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NC State vs UNC Asheville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-63
35-33 40-30
Position#128
Record5-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#237
Record4-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UNC Asheville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
L
70-72
70
72
-2
A08/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
114-66
114
66
+48
H04/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
110-64
110
64
+46
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
74-85
74
85
-11
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
97-102
97
102
-5
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
73-83
73
83
-10
A04/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-30
37-33
41-31
29-41
54-26
60-40
41-33
53-37
47-37
63-27
39-35
46-44
33-35
41-50
34-28
47-42
37-47
60-55
35-41
38-42
162.3Avg total
86.9Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.077.4168.4+13.662%
Season at home (5)95.472.8168.2+22.680%
Season away (3)83.785.0168.7-1.333%
Last 10 (10)86.975.4162.3+11.560%
Last 5 (5)82.083.8165.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)63.874.2138.0-10.512%
vs Similar (16)73.576.7150.2-3.231%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.563.8150.3+22.783%
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#329
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H07/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H08/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A05/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
L
90-93
90
93
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H11/11
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
92-54
92
54
+38
H13/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A20/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H25/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
67-55
67
55
+12
H30/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-32
42-28
30-46
37-40
30-34
28-41
39-32
51-61
29-25
40-39
57-14
35-40
38-41
35-39
40-34
33-41
33-26
34-29
36-39
46-38
147.0Avg total
75.1Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)75.571.6147.1+3.950%
Season at home (5)76.665.0141.6+11.680%
Season away (3)73.782.7156.3-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.171.9147.0+3.250%
Last 5 (5)77.468.2145.6+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.281.6161.8-1.440%
vs Similar (14)77.280.9158.1-3.643%
vs Weaker (11)85.867.4153.2+18.5100%
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -1.5-1.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +5.2+5.21st half: +4.7+4.72nd half2nd half: +6.3+6.32nd half: -1.5-1.5
NC StateUNC Asheville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#173
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H06/03
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A08/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
54-26
54
26
+28
H04/11
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H08/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H13/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H18/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H24/11
NCAA
Boise State
#101
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A25/11
NCAA
Texas
#135
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/11
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A04/12
NCAA
73.8Avg total
39.5Scored
34.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.134.169.2+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.131.867.9+4.356%-
Last 30 away (14)33.936.870.6-2.943%-
Last 10 (10)39.534.373.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)35.637.272.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.936.265.1-7.425%-
vs Similar (16)34.235.069.2-0.844%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)45.529.074.5+16.5100%-
This opponent (UNC Asheville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UNC AshevilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#329
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Winthrop
#69
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H08/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A08/11
NCAA
Lipscomb
#121
W
29-25
29
25
+4
H11/11
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
57-14
57
14
+43
H13/11
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/11
NCAA
Appalachian State
#119
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H30/11
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H03/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
37.0Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.135.773.7+2.450%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.433.272.7+6.267%-
Last 30 away (12)36.039.375.3-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)37.032.369.3+4.760%-
Last 5 (5)40.830.871.6+10.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)38.636.274.8+2.460%-
vs Similar (14)35.339.374.6-4.036%-
vs Weaker (11)41.430.872.2+10.564%-
This opponent (NC State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
NC State wins
0
UNC Asheville wins
No previous meetings.
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/12/25AAuburn73-83
27/11/25ATexas97-102
25/11/25ABoise State81-70
24/11/25HSeton Hall74-85
18/11/25HVCU Rams85-79
13/11/25HNC Greensboro110-64
08/11/25HUAB94-70
04/11/25HN. Carolina Central114-66
08/03/25AMiami (FL)70-72
06/03/25HPittsburgh71-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/25HNC Greensboro82-77
30/11/25HAppalachian State67-55
25/11/25HTennessee State73-75
20/11/25AWestern Carolina73-80
13/11/25HBryan92-54
11/11/25HLipscomb69-64
08/11/25AGeorgia Southern90-93
05/11/25AWichita State58-75
08/03/25HWinthrop67-86
07/03/25HCharleston Southern80-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %62%80%33%
Points / game91.095.483.7
Allowed / game77.472.885.0
Point differential+13.6+22.6-1.3
Avg total168.4168.2168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UNC Asheville
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%80%0%
Points / game75.576.673.7
Allowed / game71.665.082.7
Point differential+3.9+11.6-9.0
Avg total147.1141.6156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke10100100%86.859.6+27.2
2 SMU Mustangs98189%89.475.6+13.9
3 Louisville87188%94.666.2+28.4
4 North Carolina87188%81.265.5+15.8
5 California87188%83.869.9+13.9
6 Stanford87188%82.971.9+11.0
7 Miami (FL)108280%85.665.3+20.3
8 Virginia108280%84.172.1+12.0
9 Clemson97278%85.166.7+18.4
10 Virginia Tech97278%83.074.9+8.1
11 Notre Dame107370%76.669.4+7.2
12 Wake Forest96367%85.273.4+11.8
13 NC State85362%91.077.4+13.6
14 Syracuse85362%73.264.6+8.6
15 Florida State85362%86.478.0+8.4
16 Georgia Tech106460%72.469.2+3.2
17 Pittsburgh95456%71.768.1+3.6
18 Boston College105550%70.066.6+3.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point108280%92.371.9+20.4
2 Winthrop95456%85.978.7+7.2
3 Charleston Southern116555%84.177.5+6.5
4 USC Upstate105550%79.970.2+9.7
5 UNC Asheville84450%75.571.6+3.9
6 Longwood105550%77.174.3+2.8
7 Radford104640%80.778.5+2.2
8 Presbyterian114736%64.368.8-4.5
9 Gardner Webb100100%66.892.1-25.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State354075
UNC Asheville333063
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