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NC State vs Liberty Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 85-45
45-19 40-26
Position#128
Record6-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game75.8
vs
Position#26
Record6-2
FormWWLLW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game64.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Liberty winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A08/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
114-66
114
66
+48
H04/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
110-64
110
64
+46
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
75-63
75
63
+12
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
41-31
29-41
54-26
60-40
41-33
53-37
47-37
63-27
39-35
46-44
33-35
41-50
34-28
47-42
37-47
60-55
35-41
38-42
35-33
40-30
162.7Avg total
87.3Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.275.8165.0+13.467%
Season at home (6)92.071.2163.2+20.883%
Season away (3)83.785.0168.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)87.375.4162.7+11.960%
Last 5 (5)80.080.6160.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.874.2138.0-10.512%
vs Similar ◀ (16)73.576.7150.2-3.231%
vs Weaker (6)88.065.0153.0+23.083%
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H16/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A22/03
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
98-57
98
57
+41
H04/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
90-75
90
75
+15
H07/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H09/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
98-46
98
46
+52
H18/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A24/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H25/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
92-50
92
50
+42
H06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
42-34
20-44
32-37
45-27
53-30
39-34
51-41
48-30
40-38
49-19
49-27
40-32
39-41
37-36
32-36
33-43
31-31
55-14
37-36
147.2Avg total
80.9Scored
66.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.864.4149.1+20.475%
Season at home (6)89.261.3150.5+27.883%
Season away (2)71.573.5145.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)80.966.3147.2+14.670%
Last 5 (5)80.463.0143.4+17.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)77.071.7148.7+5.367%
vs Weaker (27)75.765.3141.0+10.474%
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +5.5+5.5
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +5.0+5.01st half: +9.1+9.12nd half2nd half: +6.9+6.92nd half: +5.5+5.5
NC StateLiberty
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami (FL)
#344
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#237
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H06/12
NCAA
74.2Avg total
39.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.369.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.132.168.2+4.056%-
Last 30 away (14)33.936.870.6-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.634.674.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)34.836.871.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.936.265.1-7.425%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)34.235.069.2-0.844%-
vs Weaker (6)45.529.875.3+15.7100%-
This opponent (Liberty) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LibertyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jacksonville State
#92
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H16/03
NCAA
Oregon
#52
L
20-44
20
44
-24
A22/03
NCAA
Kentucky Christian
#583
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H04/11
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H07/11
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Carolina University
#612
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H18/11
NCAA
Vermont
#85
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H25/11
NCAA
Bradley
#91
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
W
55-14
55
14
+41
H06/12
NCAA
71.5Avg total
40.3Scored
31.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.529.466.9+8.180%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.727.466.1+11.389%-
Last 30 away (12)35.732.468.1+3.267%-
Last 10 (10)40.331.271.5+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)42.828.871.6+14.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.335.075.3+5.367%-
vs Weaker (27)37.128.865.9+8.481%-
This opponent (NC State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
0
Liberty wins
No previous meetings.
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HUNC Asheville75-63
04/12/25AAuburn73-83
27/11/25ATexas97-102
25/11/25ABoise State81-70
24/11/25HSeton Hall74-85
18/11/25HVCU Rams85-79
13/11/25HNC Greensboro110-64
08/11/25HUAB94-70
04/11/25HN. Carolina Central114-66
08/03/25AMiami (FL)70-72
Libertylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HCoppin State92-50
26/11/25ABradley64-74
25/11/25HTowson69-72
24/11/25AVermont79-73
18/11/25HCarolina University98-46
09/11/25HFlorida Atlantic88-68
07/11/25HCharleston90-75
04/11/25HKentucky Christian98-57
22/03/25AOregon52-81
16/03/25HJacksonville State79-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW67%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games963
Win %67%83%33%
Points / game89.292.083.7
Allowed / game75.871.285.0
Point differential+13.4+20.8-1.3
Avg total165.0163.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Liberty
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %75%83%50%
Points / game84.889.271.5
Allowed / game64.461.373.5
Point differential+20.4+27.8-2.0
Avg total149.1150.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%83%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke10100100%86.859.6+27.2
2 California109190%83.069.1+13.9
3 SMU Mustangs109190%89.876.0+13.8
4 Louisville98189%93.867.6+26.2
5 North Carolina98189%81.265.0+16.2
6 Virginia119282%84.171.0+13.1
7 Miami (FL)108280%85.665.3+20.3
8 Virginia Tech108280%82.073.6+8.4
9 Stanford97278%81.972.2+9.7
10 Clemson107370%83.066.7+16.3
11 Wake Forest107370%84.272.7+11.5
12 Notre Dame107370%76.669.4+7.2
13 NC State96367%89.275.8+13.4
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Georgia Tech106460%72.469.2+3.2
16 Florida State95456%84.278.4+5.8
17 Boston College105550%70.066.6+3.4
18 Pittsburgh105550%71.869.3+2.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Mexico State87188%74.265.6+8.6
2 Kennesaw State108280%97.275.3+21.9
3 Liberty86275%84.864.4+20.4
4 Western Kentucky86275%85.678.4+7.2
5 Sam Houston St.96367%86.375.3+11.0
6 Louisiana Tech85362%72.258.5+13.8
7 Florida International85362%84.476.5+7.9
8 Middle Tenn. St.95456%79.673.3+6.2
9 Jacksonville State84450%76.060.2+15.8
10 Missouri State84450%78.673.9+4.8
11 UTEP83538%73.572.4+1.1
12 Delaware82625%68.975.9-7.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State454085
Liberty192645
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