opponent (Ole Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ole MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H12/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H15/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#49
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H19/11
NCAA
Iowa
#81
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A26/11
NCAA
Utah Utes
#333
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H27/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
26-42
26
42
-16
H03/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A07/12
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H13/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H18/12
NCAA
66.7Avg total
34.9Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.934.270.1+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.233.271.4+4.967%-
Last 30 away (12)32.535.768.2-3.225%-
Last 10 (10)34.931.866.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)32.035.067.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.735.567.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (12)38.233.571.7+4.767%-
vs Weaker (6)39.833.072.8+6.867%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
1
Ole Miss wins
DateGameScore
29/11/23Ole Miss v NC State72-52
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HTexas Southern108-72
13/12/25HKansas76-77 OT
11/12/25HLiberty85-45
06/12/25HUNC Asheville75-63
04/12/25AAuburn73-83
27/11/25ATexas97-102
25/11/25ABoise State81-70
24/11/25HSeton Hall74-85
18/11/25HVCU Rams85-79
13/11/25HNC Greensboro110-64
Ole Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/25HAlabama A&M Bulldogs80-66
13/12/25HSouthern Miss71-67
07/12/25ASt. John's (N.Y.)58-63
03/12/25HMiami (FL)66-75
27/11/25HUtah Utes74-75
26/11/25AIowa69-74
19/11/25HAustin Peay72-65
15/11/25HCSU Bakersfield82-60
12/11/25HMemphis83-77
08/11/25HLouisiana Monroe86-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeLWWLW78%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %67%78%33%
Points / game89.391.283.7
Allowed / game73.069.085.0
Point differential+16.3+22.2-1.3
Avg total162.3160.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%11%0%
Ole Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWLLWW78%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1192
Win %64%78%0%
Points / game75.478.063.5
Allowed / game67.767.668.5
Point differential+7.6+10.4-5.0
Avg total143.1145.6132.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)50% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke1211192%87.262.6+24.6
2 California1211192%83.867.6+16.2
3 North Carolina1211192%79.964.6+15.3
4 Virginia Tech1311285%83.172.6+10.5
5 Louisville1210283%91.668.2+23.4
6 Miami (FL)1210283%88.267.8+20.4
7 Virginia1210283%83.871.1+12.7
8 Stanford1210283%81.371.7+9.7
9 SMU Mustangs119282%88.677.2+11.5
10 Clemson129375%80.765.9+14.8
11 Wake Forest129375%85.372.3+13.0
12 Notre Dame129375%77.368.1+9.2
13 NC State128467%89.373.0+16.3
14 Syracuse128467%74.466.2+8.2
15 Georgia Tech128467%75.570.8+4.8
16 Pittsburgh137654%74.067.8+6.2
17 Florida State126650%84.879.6+5.2
18 Boston College115645%70.467.5+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vanderbilt11110100%93.772.6+21.1
2 Georgia1110191%99.571.6+27.9
3 LSU1110191%87.570.1+17.5
4 Missouri1210283%86.869.8+16.9
5 Arkansas129375%89.574.9+14.6
6 Texas A&M118373%92.976.7+16.2
7 Tennessee118373%81.165.6+15.5
8 Alabama118373%94.182.0+12.1
9 Oklahoma118373%85.174.4+10.7
10 Kentucky128467%83.866.3+17.4
11 Texas128467%87.471.3+16.1
12 Florida128467%84.370.2+14.1
13 Auburn128467%84.277.8+6.5
14 Mississippi St.128467%80.176.2+3.9
15 South Carolina117464%78.468.2+10.2
16 Ole Miss117464%75.467.7+7.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State453176
Ole Miss263662
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