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Omega-Tauras vs Neptunas 2 Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 72-76
26-15 15-16 12-23 19-22
Position#9
Record5-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game80.4
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#10
Record5-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game72.5
LithuaniaNKL· Kauno r. Garliavos sporto centras
Other2024-25
Meetings · Omega-Tauras v Neptunas 2
23 Jan 2027
OMEG v NEPT
upcoming
02 Oct 2025
OMEG91
NEPT81
31 Oct 2024
OMEG72
NEPT76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Omega-Tauras winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas 2 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Omega-TaurasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOmega-Tauras
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
88-74
88
74
+14
83avg 72
H03/10
NKL
Silute
#12
W
85-75
85
75
+10
78avg 72
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
93-68
93
68
+25
89avg 72
H10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
64-86
64
86
-22
44avg 72
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
86-69
86
69
+17
76avg 72
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
77-82
77
82
-5
69avg 72
H19/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
76avg 72
H24/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
70-92
70
92
-22
60avg 72
A26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
22-20
19-16
20-25
22-27
16-15
21-13
26-20
25-23
20-12
25-19
23-14
13-24
18-25
15-20
18-17
23-12
19-28
20-16
24-13
24-19
12-29
24-20
17-14
18-13
25-19
21-25
16-15
19-27
18-21
20-15
13-29
157.6Avg total
80.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)80.477.2157.6+3.162%
Season at home (4)84.574.0158.5+10.575%
Season away (4)76.280.5156.8-4.250%
Last 10 (8)80.477.2157.6+3.162%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.080.5158.5-2.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.876.6156.4+3.260%
vs Weaker (1)88.074.0162.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Form2
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
L
83-94
83
94
-11
78avg 71
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
105-100
105
100
+5
99avg 71
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
81-59
81
59
+22
78avg 71
A03/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
88avg 71
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
68-63
68
63
+5
57avg 71
A10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
85-67
85
67
+18
78avg 71
H12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
64-73
64
73
-9
59avg 71
H17/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
78-76
78
76
+2
67avg 71
A19/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
73-77
73
77
-4
61avg 71
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
73-84
73
84
-11
65avg 71
A26/10
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
27-22
22-22
17-25
21-31
31-26
31-30
22-13
14-22
18-11
26-11
23-15
17-19
16-20
21-21
33-21
20-18
18-14
19-17
11-14
23-16
20-14
24-18
18-19
20-18
15-10
7-20
22-25
28-16
18-25
12-14
20-21
20-21
18-18
12-15
23-23
22-19
9-25
21-20
21-20
157.1Avg total
79.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.172.5148.6+3.662%
Season at home (4)77.274.5151.8+2.850%
Season away (4)75.070.5145.5+4.575%
Last 10 (10)79.777.4157.1+2.360%
Last 5 (5)74.675.4150.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.776.9148.6-5.230%
vs Similar ◀ (20)82.280.1162.3+2.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Omega-TaurasNeptunas 2
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Omega-TaurasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delikatesas Joniskis
#16
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H03/10
NKL
Silute
#12
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A05/10
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H10/10
NKL
Vilkaviskis
#6
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A12/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A17/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H19/10
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H24/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A26/10
NKL
81.0Avg total
40.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)40.140.981.0-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (4)43.237.080.2+6.275%-
Last 30 away (4)37.044.881.8-7.825%-
Last 10 (8)40.140.981.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.481.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.544.083.5-4.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.641.279.8-2.640%-
vs Weaker (1)49.033.082.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Neptunas 2) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neptunas 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#14
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H29/02
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A02/03
NKL
Rytas 2
#11
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A03/10
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#5
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H05/10
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#7
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/10
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#8
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H12/10
NKL
Telsiai
#1
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H17/10
NKL
Kretinga
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A19/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#3
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H24/10
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A26/10
NKL
78.2Avg total
39.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.280.2-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.437.176.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)40.743.383.9-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)39.239.078.2+0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.475.0+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.537.775.2-0.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)41.341.582.8-0.235%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Omega-Tauras) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Omega-Taurastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Omega-Tauras: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.1
47.2%
52.5%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.0
34.2%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.111.4
75.2%
70.5%11.4
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunas 2their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas 2: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.816.5
47.4%
52.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.5
39.0%
32.5%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.614.4
69.9%
70.5%14.4
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Omega-Tauras
LWLWLWWW
Neptunas 2
LLWLWWWWWL
#9
League position
#10
+4.6
Net rating
+2.9
107.5
Offensive rating
107.1
103.0
Defensive rating
104.3
48.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
15.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.2%
3-point %
39.0%
63.1%
Assist %
64.4%
62%
Form (last 8/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 107.1Defence103.0 · 104.3Shooting48.9% · 52.3%3-point %34.2% · 39.0%Ball care15.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds33.0% · 28.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 8/10)62% · 60%
■ Omega-Tauras   ■ Neptunas 2
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Omega-Tauras wins
0
Neptunas 2 wins
No previous meetings.
Omega-Tauraslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24ATelsiai70-92
24/10/24HPlunges Olimpas80-72
19/10/24HJurbarkas77-82
17/10/24ASuduva-Mantinga86-69
12/10/24AVilkaviskis64-86
10/10/24HRytas 293-68
05/10/24ASilute85-75
03/10/24HDelikatesas Joniskis88-74
Neptunas 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AZalgiris Kaunas 273-84
24/10/24HJurbarkas73-77
19/10/24AKretinga78-76
17/10/24HTelsiai64-73
12/10/24HUkmerges Stekas85-67
10/10/24ABC Olimpas Palanga68-63
05/10/24HSuduva-Mantinga87-81
03/10/24ARytas 281-59
02/03/24ADelikatesas Joniskis105-100
29/02/24HSilute83-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Omega-Tauras
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL62%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game80.484.576.2
Allowed / game77.274.080.5
Point differential+3.1+10.5-4.2
Avg total157.6158.5156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas 2
NKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL62%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game76.177.275.0
Allowed / game72.574.570.5
Point differential+3.6+2.8+4.5
Avg total148.6151.8145.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jurbarkas87188%84.579.0+5.5
2 Telsiai86275%88.279.5+8.8
3 Suduva-Mantinga75271%89.081.0+8.0
4 BC Olimpas Palanga85362%78.568.8+9.8
5 Vilkaviskis85362%86.280.4+5.9
6 Neptunas 285362%76.172.5+3.6
7 Omega-Tauras85362%80.477.2+3.1
8 Zalgiris Kaunas 285362%80.678.2+2.4
9 Vytis VDU74357%95.091.6+3.4
10 Kretinga84450%78.278.9-0.6
11 Ukmerges Stekas84450%81.682.6-1.0
12 Rytas 283538%81.183.9-2.8
13 Silute82625%78.684.9-6.2
14 Plunges Olimpas82625%74.883.8-9.0
15 Alytaus Alytus81712%74.189.1-15.0
16 Delikatesas Joniskis8080%73.688.0-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Omega-Tauras2615121972
Neptunas 21516232276
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