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NC State vs Pittsburgh Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 71-63
34-30 37-33
Position#293
Record11-18
FormWLWLL
Points / game69.4
Allowed / game70.5
vs
Position#173
Record16-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game71.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · NC State v Pittsburgh
06 Jan 2027
NC S v PITT
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
NC S98
PITT88
05 Mar 2025
NC S71
PITT63
07 Feb 2024
NC S64
PITT67
02 Dec 2022
NC S60
PITT68
28 Feb 2021
NC S65
PITT62
11 Mar 2020
NC S73
PITT58
29 Feb 2020
NC S77
PITT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

NC State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pittsburgh winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NC StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
L
64-74
64
74
-10
A28/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
62-74
62
74
-12
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A09/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
66-91
66
91
-25
H13/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
73-97
73
97
-24
A20/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
62-87
62
87
-25
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-33
27-41
31-34
27-34
30-34
32-40
33-29
40-45
27-41
39-50
44-29
26-33
26-54
47-43
40-34
45-39
25-38
35-36
30-41
32-46
144.7Avg total
67.3Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)69.470.5140.0-1.138%
Season at home (18)72.166.2138.3+5.861%
Season away (11)65.277.5142.7-12.40%
Last 10 (10)67.377.4144.7-10.120%
Last 5 (5)70.078.6148.6-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)62.672.7135.2-10.18%
vs Similar (14)70.870.6141.4+0.143%
vs Weaker (4)80.561.8142.2+18.8100%
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H29/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
66-67
66
67
-1
A08/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
63-83
63
83
-20
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
W
80-69
80
69
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
67-73
67
73
-6
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
42-44
31-21
36-34
38-42
19-34
38-39
32-35
34-32
27-43
36-40
32-30
42-35
34-41
46-28
30-30
42-46
30-35
37-38
33-39
35-40
142.0Avg total
69.4Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)76.571.5148.0+5.055%
Season at home (16)82.567.4149.9+15.175%
Season away (13)69.176.5145.6-7.531%
Last 10 (10)69.472.6142.0-3.230%
Last 5 (5)72.272.4144.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.778.3144.0-12.70%
vs Similar (15)76.673.1149.7+3.547%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.167.9146.0+10.275%
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -5.7-5.72nd half: +1.8+1.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -4.4-4.41st half: -5.0-5.02nd half2nd half: -5.7-5.72nd half: +1.8+1.8
NC StatePittsburgh
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NC StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Duke
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Clemson
#22
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H01/02
NCAA
California
#268
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A06/02
NCAA
Stanford
#127
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H13/02
NCAA
Boston College
#298
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A20/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H22/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
25-38
25
38
-13
A27/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A01/03
NCAA
69.0Avg total
32.3Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.933.367.2+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.230.966.2+4.356%-
Last 30 away (12)31.936.868.7-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)32.336.769.0-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)33.039.272.2-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)29.535.865.3-6.317%-
vs Similar (14)34.432.466.8+2.157%-
vs Weaker (4)45.228.874.0+16.5100%-
This opponent (Pittsburgh) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PittsburghLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Carolina
#111
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/01
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Virginia
#230
L
19-34
19
34
-15
H04/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#111
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A08/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#58
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A12/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#344
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H15/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#273
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H19/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#241
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A22/02
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H26/02
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A01/03
NCAA
68.0Avg total
31.5Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.034.468.4-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.233.670.8+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)30.435.465.7-5.021%-
Last 10 (10)31.536.568.0-5.020%-
Last 5 (5)31.835.066.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.333.763.0-4.333%-
vs Similar (15)35.536.071.5-0.547%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)33.232.765.9+0.633%-
This opponent (NC State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
NC State wins
4
Pittsburgh wins
DateGameScore
10/03/24Pittsburgh v NC State81-73
08/02/24NC State v Pittsburgh64-67
03/12/22NC State v Pittsburgh60-68
12/02/22Pittsburgh v NC State71-69
28/02/21NC State v Pittsburgh65-62
17/02/21Pittsburgh v NC State73-74
11/03/20NC State v Pittsburgh73-58
29/02/20NC State v Pittsburgh77-73
NC Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25AGeorgia Tech62-87
27/02/25ASyracuse60-74
22/02/25HWake Forest85-73
20/02/25ANorth Carolina73-97
15/02/25HBoston College70-62
13/02/25HLouisville66-91
09/02/25AStanford73-74
06/02/25ACalifornia62-74
01/02/25HClemson58-68
28/01/25ADuke64-74
Pittsburghlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25ALouisville68-79
26/02/25HGeorgia Tech67-73
22/02/25ANotre Dame72-76
19/02/25HSyracuse80-69
15/02/25HMiami (FL)74-65
12/02/25ASMU Mustangs63-83
08/02/25ANorth Carolina66-67
04/02/25HVirginia57-73
01/02/25AWake Forest74-76
29/01/25HNorth Carolina73-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

NC State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL38%
HomeLLLWW61%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291811
Win %38%61%0%
Points / game69.472.165.2
Allowed / game70.566.277.5
Point differential-1.1+5.8-12.4
Avg total140.0138.3142.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)25% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Pittsburgh
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL55%
HomeWLWWL75%
AwayLLLLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %55%75%31%
Points / game76.582.569.1
Allowed / game71.567.476.5
Point differential+5.0+15.1-7.5
Avg total148.0149.9145.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%62%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)0% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke3027390%83.561.1+22.4
2 Clemson2924583%77.466.2+11.2
3 Louisville2923679%79.569.2+10.3
4 SMU Mustangs3022873%81.572.0+9.5
5 Wake Forest30201067%70.668.9+1.7
6 Stanford29191066%74.370.9+3.4
7 North Carolina31201165%82.175.9+6.2
8 Pittsburgh29161355%76.571.5+5.0
9 Florida State30161453%74.872.8+2.0
10 Georgia Tech30161453%74.772.8+2.0
11 Virginia30151550%64.866.2-1.5
12 California29131645%74.575.4-0.9
13 Virginia Tech30131743%69.873.1-3.4
14 Notre Dame29121741%73.072.3+0.7
15 Boston College29121741%70.675.1-4.6
16 Syracuse30121840%75.478.7-3.3
17 NC State29111838%69.470.5-1.1
18 Miami (FL)3062420%74.181.0-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
NC State343771
Pittsburgh303363
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