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Neptunas vs Khimki M. Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Jan 2014
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-92
16-20 18-28 20-23 20-21
Position#17
Record3-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#2
Record11-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game68.9
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2013-14
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#11
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A01/12
VTB United League
Panionios
#40
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H04/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/12
LKL
Radnicki
#33
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A11/12
Eurocup
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H18/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A21/12
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
77-90 OT
77
90
-13
A30/12
VTB United League
Rytas
#1
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H03/01
LKL
Azovmash Mariupol
#19
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A05/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
H12/01
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
18-22
26-20
20-23
17-25
16-16
22-20
23-25
24-16
18-21
14-15
13-16
20-31
16-22
17-19
28-19
25-14
23-19
17-19
27-22
20-21
6-11
19-19
20-14
22-14
14-23
16-18
20-17
25-18
21-17
8-30
25-23
24-18
15-21
20-30
15-16
15-21
16-16
23-21
21-14
160.0Avg total
78.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.783.6161.4-5.927%
Season at home (3)82.783.3166.0-0.767%
Season away (8)75.983.8159.6-7.912%
Last 10 (10)78.881.2160.0-2.450%
Last 5 (5)76.882.2159.0-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.979.6156.5-2.740%
vs Similar (15)80.581.5161.9-1.033%
vs Weaker (5)83.677.6161.2+6.080%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#12
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H04/12
Eurocup
Astana
#11
W
96-75
96
75
+21
H07/12
VTB United League
Karsiyaka
#34
W
95-76
95
76
+19
A11/12
Eurocup
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
92-87
92
87
+5
A15/12
VTB United League
Igokea
#47
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H18/12
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H22/12
VTB United League
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
91-58
91
58
+33
A05/01
VTB United League
Siena
#41
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A08/01
Eurocup
Volgograd
#12
W
99-78
99
78
+21
H12/01
VTB United League
Maccabi Haifa
#29
W
87-48
87
48
+39
H15/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
20-17
18-24
24-15
26-18
15-21
24-20
31-16
32-22
23-15
25-21
15-18
27-24
17-22
21-22
27-19
20-22
25-10
15-20
20-15
23-19
17-18
21-21
23-14
28-14
20-15
16-9
27-20
23-22
14-13
21-13
17-21
27-22
30-23
16-20
26-13
19-5
26-19
28-9
14-15
158.7Avg total
88.4Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)85.968.9154.8+17.0100%
Season at home (6)83.866.7150.5+17.2100%
Season away (5)88.471.6160.0+16.8100%
Last 10 (10)88.470.3158.7+18.1100%
Last 5 (5)87.265.0152.2+22.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)72.577.3149.8-4.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)85.569.5155.0+16.096%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: +6.3+6.3Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +5.8+5.8
NeptunasKhimki M.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astana
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A01/12
VTB United League
Panionios
#40
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A08/12
LKL
Radnicki
#33
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A11/12
Eurocup
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A21/12
LKL
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A30/12
VTB United League
Rytas
#1
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H03/01
LKL
Azovmash Mariupol
#19
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A05/01
VTB United League
Minsk
#18
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H12/01
VTB United League
75.8Avg total
37.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.576.2-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (12)40.936.177.0+4.858%-
Last 30 away (18)35.640.175.6-4.528%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.375.8-0.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.071.6-0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.137.574.6-0.440%-
vs Similar (15)36.639.275.8-2.627%-
vs Weaker (5)42.238.280.4+4.080%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#12
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H04/12
Eurocup
Astana
#11
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H07/12
VTB United League
Karsiyaka
#34
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A11/12
Eurocup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A15/12
VTB United League
Igokea
#47
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/12
Eurocup
Zenit Petersburg
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H22/12
VTB United League
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
48-29
48
29
+19
A05/01
VTB United League
Siena
#41
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A08/01
Eurocup
Volgograd
#12
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H12/01
VTB United League
Maccabi Haifa
#29
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H15/01
Eurocup
81.3Avg total
45.5Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.434.274.6+6.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.033.274.2+7.881%-
Last 30 away (14)39.635.475.1+4.257%-
Last 10 (10)45.535.881.3+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)45.434.079.4+11.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)34.337.772.0-3.317%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)42.033.175.1+8.883%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
1
Khimki M. wins
DateGameScore
27/10/13Khimki M. v Neptunas73-56
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/14HMinsk75-72
05/01/14AAzovmash Mariupol74-85
03/01/14HRytas79-88
30/12/13ACSKA Moscow77-90 OT
21/12/13AJuventus79-76 OT
18/12/13HSpartak St. Petersburg92-74
11/12/13ARadnicki81-91
08/12/13ANevezis69-68
04/12/13HPanionios78-86
01/12/13AAstana84-82
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/14HMaccabi Haifa87-48
12/01/14HVolgograd99-78
08/01/14ASiena75-69
05/01/14AKrasnye Krylya91-58
22/12/13HZenit Petersburg84-72
18/12/13HIgokea80-67
15/12/13ACSKA Moscow92-87
11/12/13AKarsiyaka95-76
07/12/13HAstana96-75
04/12/13HHapoel M. Jerusalem85-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW27%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLLWLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1138
Win %27%67%12%
Points / game77.782.775.9
Allowed / game83.683.383.8
Point differential-5.9-0.7-7.9
Avg total161.4166.0159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %18%33%12%
Khimki M.
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.983.888.4
Allowed / game68.966.771.6
Point differential+17.0+17.2+16.8
Avg total154.8150.5160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+82%83%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Khimki M.11110100%85.968.9+17.0
2 CSKA Moscow1211192%80.567.2+13.3
3 Unics Kazan1211192%79.567.7+11.8
4 Rytas128467%74.470.8+3.7
5 Nizhny Novgorod127558%78.873.4+5.4
6 Donetsk127558%82.982.0+0.9
7 Lokomotiv Kuban127558%75.375.2+0.1
8 Zenit Petersburg127558%78.078.7-0.7
9 VEF Riga126650%76.176.4-0.3
10 Enisey126650%85.986.4-0.5
11 Krasnye Krylya125742%72.376.4-4.1
12 Minsk114736%77.278.5-1.4
13 Nymburk114736%78.580.7-2.2
14 Volgograd114736%86.692.2-5.5
15 Astana124833%79.683.8-4.2
16 Spartak St. Petersburg124833%69.874.7-4.9
17 Neptunas113827%77.783.6-5.9
18 Azovmash Mariupol123925%71.279.1-7.9
19 Turow Zgorzelec102820%73.879.5-5.7
20 BC Kalev/Cramo112918%73.784.4-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas1618202074
Khimki M.2028232192
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