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Neptunas 2 vs Omega-Tauras Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 72-76
21-21 23-19 16-18 12-18
Position#6
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game127.0
Allowed / game89.0
LithuaniaNKLRound 2· Klaip
Other2026-27
Meetings · Neptunas 2 v Omega-Tauras
03 Oct 2026
NEPT72
OMEG76
14 Feb 2026
NEPT83
OMEG64
29 Jan 2026
NEPT96
OMEG59
16 Jan 2025
NEPT87
OMEG81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas 2 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Omega-Tauras winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
89-71
89
71
+18
85avg 71
H07/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
80-71
80
71
+9
71avg 71
A12/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
89-83
89
83
+6
80avg 71
H15/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
84-83
84
83
+1
78avg 71
A18/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
69avg 71
A24/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
69-75
69
75
-6
63avg 71
H30/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
65-67
65
67
-2
44avg 71
A02/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
79-71
79
71
+8
73avg 71
H07/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
58avg 71
A09/05
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
91-76
91
76
+15
78avg 71
A01/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
20-17
18-19
29-14
23-18
21-24
27-8
9-21
25-23
31-18
26-20
7-22
25-18
14-16
23-21
22-28
20-20
19-16
16-17
18-15
13-21
13-17
23-24
20-13
15-16
20-18
12-15
18-18
25-23
12-17
21-14
21-17
18-14
19-18
14-24
17-20
19-21
31-21
27-17
14-17
152.8Avg total
78.7Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)91.076.0167.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.774.1152.8+4.670%
Last 5 (5)74.473.0147.4+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.075.8144.8-6.833%
vs Similar ◀ (10)82.779.8162.5+2.970%
vs Weaker (14)84.471.3155.6+13.186%
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Omega-TaurasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmega-Tauras
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
87-89
87
89
-2
76avg 78
H07/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 78
A14/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 78
H19/02
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 78
A22/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
L
65-80
65
80
-15
50avg 78
H26/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
87-83
87
83
+4
84avg 78
A05/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
94-98
94
98
-4
89avg 78
H07/03
NKL
Silute
#12
L
88-92
88
92
-4
78avg 78
H12/03
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
89-98
89
98
-9
80avg 78
A14/03
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
127-89
127
89
+38
128avg 78
H30/09
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
22-24
23-23
21-24
18-27
13-18
17-18
16-20
25-20
21-16
10-26
27-18
20-19
19-22
19-20
22-24
25-17
16-20
14-18
10-25
25-29
24-19
24-19
14-16
17-22
23-24
18-27
36-25
24-19
22-26
15-22
27-25
20-26
21-33
17-17
31-22
32-22
31-23
26-20
38-24
174.1Avg total
86.4Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)127.089.0216.0+38.0100%
Season at home (1)127.089.0216.0+38.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.487.7174.1-1.330%
Last 5 (5)97.092.0189.0+5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)78.690.4169.0-11.823%
vs Similar ◀ (14)83.889.0172.8-5.229%
vs Weaker (3)99.787.3187.0+12.367%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
Neptunas 2Omega-Tauras
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H15/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A18/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A24/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H30/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H07/05
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A09/05
NKL
Kretinga
#16
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/10
NKL
78.2Avg total
40.5Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.038.579.5+2.577%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.539.583.0+3.969%-
Last 30 away (17)39.137.876.9+1.482%-
Last 10 (10)40.537.778.2+2.880%-
Last 5 (5)37.037.274.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)33.539.272.7-5.750%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.740.283.9+3.580%-
vs Weaker (14)42.337.179.4+5.286%-
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Omega-TaurasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H07/02
NKL
Neptunas 2
#4
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A14/02
NKL
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H19/02
NKL
Kretinga
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A22/02
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H26/02
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A05/03
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H07/03
NKL
Silute
#12
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H12/03
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A14/03
NKL
Kedainiai BC
#14
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H30/09
NKL
88.3Avg total
43.9Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.343.785.0-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.142.987.0+1.160%-
Last 30 away (15)38.644.483.0-5.827%-
Last 10 (10)43.944.488.3-0.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.848.696.4-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.545.484.9-5.823%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.441.983.3-0.457%-
vs Weaker (3)48.744.793.3+4.067%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.719.1
55.0%
54.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.2
30.7%
31.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.715.1
72.9%
67.1%15.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Omega-Taurastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omega-Tauras: 86.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
54%
29%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.920.5
55.6%
54.5%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.2
32.2%
31.3%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.114.5
72.1%
67.1%14.5
They take 68.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas 2
WLWLLWWWWW
Omega-Tauras
WLLLWLLWLL
#6
League position
#9
+4.8
Net rating
-1.6
94.2
Offensive rating
98.6
89.4
Defensive rating
100.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
52.2%
48.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.7%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
30.7%
3-point %
32.2%
49.1%
Assist %
71.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence94.2 · 98.6Defence89.4 · 100.2Shooting51.1% · 52.2%3-point %30.7% · 32.2%Ball care14.5% · 12.7%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Neptunas 2   ■ Omega-Tauras
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Neptunas 2 wins
1
Omega-Tauras wins
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/26AKretinga91-76
09/05/26ASuduva-Mantinga68-76
07/05/26HSuduva-Mantinga79-71
02/05/26ASuduva-Mantinga65-67
30/04/26HSuduva-Mantinga69-75
24/04/26ASuduva-Mantinga73-68
18/04/26AVytis VDU84-83
15/04/26HVytis VDU89-83
12/04/26AVytis VDU80-71
07/04/26HZalgiris Kaunas 289-71
Omega-Tauraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/09/26HKedainiai BC127-89
14/03/26APlunges Olimpas89-98
12/03/26HSilute88-92
07/03/26HJurbarkas94-98
05/03/26AUkmerges Stekas87-83
26/02/26HBC Olimpas Palanga65-80
22/02/26AKretinga80-85
19/02/26HAlytaus Alytus83-80
14/02/26ANeptunas 264-83
07/02/26HBC Olimpas Palanga87-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas 2
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game91.0-91.0
Allowed / game76.0-76.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total167.0-167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Omega-Tauras
NKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game127.0127.0-
Allowed / game89.089.0-
Point differential+38.0+38.0-
Avg total216.0216.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Omega-Tauras110100%127.089.0+38.0
2 Jurbarkas110100%96.068.0+28.0
3 BC Olimpas Palanga110100%86.070.0+16.0
4 Neptunas 2110100%91.076.0+15.0
5 Telsiai110100%91.077.0+14.0
6 Zalgiris Kaunas 2220100%107.593.5+14.0
7 Silute110100%92.085.0+7.0
8 Vytis VDU110100%90.089.0+1.0
9 Ukmerges Stekas1010%89.090.0-1.0
10 Vilkaviskis1010%104.0107.0-3.0
11 Plunges Olimpas1010%85.092.0-7.0
12 Rytas 21010%77.091.0-14.0
13 Kretinga1010%76.091.0-15.0
14 Mazeikiai1010%70.086.0-16.0
15 Alytaus Patriotai2020%75.5102.0-26.5
16 Kedainiai BC1010%89.0127.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas 22123161272
Omega-Tauras2119181876
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