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Nebraska vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-64
38-20 49-44
Position#21
Record22-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game65.6
Nebraska 🏆
USA
vs
Penn State
USA
Position#298
Record11-16
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game79.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Nebraska v Penn State
21 Feb 2026
NEBR87
PENN64
17 Feb 2024
NEBR68
PENN49
05 Feb 2023
NEBR72
PENN63
23 Feb 2021
NEBR83
PENN86
01 Feb 2020
NEBR64
PENN76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nebraska winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NebraskaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
90-55
90
55
+35
H14/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
77-58
77
58
+19
A17/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H22/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
76-57
76
57
+19
A24/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A28/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H01/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A07/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H14/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
42-30
48-25
34-29
43-29
41-28
35-38
30-36
46-21
50-48
22-27
39-33
30-45
41-27
39-41
24-40
44-28
28-27
40-22
28-33
24-24
138.0Avg total
73.7Scored
64.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.365.6143.9+12.785%
Season at home (17)79.864.3144.1+15.588%
Season away (9)75.468.1143.6+7.378%
Last 10 (10)73.764.3138.0+9.460%
Last 5 (5)69.266.4135.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
vs Similar (11)74.673.1147.7+1.545%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)79.863.4143.2+16.394%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
L
73-96
73
96
-23
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
71-98
71
98
-27
H23/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H01/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
69-110
69
110
-41
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#153
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
72-83
72
83
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
72-85
72
85
-13
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-56
47-40
22-50
49-48
32-50
46-34
40-45
33-49
41-31
36-44
24-56
45-54
40-36
35-41
35-32
28-28
32-38
40-45
20-39
52-46
158.5Avg total
72.3Scored
86.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.379.2154.5-3.941%
Season at home (18)75.675.7151.3-0.150%
Season away (9)74.786.2160.9-11.622%
Last 10 (10)72.386.2158.5-13.920%
Last 5 (5)70.283.0153.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)74.278.6152.8-4.339%
vs Similar (7)79.179.7158.9-0.643%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nebraska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -12.1-12.12nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -1.8-1.8
-15-8+0+8+151st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: -12.1-12.12nd half2nd half: +7.1+7.12nd half: -1.8-1.8
NebraskaPenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
NebraskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oregon
#293
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H14/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A17/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H22/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A24/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A28/01
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H01/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A07/02
NCAA
Purdue
#31
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H11/02
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
W
28-27
28
27
+1
H14/02
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A18/02
NCAA
68.8Avg total
35.7Scored
33.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.632.668.2+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (20)34.931.466.3+3.460%-
Last 30 away (10)37.035.072.0+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)35.733.168.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)32.032.064.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.048.098.0+2.0100%-
vs Similar (11)34.434.468.7+0.027%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)35.630.766.3+4.872%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#305
L
26-56
26
56
-30
A18/01
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
22-50
22
50
-28
H23/01
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A27/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#251
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A30/01
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H01/02
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
24-56
24
56
-32
A05/02
NCAA
USC
#153
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Oregon
#293
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A14/02
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
L
20-39
20
39
-19
H18/02
NCAA
74.5Avg total
31.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.538.172.6-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (19)34.835.169.8-0.353%-
Last 30 away (11)34.043.577.5-9.527%-
Last 10 (10)31.243.374.5-12.130%-
Last 5 (5)30.240.270.4-10.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.037.972.9-2.943%-
vs Similar (7)32.938.971.7-6.043%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Nebraska) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nebraska wins
5
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
19/02/25Penn State v Nebraska89-72
17/02/24Nebraska v Penn State68-49
05/02/23Nebraska v Penn State72-63
21/01/23Penn State v Nebraska76-65
28/02/22Penn State v Nebraska70-93
11/03/21Penn State v Nebraska72-66
24/02/21Nebraska v Penn State83-86
14/02/21Penn State v Nebraska61-62
02/02/20Nebraska v Penn State64-76
Nebraskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26AIowa52-57
14/02/26HNorthwestern68-49
11/02/26HPurdue77-80 OT
07/02/26ARutgers80-68
01/02/26HIllinois69-78
28/01/26AMichigan72-75
24/01/26AMinnesota76-57
22/01/26HWashington76-66
17/01/26ANorthwestern77-58
14/01/26HOregon90-55
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HRutgers72-85
14/02/26AOregon72-83
12/02/26AWashington63-60
08/02/26HUSC75-77
05/02/26AMichigan69-110
01/02/26HMinnesota77-75
30/01/26ANorthwestern73-94
27/01/26AOhio State78-84
23/01/26HWisconsin71-98
18/01/26AMaryland73-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nebraska
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL85%
HomeWWLLW88%
AwayWWLWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games26179
Win %85%88%78%
Points / game78.379.875.4
Allowed / game65.664.368.1
Point differential+12.7+15.5+7.3
Avg total143.9144.1143.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%59%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%6%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL41%
HomeLLWLL50%
AwayLLLWL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %41%50%22%
Points / game75.375.674.7
Allowed / game79.275.786.2
Point differential-3.9-0.1-11.6
Avg total154.5151.3160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)40% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Michigan2625196%90.668.8+21.8
2 Nebraska2622485%78.365.6+12.7
3 Illinois2722581%84.868.1+16.7
4 Purdue2722581%82.969.3+13.7
5 Michigan State2621581%78.966.4+12.5
6 Iowa2619773%76.264.4+11.8
7 Wisconsin2618869%83.176.0+7.1
8 USC2618869%80.776.8+3.8
9 Ohio State2617965%81.273.4+7.8
10 UCLA2617965%77.270.9+6.3
11 Indiana27171063%79.772.1+7.6
12 Washington26131350%76.872.4+4.4
13 Minnesota27131448%70.967.7+3.2
14 Northwestern27111641%74.173.0+1.1
15 Penn State27111641%75.379.2-3.9
16 Rutgers27111641%70.275.7-5.4
17 Maryland26101638%71.578.2-6.7
18 Oregon2691735%71.274.3-3.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Nebraska384987
Penn State204464
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