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Neptunas vs Karsiyaka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Feb 2015
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 83-90
24-22 16-22 23-20 20-26
Position#42
Record1-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game81.8
vs
Position#7
Record11-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2014
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karsiyaka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
106-78
106
78
+28
H10/01
LKL
Karsiyaka
#7
L
85-99
85
99
-14
A14/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
H18/01
LKL
Besiktas
#12
L
62-69
62
69
-7
H21/01
Eurocup
Skycop
#9
W
92-76
92
76
+16
H23/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#6
W
72-66
72
66
+6
A25/01
LKL
Besiktas
#12
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A28/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#8
W
102-76
102
76
+26
H01/02
LKL
Levallois
#14
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A04/02
Eurocup
Skycop
#9
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A07/02
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
24-27
27-20
26-19
16-30
25-23
19-20
25-26
26-18
14-23
19-12
17-27
16-14
7-12
16-15
23-28
28-16
26-17
21-23
17-20
27-17
6-14
13-13
26-22
30-15
20-22
13-22
15-21
24-21
27-19
26-19
25-17
22-21
24-26
21-20
12-21
26-20
23-14
14-10
23-19
161.3Avg total
83.8Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.281.8159.0-4.620%
Season at home (2)72.071.0143.0+1.050%
Season away (3)80.789.0169.7-8.30%
Last 10 (10)83.877.5161.3+6.350%
Last 5 (5)83.474.6158.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)76.184.8160.9-8.729%
vs Similar (2)75.083.0158.0-8.050%
vs Weaker (14)90.373.5163.8+16.8100%
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#26
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A19/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#38
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H26/11
Eurocup
Ventspils
#40
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H03/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#36
L
69-71
69
71
-2
A10/12
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
85-93
85
93
-8
H17/12
Eurocup
Besiktas
#12
W
105-77
105
77
+28
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#42
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H14/01
Eurocup
Levallois
#14
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A20/01
Eurocup
Levallois
#14
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H28/01
Eurocup
Besiktas
#12
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H04/02
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
21-21
16-20
22-9
22-12
23-20
21-21
20-25
21-12
17-20
16-21
17-14
15-18
13-19
24-14
17-20
25-34
20-20
25-25
15-14
29-16
25-23
30-22
21-16
30-16
23-25
20-19
26-25
18-16
29-12
19-27
19-20
25-28
24-15
16-24
21-12
19-17
14-20
18-13
22-14
160.1Avg total
83.8Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)81.976.2158.1+5.773%
Season at home (8)83.077.5160.5+5.575%
Season away (7)80.674.7155.3+5.971%
Last 10 (10)83.876.3160.1+7.580%
Last 5 (5)89.676.0165.6+13.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)75.682.7158.3-7.129%
vs Similar (7)76.375.3151.6+1.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)81.974.1156.0+7.987%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.0+6.0Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.1+3.1
NeptunasKarsiyaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H10/01
LKL
Karsiyaka
#7
L
41-53
41
53
-12
A14/01
Eurocup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/01
LKL
Besiktas
#12
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H21/01
Eurocup
Skycop
#9
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H23/01
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#6
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A25/01
LKL
Besiktas
#12
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A28/01
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H01/02
LKL
Levallois
#14
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A04/02
Eurocup
Skycop
#9
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A07/02
LKL
82.1Avg total
44.0Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.338.980.2+2.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.736.078.7+6.779%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.481.5-1.456%-
Last 10 (10)44.038.182.1+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)45.837.883.6+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.941.379.2-3.443%-
vs Similar (2)36.041.577.5-5.550%-
vs Weaker (14)45.436.181.6+9.393%-
This opponent (Karsiyaka) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KarsiyakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#26
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/11
Eurocup
Buducnost
#38
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H26/11
Eurocup
Ventspils
#40
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H03/12
Eurocup
Zielona Gora
#36
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A10/12
Eurocup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H17/12
Eurocup
Besiktas
#12
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A07/01
Eurocup
Neptunas
#42
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H14/01
Eurocup
Levallois
#14
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A20/01
Eurocup
Levallois
#14
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H28/01
Eurocup
Besiktas
#12
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H04/02
Eurocup
82.1Avg total
43.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.637.977.5+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.736.477.1+4.365%-
Last 30 away (13)38.239.877.9-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.882.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)47.237.684.8+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.744.182.9-5.429%-
vs Similar (7)37.038.675.6-1.629%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.234.475.6+6.873%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Karsiyaka wins
DateGameScore
14/01/15Karsiyaka v Neptunas99-85
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/15ASkycop86-63
04/02/15ALevallois79-88
01/02/15HLietkabelis102-76
28/01/15ABesiktas78-80
25/01/15AAlytaus Dzukija72-66
23/01/15HSkycop92-76
21/01/15HBesiktas62-69
18/01/15HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
14/01/15AKarsiyaka85-99
10/01/15HNevezis106-78
Karsiyakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/15HBesiktas73-64
28/01/15HLevallois86-79
20/01/15ALevallois85-75
14/01/15HNeptunas99-85
07/01/15ABesiktas105-77
17/12/14HLokomotiv Kuban85-93
10/12/14AZielona Gora69-71
03/12/14HVentspils71-67
26/11/14HBuducnost86-78
19/11/14APAOK79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
Eurocup 2014
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL20%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%50%0%
Points / game77.272.080.7
Allowed / game81.871.089.0
Point differential-4.6+1.0-8.3
Avg total159.0143.0169.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karsiyaka
Eurocup 2014
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayLWLWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%75%71%
Points / game81.983.080.6
Allowed / game76.277.574.7
Point differential+5.7+5.5+5.9
Avg total158.1160.5155.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern550100%89.474.8+14.6
2 Lokomotiv Kuban15150100%79.865.3+14.5
3 Gran Canaria1514193%84.772.2+12.5
4 Khimki M.1613381%86.575.3+11.2
5 Turow Zgorzelec54180%91.285.0+6.2
6 Cedevita54180%81.678.4+3.2
7 Karsiyaka1511473%81.976.2+5.7
8 Rytas1611569%87.180.5+6.6
9 Strasbourg1611569%74.570.9+3.6
10 Unics Kazan64267%76.772.0+4.7
11 Virtus Roma1510567%80.876.6+4.2
12 Valencia53260%80.273.8+6.4
13 Bamberg159660%76.670.6+6.0
14 Banvit159660%78.976.4+2.5
15 Besiktas159660%76.474.4+2.0
16 Volgograd158753%75.377.0-1.7
17 Limoges63350%71.771.7+0.0
18 Oostende168850%77.679.5-1.9
19 Zenit Petersburg168850%77.980.5-2.6
20 Petrol Olimpija157847%80.080.1-0.1
21 Nancy157847%73.774.1-0.4
22 Levallois157847%77.478.3-0.9
23 Real Betis157847%78.279.5-1.3
24 PAOK157847%71.875.8-4.0
25 Dijon157847%72.577.6-5.1
26 Nymburk167944%76.677.4-0.9
27 Tecnyconta Zaragoza156940%79.979.1+0.9
28 Oldenburg104640%73.773.7+0.0
29 Cantu156940%74.375.4-1.1
30 Sassari52340%79.683.6-4.0
31 CSU Ploiesti156940%79.785.4-5.7
32 Bonn104640%77.485.1-7.7
33 Partizan103730%73.477.4-4.0
34 Lyon-Villeurbanne103730%74.479.1-4.7
35 Szolnoki Olaj103730%74.882.2-7.4
36 Zielona Gora103730%72.280.9-8.7
37 Spirou Charleroi103730%70.580.2-9.7
38 Buducnost1541127%77.281.5-4.3
39 Hapoel M. Jerusalem102820%80.682.7-2.1
40 Neptunas51420%77.281.8-4.6
41 Ventspils102820%66.572.4-5.9
42 Reggiana102820%73.580.8-7.3
43 Artland101910%72.577.0-4.5
44 VEF Riga101910%70.583.2-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas2416232083
Karsiyaka2222202690
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