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NC State vs Syracuse Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-68
41-37 47-31
Position#128
Record14-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game71.8
NC State 🏆
USA
vs
Syracuse
USA
Position#236
Record12-8
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game69.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · NC State v Syracuse
27 Jan 2026
NC S88
SYRA68
20 Feb 2024
NC S83
SYRA87
02 Feb 2022
NC S82
SYRA89
09 Feb 2021
NC S68
SYRA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Syracuse winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
L
76-77 OT
76
77
-1
H13/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
108-72
108
72
+36
H18/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H21/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H31/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H03/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
79-71
79
71
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
113-69
113
69
+44
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H17/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
A21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
30-30
36-36
51-28
57-44
45-26
31-36
36-32
34-25
20-40
41-36
40-32
39-39
56-31
57-38
35-34
39-44
38-33
31-36
34-33
47-39
152.8Avg total
81.8Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.371.8157.1+13.570%
Season at home (13)84.868.8153.5+16.069%
Season away (7)86.377.6163.9+8.771%
Last 10 (10)81.871.0152.8+10.870%
Last 5 (5)85.473.2158.6+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.7153.7-13.733%
vs Similar (15)76.576.3152.9+0.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.767.3154.0+19.383%
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H18/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H20/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
77-48
77
48
+29
H23/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
82-72
82
72
+10
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
94-86
94
86
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
73-81 OT
73
81
-8
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H22/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
76-85
76
85
-9
H24/01
NCAA
1H
2H
39-23
37-39
41-31
50-52
39-27
38-21
28-29
33-35
44-30
38-42
48-37
35-35
43-40
51-46
33-28
31-36
37-30
37-46
36-41
40-44
151.6Avg total
78.7Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)75.769.0144.6+6.760%
Season at home (13)76.766.2142.8+10.569%
Season away (7)73.774.1147.9-0.443%
Last 10 (10)78.772.9151.6+5.860%
Last 5 (5)80.080.0160.0+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)67.675.2142.8-7.717%
vs Similar (13)81.972.2154.1+9.877%
vs Weaker (5)82.865.2148.0+17.680%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +7.2+7.22nd half2nd half: +3.9+3.92nd half: -0.6-0.6
NC StateSyracuse
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas
#58
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H13/12
NCAA
Texas Southern
#281
W
51-28
51
28
+23
H18/12
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H21/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H31/12
NCAA
Virginia
#19
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H03/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A07/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
56-31
56
31
+25
A10/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H17/01
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A21/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A24/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.5Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.233.871.0+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.631.970.5+6.776%-
Last 30 away (13)35.336.371.6-1.054%-
Last 10 (10)38.531.970.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.632.673.2+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.041.770.7-12.733%-
vs Similar (15)34.034.568.5-0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.231.074.2+12.2100%-
This opponent (Syracuse) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SyracuseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
39-23
39
23
+16
H18/12
NCAA
Northeastern
#358
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H23/12
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
28-29
28
29
-1
H31/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A07/01
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A10/01
NCAA
Florida State
#167
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H14/01
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#122
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H22/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H24/01
NCAA
70.4Avg total
38.8Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.831.468.2+5.473%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.629.566.1+7.282%-
Last 30 away (13)37.133.971.0+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)38.831.670.4+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.274.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.634.267.8-0.742%-
vs Similar (13)39.431.671.0+7.892%-
vs Weaker (5)38.024.062.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
NC State wins
8
Syracuse wins
DateGameScore
27/02/25Syracuse v NC State74-60
13/03/24Syracuse v NC State65-83
21/02/24NC State v Syracuse83-87
28/01/24Syracuse v NC State77-65
15/02/23Syracuse v NC State75-72
03/02/22NC State v Syracuse82-89
10/03/21Syracuse v NC State89-68
09/02/21NC State v Syracuse68-77
31/01/21Syracuse v NC State76-73
12/02/20Syracuse v NC State74-79
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26APittsburgh81-72
21/01/26AClemson80-76 OT
17/01/26HGeorgia Tech74-78
10/01/26AFlorida State113-69
07/01/26ABoston College79-71
03/01/26HVirginia61-76
31/12/25HWake Forest70-57
21/12/25HOle Miss76-62
18/12/25HTexas Southern108-72
13/12/25HKansas76-77 OT
Syracuselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/26HMiami (FL)76-85
22/01/26HVirginia Tech74-76
17/01/26ABoston College73-81 OT
14/01/26HFlorida State94-86
10/01/26APittsburgh83-72
07/01/26AGeorgia Tech82-72
31/12/25HClemson61-64
23/12/25HStonehill77-48
20/12/25HNortheastern91-83
18/12/25HMercyhurst Lakers76-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %70%69%71%
Points / game85.384.886.3
Allowed / game71.868.877.6
Point differential+13.4+16.0+8.7
Avg total157.2153.5163.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %10%8%14%
Syracuse
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL60%
HomeWLWLL69%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20137
Win %60%69%43%
Points / game75.776.773.7
Allowed / game69.066.274.1
Point differential+6.7+10.5-0.4
Avg total144.6142.8147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%31%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)40% (5)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%29%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2019195%85.664.6+21.0
2 Clemson2117481%77.165.1+12.0
3 Miami (FL)2016480%85.069.3+15.7
4 North Carolina2016480%82.570.0+12.5
5 Virginia2016480%82.369.9+12.4
6 SMU Mustangs2015575%87.277.0+10.2
7 California2015575%78.870.2+8.5
8 Virginia Tech2115671%81.574.6+6.9
9 Louisville2014670%86.070.3+15.7
10 NC State2014670%85.371.8+13.4
11 Stanford2014670%76.072.5+3.5
12 Syracuse2012860%75.769.0+6.7
13 Notre Dame2011955%72.970.1+2.8
14 Georgia Tech2011955%75.073.2+1.7
15 Wake Forest21111052%80.176.7+3.4
16 Boston College2091145%68.268.2+0.1
17 Pittsburgh2191243%73.071.5+1.5
18 Florida State2081240%81.380.5+0.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State414788
Syracuse373168
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