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Nebraska vs Le Moyne Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 106-64
58-32 48-32
Position#46
Record-
FormWLWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Nebraska 🏆
USA
Vs
91%
■ NEBR 91%■ LE M 9%
Pythia win probability
Projected 80-65
Projected total 145.4
Le Moyne
USA
Position#380
Record-
FormLLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Nebraska faces Le Moyne in the NCAA on 2 November 2026, and the Pythia model names Nebraska the clear favourite, rating them 91% to win largely because of their dominant season performance and the 80-65 projected score. Nebraska's season record shows a strong offensive output and a solid defence, while Le Moyne's season record reflects a struggling campaign, with only one win in their last five games, including a 71-81 loss to Stonehill and a 59-66 defeat to New Haven. Nebraska's last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent 74-72 victory over Vanderbilt and a 76-47 win over Troy, whereas Le Moyne's recent results include a 76-59 win over Fairleigh Dickinson but losses to Stonehill and New Haven. The head-to-head history is sparse, with no recent meetings recorded. Pythia's win probabilities are 91% for Nebraska and 9% for Le Moyne, projecting a 80-65 score and a total of 145.4 points; the main total line is 152.5 with a 33% chance of the over, and there is a 2% chance of overtime. Nebraska's 80-point output is the most concrete fact about the game.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nebraska winWon
90.5%fair 1.10
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Le Moyne winLost
9.5%fair 10.56
Best odds41.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
87-64
87
64
+23
H21/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H26/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A28/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
52-72
52
72
-20
A04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
84-75 OT
84
75
+9
H08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
58-74
58
74
-16
H13/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H19/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H22/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H26/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-33
24-24
38-20
49-44
33-27
41-34
31-36
51-31
24-37
28-35
30-26
40-44
28-41
30-33
41-25
35-22
39-32
35-40
46-43
25-34
137.6Avg total
71.0Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.066.6137.6+4.460%
Last 5 (5)72.669.0141.6+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
vs Similar (11)72.471.1143.5+1.355%
vs Weaker (18)77.062.1139.1+14.994%
Le MoyneUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#283
L
54-65
54
65
-11
H31/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A06/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H07/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
58-57
58
57
+1
H13/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H27/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
28-32
26-33
35-40
43-39
38-45
48-39
25-29
33-28
42-29
39-34
34-39
43-39
24-32
44-45
36-33
40-26
31-31
28-35
32-39
39-42
141.7Avg total
70.8Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)70.870.9141.7-0.140%
Last 5 (5)70.272.2142.4-2.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.589.0145.5-32.50%
vs Similar (21)71.975.4147.2-3.533%
vs Weaker (7)78.765.1143.9+13.6100%
Over/Under 147.5Actual: Over 147.5
Over 147.5
44.6%
@ 1.47-18.8pp
Under 147.5
55.4%
@ 2.60+18.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
Under
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 152.5 · main lineActual: Over 152.5
Over 152.5
32.8%
@ 1.92-17.2pp
Under 152.5
67.2%
@ 1.90+17.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.92
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Over/Under 157.5Actual: Over 157.5
Over 157.5
22.7%
@ 2.60-13.8pp
Under 157.5
77.3%
@ 1.47+13.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Nebraska total 88.5Actual: Nebraska over 88.5
Over 88.5
20.2%
@ 1.40-44.3pp
Under 88.5
79.8%
@ 2.55+44.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.55
Nebraska total 92.5 · main lineActual: Nebraska over 92.5
Over 92.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 92.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.85
Nebraska total 96.5Actual: Nebraska over 96.5
Over 96.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
Under 96.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Under
Betano
1.47
Le Moyne total 55.5Actual: Le Moyne over 55.5
Over 55.5
83.0%
@ 1.42+19.2pp
Under 55.5
17.0%
@ 2.50-19.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.50
Le Moyne total 59.5 · main lineActual: Le Moyne over 59.5
Over 59.5
71.0%
@ 1.94+21.4pp
Under 59.5
29.0%
@ 1.91-21.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80
Under
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.82
1xBet
1.77
Le Moyne total 63.5Actual: Le Moyne over 63.5
Over 63.5
56.1%
@ 2.57+20.8pp
Under 63.5
43.9%
@ 1.40-20.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
Under
Betano
1.40

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Nebraska -36.5Actual: Nebraska -36.5
NEBR -36.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
LE M +36.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.12
LE M
1xBet
1.64
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.60
Spread Nebraska -33.5 · main lineActual: Nebraska -33.5
NEBR -33.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
LE M +33.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
LE M
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Spread Nebraska -30.5Actual: Nebraska -30.5
NEBR -30.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
LE M +30.5
no forecast
@ 2.20
Best 5 market prices
NEBR
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.60
LE M
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.8+1.81st half: -2.4-2.42nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +2.3+2.3
NebraskaLe Moyne
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iowa
#81
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A18/02
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
38-20
38
20
+18
H21/02
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H26/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A28/02
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A04/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H08/03
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H13/03
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H19/03
NCAA
Vanderbilt
#37
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H26/03
NCAA
65.8Avg total
33.8Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73
Last 30 (30)35.332.467.7+2.963%20%
Last 30 at home (20)35.831.066.8+4.875%20%
Last 30 away (10)34.335.369.6-1.040%20%
Last 10 (10)33.832.065.8+1.860%10%
Last 5 (5)36.833.470.2+3.480%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.048.098.0+2.0100%100%
vs Similar (11)34.835.069.8-0.245%27%
vs Weaker (18)34.830.064.8+4.872%11%
Le MoyneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stonehill
#283
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H31/01
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A06/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H07/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/03
NCAA
67.4Avg total
32.5Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73
Last 30 (30)34.135.169.2-1.027%30%
Last 30 at home (13)33.234.467.6-1.231%23%
Last 30 away (17)34.835.670.4-0.824%35%
Last 10 (10)32.534.967.4-2.420%20%
Last 5 (5)31.434.866.2-3.420%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.039.072.0-6.00%0%
vs Similar (21)33.435.468.8-2.024%33%
vs Weaker (7)36.632.969.4+3.743%29%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Nebraska win
NEBR win
no forecast
@ 1.03
LE M win
no forecast
@ 13.50
1st half Spread Nebraska -17 · main lineActual: Nebraska -17
NEBR -17
no forecast
@ 1.88
LE M +17
no forecast
@ 1.82
1st half Over/Under 73 · main lineActual: Over 73
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Nebraska 1st half total 44.5 · main lineActual: Nebraska over 44.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
Le Moyne 1st half total 28 · main lineActual: Le Moyne over 28
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Over 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.30
Under
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Nebraska -18.5Actual: Nebraska -18.5
NEBR -18.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
LE M +18.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
1st half Spread Nebraska -15.5Actual: Nebraska -15.5
NEBR -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
LE M +15.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.57
Under
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.75
Under
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half Spread Nebraska -19.5Actual: Nebraska -19.5
NEBR -19.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
LE M +19.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Nebraska -14.5Actual: Nebraska -14.5
NEBR -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
LE M +14.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Over/Under 67.5Actual: Over 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.65
1st half Spread Nebraska -20.5Actual: Nebraska -20.5
NEBR -20.5
no forecast
@ 2.45
LE M +20.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Nebraska (regulation)
NEBR
no forecast
@ 1.03
Draw
no forecast
@ 51.00
LE M
no forecast
@ 12.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
NEBR win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
LE M win + total 152.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NEBR leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Nebraska under 87.576.8%2.80
Betano
2.80		----+44.5ppLost
Nebraska under 88.579.8%2.55
Betano
2.55		----+44.3ppLost
Nebraska under 89.582.5%2.35
Betano
2.35		----+44.0ppLost
Nebraska under 90.585.0%2.18
Betano
2.18		----+43.4ppLost
Nebraska under 91.587.2%2.07
Betano
2.07		----+42.6ppLost
Le Moyne over 5973.4%1.86
Marathon Bet
1.86		----+23.7ppWon
Le Moyne over 59.571.0%1.87
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
WilliamHill
1.80		-+21.4ppWon
Le Moyne over 58.574.3%1.75
Betano
1.75		----+21.2ppWon
Le Moyne over 57.577.4%1.60
Betano
1.60		----+21.0ppWon
Le Moyne over 56.580.3%1.50
Betano
1.50		----+20.1ppWon
Le Moyne over 55.583.0%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+19.2ppWon
Under 154.571.5%1.71
WilliamHill
1.80
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66		-+16.6ppLost
Under 15572.9%1.62
Bet365
1.62		----+15.9ppLost
Under 15470.8%1.66
Bet365
1.68
Marathon Bet
1.64		---+15.9ppLost
Under 155.573.5%1.63
1xBet
1.70
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.58		--+15.8ppLost
Under 15675.0%1.55
Bet365
1.55		----+15.2ppLost
Under 156.575.5%1.52
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52		---+14.6ppLost
Under 15776.9%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+14.4ppLost
Under 15878.8%1.43
Bet365
1.43		----+13.8ppLost
Under 157.577.3%1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45		---+13.8ppLost
Under 158.579.1%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		---+13.5ppLost
Under 160.582.5%1.34
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.30		---+13.3ppLost
Under 15980.5%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+13.0ppLost
Under 159.580.8%1.36
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.35		---+12.7ppLost
Under 16082.2%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+12.2ppLost
Nebraska (regulation)89.2%1.01
Betano
1.01		-----2.6ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Nebraska wins
0
Le Moyne wins
No previous meetings.
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/26HIowa71-77
22/03/26HVanderbilt74-72
19/03/26HTroy76-47
13/03/26HPurdue58-74
08/03/26HIowa84-75 OT
04/03/26AUCLA52-72
28/02/26AUSC82-67
26/02/26HMaryland74-61
21/02/26HPenn State87-64
18/02/26AIowa52-57
Le Moynelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/26HStonehill71-81
28/02/26ANew Haven Chargers59-66
27/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson76-59
21/02/26AStonehill68-77
20/02/26ACentral Connecticut State77-78
14/02/26HChicago State81-63
13/02/26HMercyhurst Lakers58-57
07/02/26HSt. Francis (PA)86-84
06/02/26AWagner78-79
31/01/26HStonehill54-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nebraska
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 152.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Le Moyne
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 152.5---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan State110100%96.059.0+37.0
2 Indiana110100%91.057.0+34.0
3 Maryland110100%96.067.0+29.0
4 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Stonehill110100%84.056.0+28.0
2 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
3 LIU Sharks1010%60.074.0-14.0
4 New Haven Chargers1010%58.074.0-16.0
5 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nebraska5848106
Le Moyne323264
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