Neuchatel vs Fribourg Olympic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 May 2016

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 82-68

20-10 22-15 26-21 14-22

Position#3

Record27-9

FormWWWLL

Points / game81.0

Allowed / game71.4

Neuchatel 🏆

Fribourg Olympic

Position#1

Record29-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game83.0

Allowed / game66.5

SB LeagueSB League - Final

Other2015-16

Meetings · Neuchatel v Fribourg Olympic

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neuchatel winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Fribourg Olympic winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Neuchatel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Boncourt

78-69

A02/04

SB League

SAM Massagno

85-76

H16/04

SB League

SAM Massagno

90-73

+17

H19/04

SB League

SAM Massagno

66-91

-25

A23/04

SB League

SAM Massagno

92-89 OT

A26/04

SB League

Geneva Lions

84-75

A30/04

SB League

Geneva Lions

61-56

A03/05

SB League

Geneva Lions

89-64

+25

H07/05

SB League

Fribourg Olympic

65-78

-13

A14/05

SB League

Fribourg Olympic

62-71

-9

A17/05

SB League

18-25

29-11

17-14

14-19

25-24

23-20

15-19

22-13

26-18

22-13

18-28

24-14

23-28

16-25

12-24

15-14

23-15

13-21

24-19

17-22

19-17

22-26

19-21

24-11

15-17

15-15

14-15

17-9

15-17

21-17

23-13

30-17

17-19

15-15

15-21

18-23

20-14

8-20

24-16

10-21

151.4Avg total

77.2Scored

74.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	81.0	71.4	152.4	+9.6	75%
Season at home (17)	83.9	70.6	154.5	+13.3	82%
Season away (19)	78.4	72.2	150.5	+6.2	68%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	74.2	151.4	+3.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	68.8	141.0	+3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	69.6	75.4	145.0	-5.8	20%
vs Similar (7)	76.4	69.6	146.0	+6.9	71%
vs Weaker (18)	86.5	72.4	158.9	+14.1	89%

This opponent (Fribourg Olympic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Fribourg Olympic Switzerland

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neuchatel

93-92

A26/03

SB League

BBC Monthey

77-88

-11

A02/04

SB League

Regio Basel

94-69

+25

H16/04

SB League

Regio Basel

104-55

104

+49

H19/04

SB League

Regio Basel

71-67

A24/04

SB League

Lugano Tigers

85-73

+12

H30/04

SB League

Lugano Tigers

80-51

+29

H03/05

SB League

Lugano Tigers

69-53

+16

A07/05

SB League

Neuchatel

78-65

+13

H14/05

SB League

Neuchatel

71-62

H17/05

SB League

25-22

15-22

24-26

29-22

25-15

20-24

21-23

11-26

25-19

25-18

18-23

26-9

32-10

27-11

22-19

23-15

16-16

22-14

17-15

16-22

26-12

19-22

19-24

21-15

22-8

25-14

19-20

14-9

13-17

16-11

18-15

22-10

19-17

15-15

21-15

23-18

14-20

20-8

16-24

21-10

149.7Avg total

82.2Scored

67.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (35)	83.0	66.5	149.5	+16.4	83%
Season at home (20)	86.7	63.4	150.1	+23.3	95%
Season away (15)	78.0	70.7	148.7	+7.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	82.2	67.5	149.7	+14.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	76.6	60.8	137.4	+15.8	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (2)	89.0	62.5	151.5	+26.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)	81.8	68.1	149.9	+13.7	82%

This opponent (Neuchatel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

NeuchatelFribourg Olympic

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.0	19.4	40.4	+1.5	56%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.2	19.9	42.1	+2.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.4	39.5	+0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.4	19.1	37.6	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.3	20.0	42.3	+2.3	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.8	16.5	36.3	+3.3	65%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.7	14.8	35.5	+5.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.9	18.2	37.2	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	15.6	37.3	+6.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	14.8	33.6	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	26.0	15.0	41.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	19.6	16.6	36.2	+3.0	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.1	17.9	38.0	+2.2	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.1	17.5	38.6	+3.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	18.2	37.5	+1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.3	36.7	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.6	34.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.2	16.8	34.0	+0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	18.1	37.1	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.3	18.1	39.4	+3.2	69%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.6	16.4	37.0	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	15.6	36.8	+5.6	77%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	17.2	37.1	+2.8	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	15.9	36.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	14.0	12.0	26.0	+2.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.3	72%	-

NeuchatelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

BC Boncourt

47-36

+11

A02/04

SB League

SAM Massagno

48-44

H16/04

SB League

SAM Massagno

48-31

+17

H19/04

SB League

SAM Massagno

39-53

-14

A23/04

SB League

SAM Massagno

36-36

A26/04

SB League

Geneva Lions

41-43

-2

A30/04

SB League

Geneva Lions

30-32

-2

A03/05

SB League

Geneva Lions

36-34

H07/05

SB League

Fribourg Olympic

32-34

-2

A14/05

SB League

Fribourg Olympic

28-34

-6

A17/05

SB League

76.2Avg total

38.5Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	41.1	37.3	78.4	+3.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	43.2	37.4	80.7	+5.8	83%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.3	37.3	76.6	+2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.5	37.7	76.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	35.4	68.8	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	37.2	34.5	71.8	+2.8	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.4	37.3	74.7	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.6	38.1	81.7	+5.6	75%	-

This opponent (Fribourg Olympic) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Fribourg OlympicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Neuchatel

40-44

-4

A26/03

SB League

BBC Monthey

45-39

A02/04

SB League

Regio Basel

50-37

+13

H16/04

SB League

Regio Basel

59-21

+38

H19/04

SB League

Regio Basel

38-30

A24/04

SB League

Lugano Tigers

45-34

+11

H30/04

SB League

Lugano Tigers

47-22

+25

H03/05

SB League

Lugano Tigers

29-28

A07/05

SB League

Neuchatel

34-32

H14/05

SB League

Neuchatel

34-28

H17/05

SB League

73.6Avg total

42.1Scored

31.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	40.4	32.9	73.3	+7.5	85%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	41.9	30.5	72.4	+11.5	100%	-
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	35.4	74.2	+3.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	31.5	73.6	+10.6	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	28.8	66.6	+9.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	40.0	27.0	67.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	40.4	33.2	73.6	+7.2	84%	-

This opponent (Neuchatel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.6	17.3	36.9	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.2	17.9	37.2	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	16.8	36.7	+3.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	19.5	18.8	38.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.9	17.0	34.9	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.4	17.1	37.5	+3.4	69%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.1	18.9	39.0	+1.2	58%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	18.3	38.5	+1.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.0	19.5	39.5	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	20.4	39.9	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.6	38.2	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	21.0	14.0	35.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.0	19.1	39.1	+1.0	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.2	17.3	37.4	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.2	83%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	16.3	35.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.1	15.3	36.4	+5.9	86%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.6	17.1	37.6	+3.5	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	16.8	39.3	+5.8	85%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.2	17.2	36.4	+1.9	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	15.6	36.2	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	12.4	32.6	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	23.0	19.0	42.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	20.8	16.9	37.7	+3.8	72%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.8	34.6	74.4	+5.3	67%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	40.0	34.4	74.4	+5.6	75%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	34.7	74.3	+5.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	35.3	72.5	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	33.4	72.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)	36.5	40.2	76.8	-3.8	25%	-
vs Similar (7)	39.0	32.3	71.3	+6.7	86%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.0	34.1	75.1	+6.9	69%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	40.9	35.9	76.8	+5.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.7	35.1	77.8	+7.6	92%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.2	36.7	75.8	+2.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	36.0	76.1	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	32.0	70.8	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	44.0	33.0	77.0	+11.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)	40.8	36.0	76.8	+4.8	72%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Neuchatel wins

Fribourg Olympic wins

Date	Game	Score
17/05/16	Fribourg Olympic v Neuchatel	71-62
14/05/16	Fribourg Olympic v Neuchatel	78-65
26/03/16	Neuchatel v Fribourg Olympic	92-93
17/01/16	Neuchatel v Fribourg Olympic	76-57
07/11/15	Fribourg Olympic v Neuchatel	78-53
19/04/15	Neuchatel v Fribourg Olympic	78-77
31/03/15	Fribourg Olympic v Neuchatel	73-79
31/01/15	Fribourg Olympic v Neuchatel	102-75
05/12/14	Neuchatel v Fribourg Olympic	75-80
25/10/14	Fribourg Olympic v Neuchatel	86-80

Neuchatellast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/16	A	Fribourg Olympic	62-71
14/05/16	A	Fribourg Olympic	65-78
07/05/16	H	Geneva Lions	89-64
03/05/16	A	Geneva Lions	61-56
30/04/16	A	Geneva Lions	84-75
26/04/16	A	SAM Massagno	92-89 OT
23/04/16	A	SAM Massagno	66-91
19/04/16	H	SAM Massagno	90-73
16/04/16	H	SAM Massagno	85-76
02/04/16	A	BC Boncourt	78-69

Fribourg Olympiclast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
17/05/16	H	Neuchatel	71-62
14/05/16	H	Neuchatel	78-65
07/05/16	A	Lugano Tigers	69-53
03/05/16	H	Lugano Tigers	80-51
30/04/16	H	Lugano Tigers	85-73
24/04/16	A	Regio Basel	71-67
19/04/16	H	Regio Basel	104-55
16/04/16	H	Regio Basel	94-69
02/04/16	A	BBC Monthey	77-88
26/03/16	A	Neuchatel	93-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neuchatel

SB League 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	75%
Home	WLWWW	82%
Away	WWWLL	68%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	17	19
Win %	75%	82%	68%
Points / game	81.0	83.9	78.4
Allowed / game	71.4	70.6	72.2
Point differential	+9.6	+13.3	+6.2
Avg total	152.4	154.5	150.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	53%	32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	0% (3)	75% (4)
Overtime %	6%	0%	11%

Fribourg Olympic

SB League 2015-16

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	83%
Home	WWWWW	95%
Away	WWLWW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	35	20	15
Win %	83%	95%	67%
Points / game	83.0	86.7	78.0
Allowed / game	66.5	63.4	70.7
Point differential	+16.4	+23.3	+7.3
Avg total	149.5	150.1	148.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	66%	85%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	-	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fribourg Olympic	35	29	6	83%	83.0	66.5	+16.4
2	Neuchatel	36	27	9	75%	81.0	71.4	+9.6
3	Geneva Lions	33	24	9	73%	81.2	69.5	+11.7
4	BBC Monthey	32	22	10	69%	79.5	70.6	+8.9
5	Lugano Tigers	35	20	15	57%	75.5	72.3	+3.2
6	SAM Massagno	31	13	18	42%	77.8	83.2	-5.4
7	BC Boncourt	30	9	21	30%	71.6	77.9	-6.3
8	Regio Basel	30	9	21	30%	71.1	81.0	-9.9
9	Swiss Central Basket	27	4	23	15%	72.6	88.4	-15.8
10	Winterthur	27	1	26	4%	64.0	87.1	-23.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Neuchatel	20	22	26	14	82
Fribourg Olympic	10	15	21	22	68

← all games of the day

Neuchatel vs Fribourg Olympic Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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